Football Stats Hub

Cuiaba crestCuiaba
v
Juventude crestJuventude

Serie B | Sat 07 Nov, 23:00

Cuiaba v Juventude Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Juventude approaches this Serie B clash with strong momentum, sitting second in the table with 65 points, significantly ahead of 13th-placed Cuiaba. Juventude's recent form is impressive, having collected 9 points in their last matches, showcasing a potent attack averaging 2.4 goals per game. Cuiaba, struggling with just 1 point recently and a modest 0.2 goals scored per match, face a tough challenge to contain Juventude's offensive threat. The away side's tactical discipline and attacking efficiency set the stage for a likely victory in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Juventude to Win

  • Juventude ranks 2nd in Serie B with 65 points, Cuiaba 13th with 47 points.
  • Juventude averages 2.4 goals per game versus Cuiaba's 0.2 in recent form.
  • Juventude's recent form includes 9 points gained, Cuiaba only 1 point.
  • Juventude's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, indicating attacking potency.
  • Juventude concedes 1.2 goals per game, slightly higher than Cuiaba's 1.0.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Juventude to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior league position, recent form, and attacking statistics. Juventude's high goal-scoring rate and strong recent points haul contrast sharply with Cuiaba's struggles, making the away win a logical selection. The at 2.0 offer positive value given the implied 50% chance, supported by Juventude's offensive efficiency and defensive resilience. No data limitations affect , and the model's 70% rating underscores the strength of this pick.

Model Chance65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormJuventude 9 points vs Cuiaba 1 point
Strong positive
Goal ScoringJuventude 2.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Price Value Edge65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Data QualityComplete data sets for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Juventude's superior form and attacking firepower make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their consistent goal scoring and ability to accumulate points recently provide a strong foundation, while Cuiaba's struggles in front of goal and poor recent results suggest Juventude will control the match and claim the win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Juventude's attacking consistency and league standing strongly favor them in this fixture, with their ability to convert chances likely to decide the outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Juventude to Win evidence

Juventude ranks 2nd in Serie B with 65 points, Cuiaba 13th with 47 points.

Juventude averages 2.4 goals per game versus Cuiaba's 0.2 in recent form.

Juventude's recent form includes 9 points gained, Cuiaba only 1 point.

Juventude's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, indicating attacking potency.

What To Watch In The Data

Juventude to Win notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 1.78, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters historically.
  • However, Juventude's recent form and attacking stats suggest a potential shift towards a more open game with increased goal opportunities, especially given Cuiaba's defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cuiaba0.2
Avg goals scored
Juventude2.4
Cuiaba1
Avg goals conceded
Juventude1.2
Cuiaba20%
BTTS rate
Juventude60%
Cuiaba20%
Over 2.5 goals
Juventude80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 48% · edge +9.1 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Juventude's high over 2.5 goals rate of 80% and a goal average of 2.4 per game suggest an open, attacking match with multiple goals likely. Cuiaba's low scoring rate and 20% over 2.5 rate imply they are less likely to contribute goals, increasing the chance of a Juventude-dominated scoreline. BTTS is less probable given Cuiaba's limited offensive output.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Juventude Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
The 65% for Juventude to Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Cuiaba.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cuiaba

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
01 Nov 2026H São Bernardo1-2
26 Oct 2026A America Mineiro0-1
20 Oct 2026A Londrina0-1
11 Oct 2026H Avai0-1
08 Oct 2026A Vila Nova0-0

Juventude

DWDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
31 Oct 2026A Vila Nova2-2
26 Oct 2026H Nautico Recife4-0
17 Oct 2026A Ceara2-2
11 Oct 2026H São Bernardo2-2
07 Oct 2026A Ponte Preta2-0
Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Juventude Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Juventude's recent form is markedly superior, with 9 points gained compared to Cuiaba's single point. Their ability to score frequently and maintain defensive solidity contrasts with Cuiaba's struggles to find the net and accumulate points, indicating momentum firmly favors Juventude heading into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Cuiaba Over 2.5
80%Juventude Over 2.5
1.78H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 1.78, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters historically. However, Juventude's recent form and attacking stats suggest a potential shift towards a more open game with increased goal opportunities, especially given Cuiaba's defensive vulnerabilities.

Loading deeper match data…