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Inter Miami crestInter Miami
v
Charlotte crestCharlotte

Major League Soccer | Sat 07 Nov, 21:00

Inter Miami v Charlotte Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Major League Soccer fixture features second-placed Inter Miami hosting fifth-placed Charlotte in a contest with playoff implications. Inter Miami has been solid at home but faces a Charlotte side with a potent attack averaging 2.6 goals per game and a perfect recent record for matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Charlotte's ability to score and maintain pressure, combined with their solid defensive resilience, sets up a tactical battle where avoiding defeat is a realistic target for the visitors. Both teams have shown offensive threat, making this a potentially open and competitive match.

BT4Y best bet

Charlotte or Draw

  • Charlotte has a strong recent scoring record with 2.6 goals per game and a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate.
  • Inter Miami ranks higher but concedes more than one goal per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Charlotte’s recent form and shot volume support their chance to avoid defeat away from home.
  • The model assigns a 59.8% chance to Charlotte or Draw, with offering good value at 2.75.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Charlotte or Draw with a 59.8% chance, reflecting Charlotte's potent attack and ability to score consistently, as well as Inter Miami's defensive concessions. Charlotte's 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate and higher average goals scored per game suggest they can challenge Inter Miami effectively. The of 2.75 provide positive value, indicating the market underestimates Charlotte's resilience and scoring threat. This pick balances Charlotte's offensive strengths against Inter Miami's vulnerabilities, making it a solid choice without major price warnings.

Charlotte's offensive output2.6 goals per game
Strong positive
Inter Miami's defensive concessions1.2 goals against per game
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals rate for Charlotte100% recent matches
Strong positive
Model chance vs implied odds29.3% model chance vs 14.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Charlotte or Draw is a tactically sound pick given Charlotte's strong attacking form and ability to avoid defeat against higher-ranked teams. Inter Miami's defensive lapses and Charlotte's consistent goal threat make this a balanced bet with a solid data foundation. The visitors' resilience and scoring capacity provide a credible path to at least a draw in this competitive matchup.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and data-driven match outcome

“Charlotte's attacking consistency and defensive discipline make them a compelling choice to avoid defeat here, especially given Inter Miami's defensive vulnerabilities and the visitors' ability to capitalize on chances.”

Key Data Signals

Charlotte or Draw evidence

Charlotte has a strong recent scoring record with 2.6 goals per game and a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate.

Inter Miami ranks higher but concedes more than one goal per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Charlotte’s recent form and shot volume support their chance to avoid defeat away from home.

The model assigns a 59.8% chance to Charlotte or Draw, with offering good value at 2.75.

What To Watch In The Data

Charlotte or Draw notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.4, with Charlotte's recent matches all exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This trend suggests a high-tempo game with open play and scoring chances, driven by Charlotte's attacking style and Inter Miami's defensive openness, supporting expectations for multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Inter Miami1.8
Avg goals scored
Charlotte2.6
Inter Miami1.2
Avg goals conceded
Charlotte1.6
Inter Miami60%
BTTS rate
Charlotte60%
Inter Miami60%
Over 2.5 goals
Charlotte100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 71% · edge +1.9 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams have shown strong scoring trends, with Charlotte averaging 2.6 goals per game and Inter Miami 1.8. Charlotte's perfect recent Over 2.5 Goals rate and both teams' 60% BTTS rates suggest a high likelihood of goals from both sides, supporting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionCharlotte Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Charlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Inter Miami Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Inter Miami to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The 29.3% for Charlotte or Draw sits against roughly 14.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts).
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Inter Miami

WDLWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
02 Nov 2026A New England Revolution2-1
28 Oct 2026H FC Cincinnati2-2
24 Oct 2026A New York Red Bulls0-2
18 Oct 2026A Atlanta United FC3-1
15 Oct 2026H New York City FC2-0

Charlotte

WWLDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
31 Oct 2026H Orlando City SC4-0
28 Oct 2026H CF Montreal4-0
25 Oct 2026A Portland Timbers2-3
17 Oct 2026A Philadelphia Union2-2
15 Oct 2026A Columbus Crew1-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Charlotte Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Charlotte to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Inter Miami Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Inter Miami to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Recent form data shows Inter Miami accumulating 10 points with a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Charlotte has 7 points and a perfect 100% Over 2.5 rate. Charlotte's higher goals-for average (2.6) compared to Inter Miami (1.8) highlights their offensive momentum, supporting the likelihood of them avoiding defeat in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Inter Miami Over 2.5
100%Charlotte Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.4, with Charlotte's recent matches all exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend suggests a high-tempo game with open play and scoring chances, driven by Charlotte's attacking style and Inter Miami's defensive openness, supporting expectations for multiple goals.

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