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Atletico Nacional crestAtletico Nacional
v
Deportivo Pereira crestDeportivo Pereira

Primera A | Sat 07 Nov, 23:10

Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pereira Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atletico Nacional hosts Deportivo Pereira in a Primera A clash where Nacional's dominant home form meets Pereira's resilient away performances. Nacional leads the league with strong attacking stats and an unbeaten home streak of 24 matches, while Pereira sits lower in the table but has shown grit with narrow defeats and occasional draws on the road. Pereira's ability to keep scorelines close against superior opposition and Nacional's recent multi-goal wins set the stage for a tactical battle where Pereira aims to limit damage and capitalize on defensive solidity.

BT4Y best bet

Deportivo Pereira to Win +1.75 (Handicap)

  • Atletico Nacional unbeaten in last 24 home league matches
  • Deportivo Pereira has kept recent away matches close with narrow defeats and draws
  • Nacional averages 15.86 shots and 59% possession per game
  • Pereira's Asian Handicap +1.75 wins if they avoid defeat or lose by one goal
  • Nacional scored 25 goals in 13 Clausura matches, showing strong attack

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Deportivo Pereira's +1.75 handicap is a pragmatic choice given Atletico Nacional's commanding home form and attacking statistics. Pereira's recent away resilience and ability to keep scorelines tight suggest they can avoid a heavy defeat. This bet balances Nacional's control with Pereira's defensive discipline, making it a tactically sound and data-supported selection for this fixture.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · handicap market tactical and form insight

“Atletico Nacional's home control is clear, but Deportivo Pereira's recent away performances show they can frustrate stronger teams and keep matches close, making the +1.75 handicap a smart way to back the visitors with a safety net.”

Key Data Signals

Deportivo Pereira to Win +1.75 (Handicap) evidence

Atletico Nacional unbeaten in last 24 home league matches

Deportivo Pereira has kept recent away matches close with narrow defeats and draws

Nacional averages 15.86 shots and 59% possession per game

Pereira's Asian Handicap +1.75 wins if they avoid defeat or lose by one goal

What To Watch In The Data

Deportivo Pereira to Win +1.75 (Handicap) notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.7, suggesting a moderately open game with scoring opportunities.
  • Nacional's 40% Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Pereira's 20%, indicating Nacional's games tend to be higher scoring.
  • This trend points to potential for goals but also the possibility of Pereira's defensive approach limiting the total, making goal markets less predictable.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atletico Nacional1.6
Avg goals scored
Deportivo Pereira1.2
Atletico Nacional0.6
Avg goals conceded
Deportivo Pereira1
Atletico Nacional40%
BTTS rate
Deportivo Pereira60%
Atletico Nacional40%
Over 2.5 goals
Deportivo Pereira20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 24%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams to score is uncertain given Atletico Nacional's strong attack and Pereira's recent scoring struggles. Pereira's defensive discipline and Nacional's average 1.6 goals per game suggest a possibility of a clean sheet, but Pereira's 60% BTTS rate keeps the door open for both sides scoring, indicating a cautious approach to this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atletico Nacional

DWWWL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
03 Nov 2026A Bucaramanga1-1
30 Oct 2026H Santa Fe2-0
25 Oct 2026H Independiente Medellin2-1
23 Oct 2026H Deportivo Pasto3-0
21 Oct 2026A Cucuta0-1

Deportivo Pereira

LWDWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
03 Nov 2026H Deportes Tolima1-3
30 Oct 2026H Jaguares1-0
25 Oct 2026A Once Caldas1-1
20 Oct 2026H Chico2-0
14 Oct 2026A Junior1-1
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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Deportivo Pereira to WinBetMGM guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
Recent form data shows Atletico Nacional with 10 points from their last five matches, scoring 1.6 goals and conceding 0.6 on average, reflecting strong offensive and defensive balance. Deportivo Pereira's 8 points with 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded indicate competitive but less consistent performances, supporting the handicap bet that accounts for Pereira's ability to keep matches close despite Nacional's superiority.

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Useful next reads

Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pereira predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDeportivo Pereira to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 24% vs implied 9% · edge +15 pts
11
Check odds @ 11
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The handicap market price at 1.75 reflects a balanced view between Atletico Nacional's strong home advantage and Deportivo Pereira's ability to keep matches close. While Nacional's control suggests a home win, the handicap provides coverage against narrow margins, making the price reasonable and tactically justified rather than a clear value bet.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Atletico Nacional Over 2.5
20%Deportivo Pereira Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.7, suggesting a moderately open game with scoring opportunities. Nacional's 40% Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Pereira's 20%, indicating Nacional's games tend to be higher scoring. This trend points to potential for goals but also the possibility of Pereira's defensive approach limiting the total, making goal markets less predictable.

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