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San Diego crestSan Diego
v
Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

Major League Soccer | Sun 08 Nov, 00:00

San Diego v Sporting Kansas City Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:38 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

San Diego and Sporting Kansas City meet in a Major League Soccer clash where San Diego's recent form shows a stronger edge, having collected 6 points in their last matches compared to Sporting Kansas City's single point. San Diego's attack is more potent, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Sporting Kansas City struggles with just 0.8. Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals. The fixture presents a tactical battle with San Diego's offensive momentum likely to challenge Sporting Kansas City's defense, making the home side the favored contender in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

San Diego Draw No Bet

  • San Diego has earned 6 points recently, Sporting Kansas City only 1 point.
  • San Diego averages 1.8 goals per game; Sporting Kansas City averages 0.8.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches.
  • San Diego averages 15.6 shots and 5 corners per game, indicating attacking pressure.
  • Sporting Kansas City has a higher average of yellow cards (2.2) compared to San Diego (1.4).

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors San Diego Draw No Bet with a 78% chance, reflecting San Diego's superior recent form and attacking output. San Diego's higher average shots (15.6) and shots on target (5.2) compared to Sporting Kansas City's figures support their offensive control. The implied of 1.72 offer positive value against the model's 78% probability. Both teams' high Over 2.5 Goals rate suggests an open game, but San Diego's defensive resilience and home advantage underpin the in this selection.

Recent FormSan Diego 6 points vs Sporting Kansas City 1 point
Strong positive
Goal ScoringSan Diego 1.8 goals/game vs Sporting Kansas City 0.8
Strong positive
Shots per GameSan Diego 15.6 vs Sporting Kansas City 11
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateBoth teams 80%
Neutral
Implied vs Model Chance73.1% model chance vs 58.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

San Diego's recent form and attacking statistics make them the logical choice for a Draw No Bet selection. Their ability to create more chances and convert them, combined with Sporting Kansas City's struggles in scoring and accumulating points, supports backing San Diego to avoid defeat in this match.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and value

“San Diego's offensive consistency and home advantage position them well to at least avoid defeat, making the Draw No Bet a sensible and data-backed choice in this MLS fixture.”

Key Data Signals

San Diego Draw No Bet evidence

San Diego has earned 6 points recently, Sporting Kansas City only 1 point.

San Diego averages 1.8 goals per game; Sporting Kansas City averages 0.8.

Both teams have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches.

San Diego averages 15.6 shots and 5 corners per game, indicating attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

San Diego Draw No Bet notes

  • In the last three head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored have been low at 1 per match, indicating tight contests.
  • However, both teams have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, suggesting a shift towards more open play and higher scoring games.
  • This trend points to a likely increase in tempo and attacking opportunities, making Over 2.5 Goals a relevant consideration for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

San Diego1.8
Avg goals scored
Sporting Kansas City0.8
San Diego2.2
Avg goals conceded
Sporting Kansas City2.6
San Diego80%
BTTS rate
Sporting Kansas City80%
San Diego80%
Over 2.5 goals
Sporting Kansas City80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 74% · edge +2.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 83%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Both teams have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, indicating a strong tendency for open, high-scoring games. San Diego's average of 1.8 goals per game and Sporting Kansas City's 0.8 suggest San Diego will likely lead the scoring, but Sporting Kansas City's involvement in goal-rich matches supports the possibility of both teams scoring. This trend points to a dynamic attacking encounter with multiple goal opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSan Diego Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
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San Diego to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The 73.1% for San Diego Draw No Bet sits against roughly 58.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). San Diego have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Sporting Kansas City.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

San Diego

WLDDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 5D 4L
31 Oct 2026A St. Louis City1-0
29 Oct 2026A Vancouver Whitecaps1-4
25 Oct 2026H Seattle Sounders2-2
18 Oct 2026A Los Angeles Galaxy2-2
15 Oct 2026H Houston Dynamo3-3

Sporting Kansas City

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
31 Oct 2026H FC Dallas1-1
29 Oct 2026A Minnesota United FC1-3
25 Oct 2026H Austin1-2
18 Oct 2026H Real Salt Lake1-3
15 Oct 2026A Nashville SC0-4
Market aligned with main pickSan Diego Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
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San Diego to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
San Diego's recent form is notably stronger, having secured 6 points compared to Sporting Kansas City's 1 point in their latest matches. San Diego's offensive efficiency is evident with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game, while Sporting Kansas City's struggles are reflected in their 0.8 goals per game. This form disparity highlights San Diego's momentum and , which is critical in a high-stakes MLS fixture and supports the Draw No Bet selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%San Diego Over 2.5
80%Sporting Kansas City Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
In the last three head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored have been low at 1 per match, indicating tight contests. However, both teams have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, suggesting a shift towards more open play and higher scoring games. This trend points to a likely increase in tempo and attacking opportunities, making Over 2.5 Goals a relevant consideration for this fixture.

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