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Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace
v
Rayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

UEFA Europa Conference League | Wed 27 May, 20:00

Crystal Palace v Rayo Vallecano Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.1, Over 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 48% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +22.4-point value edge.
  • Crystal Palace are at 100% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Rayo Vallecano are at 40%, and the H2H goal average is -.
  • The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Crystal Palace have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Rayo Vallecano have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.1, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Bet HERE @ 4.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

100%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
40%Rayo Vallecano Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Crystal Palace

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
07 May 2026H Shakhtar Donetsk2-1
30 Apr 2026A Shakhtar Donetsk3-1
16 Apr 2026A Fiorentina1-2
09 Apr 2026H Fiorentina3-0
19 Mar 2026A AEK Larnaca2-1

Rayo Vallecano

WWLWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 3L
07 May 2026A Strasbourg1-0
30 Apr 2026H Strasbourg1-0
16 Apr 2026A AEK Athens FC1-3
09 Apr 2026H AEK Athens FC3-0
19 Mar 2026H Samsunspor0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Bet HERE @ 4.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Crystal Palace2.2
Avg goals scored
Rayo Vallecano1.2
Crystal Palace1
Avg goals conceded
Rayo Vallecano0.8
Crystal Palace80%
BTTS rate
Rayo Vallecano20%
Crystal Palace100%
Over 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 48% · edge +22.4 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Crystal Palace wins
0Draws
0Rayo Vallecano wins
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 48% · edge +22.4 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Bet HERE @ 4.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Crystal Palace3.2
Avg corners for
Rayo Vallecano5.4
Crystal Palace8.4
Avg total corners
Rayo Vallecano10
Crystal Palace1.8
Avg yellow cards
Rayo Vallecano2.6
Crystal Palace15.2
Avg shots
Rayo Vallecano17
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 52% · edge +4.1 pts
1.92
Bet HERE @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleE. Nketiah Anytime GoalscorerE. Nketiah · 2 goals · 2.93 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
B. Casey 1+ Shot On TargetB. Casey · 11.25 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
B. Casey 2+ ShotsB. Casey · 11.25 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
E. Nketiah To Assist / Key Pass AngleE. Nketiah · 1 assists · 3.91 key passes/90
74/100
Bet HERE
B. Casey To Be FouledB. Casey · 11.25 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Ilias Akhomach Card RiskIlias Akhomach · 3 yellows · 2.7 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
E. Nketiah
E. NketiahCrystal Palace · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /904.89
SOT /902.93
B. Casey
B. CaseyCrystal Palace · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9011.25
SOT /9011.25
I. Sarr
I. SarrCrystal Palace · Attacker
Goal threat82/100
Shots /902.64
SOT /901.28
Christantus Uche
Christantus UcheCrystal Palace · Midfielder
Goal threat74/100
Shots /903.41
SOT /901.46
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias AkhomachRayo Vallecano · Midfielder
Goal threat33/100
Shots /901.69
SOT /900.67
J. Strand Larsen
J. Strand LarsenCrystal Palace · Attacker
Goal threat33/100
Shots /901.2
SOT /900.8
Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace16
Played
Rayo Vallecano14
Crystal Palace1.6
Avg goals for
Rayo Vallecano1.9
Crystal Palace0.8
Avg goals against
Rayo Vallecano0.9
Crystal Palace7
Clean sheets
Rayo Vallecano7
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 48% · edge +23 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.1
Bet HERE @ 4.1
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Rayo Vallecano1364116
10Crystal Palace1063125

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

Our football stats hub is built for punters who want to go deeper than basic predictions. Every day, BettingTips4You brings together data-led match analysis for fixtures across the biggest leagues and competitions, helping readers compare teams, spot trends and understand the numbers behind every game before making a betting decision.

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