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Saint Etienne crestSaint Etienne
v
Laval crestLaval

Ligue 2 | Sat 07 Nov, 19:00

Saint Etienne v Laval Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Saint Etienne leads Ligue 2 and hosts Laval, who sit 16th with a challenging season so far. Saint Etienne's solid home form contrasts with Laval's struggles, but Laval's recent performances show resilience, making this a tactical battle. Saint Etienne aims to maintain their lead with disciplined control, while Laval looks to exploit counter-attacks and set-piece opportunities. The match promises a cautious start with potential for Laval to avoid defeat, reflecting their need for points and Saint Etienne's measured approach.

BT4Y best bet

Laval Draw No Bet

  • Laval offers strong value with a 42% versus 22.7% implied .
  • Saint Etienne tops the league but Laval's resilience suggests a tight contest.
  • Laval's higher BTTS rate (60%) contrasts with Saint Etienne's lower 20%, indicating Laval's attacking intent.
  • Saint Etienne averages fewer goals conceded (1.0) than Laval (1.6), but Laval's attack is more potent (1.4 goals/game).

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Laval Draw No Bet as a value pick due to Laval's ability to score and their resilience despite league position. Laval's 42% chance to avoid defeat is significantly higher than the 22.7% implied by , highlighting value. Saint Etienne's strong league position is tempered by Laval's attacking threat and recent form. The model at 64% supports this cautious but optimistic stance. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation.

Model Chance37.7% model chance vs 22.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance37.7% model chance vs 22.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormLaval's resilience and scoring ability
Positive
League PositionSaint Etienne 1st vs Laval 16th
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Laval Draw No Bet is a sensible choice given Laval's attacking threat and ability to avoid defeat despite league struggles. Saint Etienne's top position is offset by Laval's resilience and goal-scoring potential, making this a tactical contest where Laval can secure at least a draw. The pick balances Laval's need for points and Saint Etienne's measured approach.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Value and tactical balance

“Laval's attacking edge and resilience make the Draw No Bet a compelling option against a strong Saint Etienne side that may not dominate as comfortably as league position suggests.”

Key Data Signals

Laval Draw No Bet evidence

Laval offers strong value with a 42% versus 22.7% implied .

Saint Etienne tops the league but Laval's resilience suggests a tight contest.

Laval's higher BTTS rate (60%) contrasts with Saint Etienne's lower 20%, indicating Laval's attacking intent.

Saint Etienne averages fewer goals conceded (1.0) than Laval (1.6), but Laval's attack is more potent (1.4 goals/game).

What To Watch In The Data

Laval Draw No Bet notes

  • In the last six meetings, the average goals scored is 2.33, indicating moderately open games.
  • Both teams have a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, suggesting balanced scoring opportunities.
  • The trend points to a match with chances for both sides, reinforcing Laval's potential to score and avoid defeat in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Saint Etienne1.2
Avg goals scored
Laval1.4
Saint Etienne1
Avg goals conceded
Laval1.6
Saint Etienne20%
BTTS rate
Laval60%
Saint Etienne40%
Over 2.5 goals
Laval40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 44% · edge +8.4 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Laval's 60% BTTS rate contrasts with Saint Etienne's 20%, indicating Laval's matches often see both teams scoring. Both teams have a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate, suggesting moderate scoring games. The average 2.33 goals in their six meetings supports a balanced goal expectation with potential for goals from both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Saint Etienne

LWWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
31 Oct 2026A Guingamp0-3
24 Oct 2026H Nantes1-0
17 Oct 2026A RED Star FC 931-0
10 Oct 2026H Rodez2-0
19 Sep 2026A Metz2-2

Laval

WLDLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
30 Oct 2026H Boulogne1-0
23 Oct 2026A Nancy0-1
16 Oct 2026H Clermont Foot3-3
09 Oct 2026A PAU2-3
18 Sep 2026H Sochaux1-1
Market aligned with main pickLaval Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Laval to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
Saint Etienne has accumulated 10 points recently with a solid defensive record, conceding just 1 goal per game. Laval has earned 5 points but shows a stronger attacking output with 1.4 goals per game despite conceding 1.6. Laval's recent form suggests potential to challenge Saint Etienne's defense and avoid defeat, supporting the Draw No Bet selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLaval Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Laval to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 37.7% for Laval Draw No Bet sits against roughly 22.7% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Saint Etienne have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Laval.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Saint Etienne Over 2.5
40%Laval Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
In the last six meetings, the average goals scored is 2.33, indicating moderately open games. Both teams have a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, suggesting balanced scoring opportunities. The trend points to a match with chances for both sides, reinforcing Laval's potential to score and avoid defeat in this fixture.

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