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FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati
v
Nashville SC crestNashville SC

Major League Soccer | Sat 07 Nov, 21:00

FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC meet in a decisive Major League Soccer clash where both teams have shown contrasting styles. FC Cincinnati averages 3.4 corners per game, while Nashville SC is more aggressive with 5.2 corners per match, reflecting their attacking intent. Nashville SC leads the standings with 74 points, showing strong form and tactical control, while FC Cincinnati sits mid-table with 46 points. Both sides have similar BTTS and over 2.5 goals rates, indicating an open game that could generate significant set-piece opportunities and territorial battles, setting the stage for a high-corner count encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Nashville SC averages 5.2 corners per game, the highest in this fixture.
  • FC Cincinnati contributes 3.4 corners per match, supporting a combined total over 9.5.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate for over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking openness.
  • Recent form shows both sides create numerous chances, increasing corner potential.
  • for over 9.5 corners is 65.1%, indicating a strong statistical edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 65.1% chance for over 9.5 corners, driven by Nashville SC's high corner average of 5.2 per game and FC Cincinnati's 3.4 corners. Both teams' attacking styles and recent form support sustained pressure and wide play, which typically generate corners. The combined corner count aligns with the teams' offensive tendencies and match tempo, making this a statistically sound pick with a positive of 3.4%.

Nashville SC average corners5.2 per game
Strong positive
FC Cincinnati average corners3.4 per game
Positive
Model chance for Over 9.5 Corners65.1% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+3.4 pts)
Strong positive
Implied market chance65.1% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+3.4 pts)
Positive
Value edge65.1% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+3.4 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing play and attacking pressure from Nashville SC, who lead the league and push for corners aggressively. FC Cincinnati's willingness to contest possession and create chances also supports a high number of corners. The data and tactical outlook align well with an over 9.5 corners outcome in this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market tactical and statistical insight

“Nashville SC’s control in territory and attacking width, combined with FC Cincinnati’s resilience, sets up a game ripe for frequent corner situations. The corner market reflects the tactical battle along the flanks and the teams’ offensive patterns.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Nashville SC averages 5.2 corners per game, the highest in this fixture.

FC Cincinnati contributes 3.4 corners per match, supporting a combined total over 9.5.

Both teams have a 40% rate for over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking openness.

Recent form shows both sides create numerous chances, increasing corner potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.4, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • Both teams have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate recently, suggesting a tempo and style that favors frequent attacking transitions and set-piece situations, which typically lead to a higher number of corners.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Cincinnati1.4
Avg goals scored
Nashville SC2
FC Cincinnati1
Avg goals conceded
Nashville SC0.6
FC Cincinnati40%
BTTS rate
Nashville SC40%
FC Cincinnati40%
Over 2.5 goals
Nashville SC40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 47% vs implied 36% · edge +10.9 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Both teams have a 40% rate for over 2.5 goals and BTTS, indicating balanced attacking and defensive tendencies. This openness often leads to more attacking phases and set-piece opportunities, which can increase corner counts, supporting the corner market selection.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Major League Soccer hubcorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Cincinnati

WDWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
31 Oct 2026H Philadelphia Union1-0
28 Oct 2026A Inter Miami2-2
25 Oct 2026A DC United2-0
22 Oct 2026H DC United2-1
18 Oct 2026H Columbus Crew0-2

Nashville SC

WDWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
01 Nov 2026H New York Red Bulls3-2
29 Oct 2026H Philadelphia Union0-0
24 Oct 2026A CF Montreal2-0
18 Oct 2026A San Jose Earthquakes1-1
15 Oct 2026H Sporting Kansas City4-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Nashville SC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Nashville SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
FC Cincinnati to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Recent form data shows FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC both maintain attacking momentum, with FC Cincinnati scoring 1.4 goals per game and Nashville SC 2.0. Their over 2.5 goals rate stands at 40%, reflecting open games that generate attacking pressure and corners. This recent output aligns with the model's in over 9.5 corners.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionNashville SC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 40% · edge +11.8 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Nashville SC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The 65.1% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+3.4 pts). Nashville SC lead the corner sample at 5.2 per match, with FC Cincinnati lower at 3.4.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%FC Cincinnati Over 2.5
40%Nashville SC Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.4, indicating open games with attacking intent. Both teams have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate recently, suggesting a tempo and style that favors frequent attacking transitions and set-piece situations, which typically lead to a higher number of corners.

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