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AS Roma crestAS Roma
v
Sassuolo crestSassuolo

Serie A | Sat 07 Nov, 19:45

AS Roma v Sassuolo Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 11:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AS Roma hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash where offensive intent and defensive vulnerabilities shape expectations. Roma, sitting third in the league, have a strong attack averaging 2.8 goals per game but concede 1.4 on average, while Sassuolo struggles near the relegation zone with defensive frailties, conceding 3.4 goals per match. Both teams have shown a propensity to score and concede, with recent form highlighting Roma's ability to find the net and Sassuolo's resilience despite poor results. This fixture promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities at both ends, setting the stage for a lively encounter.

BT4Y best bet

AS Roma Asian Handicap -1.75

  • AS Roma averages 2.8 goals scored and concedes 1.4 per match this season.
  • Sassuolo concedes 3.4 goals per game but still scores 1.4 on average.
  • Both teams have a high BTTS rate: Roma 60%, Sassuolo 80%.
  • Recent form shows Roma with 11 points and Sassuolo struggling with just 1 point in last matches.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals, indicating open games between these sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is supported by strong attacking metrics from AS Roma and Sassuolo's ability to score despite defensive weaknesses. Roma's 60% BTTS rate combined with Sassuolo's 80% rate and their average goals conceded suggest goals at both ends. The model assigns a 76% chance to this outcome, reflecting bolstered by recent form and player attacking profiles. The price offers positive value with a 16.1% edge, making this a compelling selection without price caution. No data limitations affect in this pick.

AS Roma BTTS Rate60%
Strong positive
Sassuolo BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Model Chance50.2% model chance
Strong positive
Value Edge50.2% model chance
Strong positive
Implied Chance50.2% model chance
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown clear attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making Both Teams to Score a logical choice. Roma's offensive firepower and Sassuolo's ability to find the net despite conceding heavily create a scenario ripe for goals at both ends. The data confirms this with high BTTS rates and goal averages, supporting the tactical expectation of an open, end-to-end contest.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture features two sides with contrasting defensive records but shared attacking ambition, making Both Teams to Score a natural expectation. Roma's firepower combined with Sassuolo's resilience in attack suggests goals will flow from both teams.”

Key Data Signals

AS Roma Asian Handicap -1.75 evidence

AS Roma averages 2.8 goals scored and concedes 1.4 per match this season.

Sassuolo concedes 3.4 goals per game but still scores 1.4 on average.

Both teams have a high BTTS rate: Roma 60%, Sassuolo 80%.

Recent form shows Roma with 11 points and Sassuolo struggling with just 1 point in last matches.

What To Watch In The Data

AS Roma Asian Handicap -1.75 notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating a history of open games with multiple goals.
  • Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates stand at 60%, suggesting a tempo and attacking style conducive to a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

AS Roma2.8
Avg goals scored
Sassuolo1.4
AS Roma1.4
Avg goals conceded
Sassuolo3.4
AS Roma60%
BTTS rate
Sassuolo80%
AS Roma60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sassuolo60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 83%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability alongside defensive frailties, with Roma scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.4 goals per game, and Sassuolo scoring 1.4 but conceding 3.4. Their BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively underline the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Sassuolo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 36%
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
AS Roma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
AS Roma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Sassuolo to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The model rates AS Roma Asian Handicap -1.75 at 50.2% on the latest available numbers.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

AS Roma

WWDWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 3D 0L
31 Oct 2026A Udinese5-2
27 Oct 2026H Cagliari4-2
24 Oct 2026A Napoli3-3
17 Oct 2026H Genoa2-0
11 Oct 2026A Como0-0

Sassuolo

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
02 Nov 2026H Fiorentina2-4
27 Oct 2026H Lazio2-6
24 Oct 2026A Como0-2
16 Oct 2026A Frosinone2-4
11 Oct 2026H AC Milan1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Sassuolo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 36%
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
AS Roma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
AS Roma Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Sassuolo to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Recent form data shows Roma accumulating 11 points with an average of 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, reflecting strong offensive output and moderate defensive solidity. Sassuolo has struggled, earning just 1 point recently and conceding 3.4 goals per game, but maintains a high BTTS rate of 80%, indicating they continue to score despite poor results, supporting the BTTS selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%AS Roma Over 2.5
60%Sassuolo Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating a history of open games with multiple goals. Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates stand at 60%, suggesting a tempo and attacking style conducive to a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.

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