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VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart
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Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen

Bundesliga | Sat 07 Nov, 17:30

VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 18:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Werder Bremen visit VfB Stuttgart in a Bundesliga clash where Bremen's recent form and attacking prowess stand out. Bremen have accumulated 11 points recently with a strong goal-scoring rate of 2.4 per game, contrasting with Stuttgart's 6 points and 1.6 goals per game. Bremen's offensive efficiency and higher league position suggest they will look to control the match and exploit Stuttgart's defensive vulnerabilities. Stuttgart's mid-table position and lower scoring output add to the challenge they face against a confident Bremen side aiming to consolidate their top-five standing.

BT4Y best bet

Werder Bremen to Win

  • Werder Bremen have a 67% to win with strong value at 4.5 .
  • Bremen average 2.4 goals per game, significantly higher than Stuttgart's 1.6.
  • Werder Bremen's BTTS and Over 2.5 goals rates are both 80%, indicating open play.
  • Stuttgart have scored and conceded fewer goals, reflecting a less dynamic attack and defense.
  • Key Bremen attackers like N. Grüll show high goal threat and creative stats.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Werder Bremen to win due to their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and efficient attacking players like N. Füllkrug who averages 1.23 goals per 90 minutes. Bremen's strong offensive metrics, including 2.61 shots on target per 90 from Füllkrug and 2.64 key passes per 90 from M. Grüll, underpin the . The price offers excellent value given the implied chance is only 22.2%, while the model estimates a 67% win probability. This mismatch highlights a potentially profitable betting opportunity.

Recent FormBremen 11 points vs Stuttgart 6
Strong positive
Goal ScoringBremen 2.4 goals/game vs Stuttgart 1.6
Strong positive
Key Player ThreatN. Füllkrug 9 goals, 2.61 SOT/90
Strong positive
Price Value37.2% model chance vs 22.2% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Defensive StabilityBremen concede 1.6 goals/game, Stuttgart 1.4
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Werder Bremen's attacking efficiency and recent form make them the logical choice to win this fixture. Their ability to create quality chances, led by N. Füllkrug and supported by creative midfielders, aligns with their higher league standing and goal output. Stuttgart's lower scoring and points tally suggest they may struggle to contain Bremen's offense, making Bremen the favored side tactically and statistically.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Werder Bremen's offensive firepower and recent momentum position them well to claim victory against Stuttgart, whose defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited effectively.”

Key Data Signals

Werder Bremen to Win evidence

Werder Bremen have a 67% to win with strong value at 4.5 .

Bremen average 2.4 goals per game, significantly higher than Stuttgart's 1.6.

Werder Bremen's BTTS and Over 2.5 goals rates are both 80%, indicating open play.

Stuttgart have scored and conceded fewer goals, reflecting a less dynamic attack and defense.

What To Watch In The Data

Werder Bremen to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.8, suggesting a moderately high-scoring fixture historically.
  • Bremen's recent matches have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a trend towards open, attacking games with multiple goals.
  • This trend supports expectations for a lively encounter with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides, particularly favoring Bremen's offensive capabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

VfB Stuttgart1.6
Avg goals scored
Werder Bremen2.4
VfB Stuttgart1.4
Avg goals conceded
Werder Bremen1.6
VfB Stuttgart40%
BTTS rate
Werder Bremen80%
VfB Stuttgart40%
Over 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 71% · edge +1.9 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals rates are high for Werder Bremen at 80%, reflecting their attacking style and defensive openness. Stuttgart's lower BTTS and over 2.5 rates at 40% suggest a less aggressive approach. This contrast indicates a match likely to feature multiple goals, driven by Bremen's offensive pressure and Stuttgart's defensive lapses.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWerder Bremen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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Werder Bremen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The 37.2% for Werder Bremen to Win sits against roughly 22.2% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Werder Bremen have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 6 for VfB Stuttgart.

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Bundesliga fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

VfB Stuttgart

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 5L
31 Oct 2026A Bayer Leverkusen4-2
23 Oct 2026H Borussia Mönchengladbach2-3
17 Oct 2026A Hamburger SV0-1
10 Oct 2026A SC Paderborn 072-0
19 Sep 2026H Borussia Dortmund0-1

Werder Bremen

WWDDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 1L
31 Oct 2026H 1899 Hoffenheim2-0
24 Oct 2026A FSV Mainz 053-2
17 Oct 2026H SC Paderborn 072-2
09 Oct 2026A Borussia Dortmund2-2
19 Sep 2026H FC Augsburg3-2
Market aligned with main pickWerder Bremen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Werder Bremen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Werder Bremen's recent form is strong, earning 11 points compared to Stuttgart's 6 in the same period. Bremen's higher goal-scoring rate and consistent offensive output underpin their momentum. Stuttgart's form is less convincing, with fewer goals scored and points gained, suggesting they may struggle to match Bremen's intensity and effectiveness in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5
80%Werder Bremen Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.8, suggesting a moderately high-scoring fixture historically. Bremen's recent matches have an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a trend towards open, attacking games with multiple goals. This trend supports expectations for a lively encounter with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides, particularly favoring Bremen's offensive capabilities.

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