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Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace
v
Rayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

UEFA Europa Conference League | Wed 27 May, 20:00

Crystal Palace v Rayo Vallecano Stats

Data last updated: Tue 14 Jul 2026, 06:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Crystal Palace face Rayo Vallecano in UEFA Europa Conference League on Wed 27 May, 20:00. Crystal Palace have scored 25 goals in the Conference League — more than any other team in the competition.

BT4Y best bet

Rationale: Both Teams To Score - Yes The tactical setup for this European final heavily supports both teams finding the net within regular time

  • At 9/10, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • 🎯 Main Selection Rationale: Both Teams To Score - Yes
  • Crystal Palace show a 80% BTTS rate and Rayo Vallecano show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Crystal Palace average 2.2 goals scored and Rayo Vallecano average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Crystal Palace show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Rayo Vallecano show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Main Selection Rationale: Both Teams To Score - Yes

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Positive
Crystal Palace show a 80% BTTS rate and Rayo Vallecano.Visible data support
Positive
Crystal Palace average 2.2 goals scored and Rayo Vallecano average.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 Main Selection Rationale: Both Teams To Score.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 Main Selection Rationale: Both Teams To Score - Yes Crystal Palace show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Rayo Vallecano show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. A Correct Score selection requires absolute precision, offering higher pricing but significantly higher volatility.

Main risk

A Correct Score selection requires absolute precision, offering higher pricing but significantly higher volatility.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 Main Selection Rationale: Both Teams To Score - Yes

Crystal Palace show a 80% BTTS rate and Rayo Vallecano show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Crystal Palace average 2.2 goals scored and Rayo Vallecano average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Crystal Palace2.2
Avg goals scored
Rayo Vallecano1.2
Crystal Palace1
Avg goals conceded
Rayo Vallecano0.8
Crystal Palace80%
BTTS rate
Rayo Vallecano20%
Crystal Palace100%
Over 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Crystal Palace Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 71%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Crystal Palace to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Rayo Vallecano to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Rayo Vallecano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Crystal Palace3.2
Avg corners for
Rayo Vallecano5.4
Crystal Palace8.4
Avg total corners
Rayo Vallecano10
Crystal Palace1.8
Avg yellow cards
Rayo Vallecano2.6
Crystal Palace15.2
Avg shots
Rayo Vallecano17
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 56% · edge +3.4 pts
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Crystal Palace

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
07 May 2026H Shakhtar Donetsk2-1
30 Apr 2026A Shakhtar Donetsk3-1
16 Apr 2026A Fiorentina1-2
09 Apr 2026H Fiorentina3-0
19 Mar 2026A AEK Larnaca2-1

Rayo Vallecano

WWLWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 3L
07 May 2026A Strasbourg1-0
30 Apr 2026H Strasbourg1-0
16 Apr 2026A AEK Athens FC1-3
09 Apr 2026H AEK Athens FC3-0
19 Mar 2026H Samsunspor0-1
Best odds for this sectionCrystal Palace Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Crystal Palace to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.86
Check odds @ 1.86
Rayo Vallecano to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Rayo Vallecano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Crystal Palace wins
0Draws
0Rayo Vallecano wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Crystal Palace to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Rayo Vallecano to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace17
Played
Rayo Vallecano15
Crystal Palace1.6
Avg goals for
Rayo Vallecano1.8
Crystal Palace0.7
Avg goals against
Rayo Vallecano0.9
Crystal Palace8
Clean sheets
Rayo Vallecano7
Best odds for this sectionCrystal Palace Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Crystal Palace to WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Rayo Vallecano to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Rayo Vallecano Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Season data supports Crystal Palace Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Rayo Vallecano1364116
10Crystal Palace1063125
UEFA Europa Conference League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
40%Rayo Vallecano Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Crystal Palace sit at 100% and Rayo Vallecano sit at 40%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.