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Ried crestRied
v
Lask Linz crestLask Linz

Bundesliga | Sat 07 Nov, 18:30

Ried v Lask Linz Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 18:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ried hosts Lask Linz in an Austrian Bundesliga clash where both teams have shown attacking intent this season. Ried ranks 6th with 16 points, while Lask Linz sits 3rd with 22 points, reflecting their competitive form. Both sides have high over 2.5 goals rates at 80%, and Ried's matches consistently feature goals, with a 100% BTTS rate. This fixture promises an open game with offensive players in form and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter under floodlights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season.
  • Ried's games feature BTTS in 100% of matches, indicating frequent scoring at both ends.
  • Average goals per match in their last 10 meetings stand at 3.3, supporting a high-scoring trend.
  • Lask Linz averages 16.4 shots per game, showing strong offensive pressure.
  • Ried concedes 1.4 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailties that could be exploited.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 58% chance for over 3.5 goals, above the implied 50% chance from the , indicating positive value. Both teams have prolific attacking records and high over 2.5 goals percentages, with Ried's matches always featuring goals from both sides. The average goals in their recent head-to-head is 3.3, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich game. The attacking prowess of players like S. Kiese Thelin, combined with defensive vulnerabilities, supports the expectation of multiple goals. No data limitations or price warnings apply, making this a solid value selection.

Model Chance vs Implied Chance58% model chance vs 50% implied (+8 pts)
Strong positive
Teams' Over 2.5 Goals Rate80% each
Strong positive
Ried BTTS Rate100%
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.3 goals per match
Positive
Key Players' Goal ThreatHigh (Adeniran 6 goals, Thelin 2.29 goals per 90)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Ried and Lask Linz have shown strong offensive capabilities and less defensive rigidity. The high goal averages and frequent BTTS in Ried's matches suggest a lively encounter with multiple goals. This match suits bettors looking for a high-scoring outcome based on current form and attacking talent.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“This fixture features two sides with potent attacks and defensive lapses, making over 3.5 goals a compelling angle. The consistent goal-scoring trends and key players' finishing ability underline the likelihood of a goal-fest.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season.

Ried's games feature BTTS in 100% of matches, indicating frequent scoring at both ends.

Average goals per match in their last 10 meetings stand at 3.3, supporting a high-scoring trend.

Lask Linz averages 16.4 shots per game, showing strong offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.3, exceeding the 2.5 goals threshold.
  • This trend, combined with both teams' recent high-scoring games, suggests a fast tempo and open play conducive to multiple goals in this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ried2.4
Avg goals scored
Lask Linz2
Ried1.4
Avg goals conceded
Lask Linz1.8
Ried100%
BTTS rate
Lask Linz60%
Ried80%
Over 2.5 goals
Lask Linz80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have strong goal-scoring and conceding records, with Ried's matches featuring BTTS in every game and both sides maintaining an 80% over 2.5 goals rate. Their recent head-to-head average of 3.3 goals per match further supports the expectation of multiple goals and goals from both teams in this fixture.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Ried Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Ried to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Lask Linz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+8 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Ried and 80% for Lask Linz, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ried

DDWWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
31 Oct 2026A SCR Altach1-1
25 Oct 2026A Sturm Graz2-2
17 Oct 2026H Austria Vienna3-2
10 Oct 2026A WSG Wattens2-1
20 Sep 2026H Wolfsberger AC4-1

Lask Linz

WLWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
31 Oct 2026H WSG Wattens2-1
25 Oct 2026H Red Bull Salzburg1-3
17 Oct 2026A Austria Lustenau4-0
11 Oct 2026H Rapid Vienna0-2
20 Sep 2026A TSV Hartberg3-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Ried Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Ried to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Lask Linz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Lask Linz to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Recent form data shows both teams averaging over 2 goals per game, with Ried scoring 2.4 and Lask Linz 2.0 goals on average. Both maintain an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting consistent high-scoring matches. Ried's perfect BTTS rate this season highlights their openness and defensive vulnerabilities, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Ried Over 2.5
80%Lask Linz Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.3, exceeding the 2.5 goals threshold. This trend, combined with both teams' recent high-scoring games, suggests a fast tempo and open play conducive to multiple goals in this match.

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