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Odense crestOdense
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Viborg crestViborg

Superliga | Sat 07 Nov, 17:00

Odense v Viborg Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 19:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Odense hosts Viborg in a key Danish Superliga clash where both teams have shown competitive form recently, each securing 9 points in their last five matches. Viborg currently sits higher in the table and boasts a slightly stronger attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Odense's 1.6, but Odense's defense is more resilient, conceding only 0.8 goals per match. The match promises tactical battles with Odense aiming to leverage home advantage and defensive solidity against Viborg's more aggressive offensive approach. Both sides have shown a willingness to engage in open play, setting up an intriguing contest with stakes for league positioning.

BT4Y best bet

Odense to Win

  • Odense has a 42.5% to win, priced at 2.75 with positive of 6.1%.
  • Odense concedes fewer goals per game (0.8) than Viborg (1.0), indicating defensive strength.
  • Viborg averages more shots (18.8) and shots on target (5.6) per game, suggesting offensive pressure.
  • Both teams have high BTTS rates: Odense 80%, Viborg 60%, indicating likelihood of goals from both sides.
  • Recent form is balanced with both teams earning 9 points in last five matches, showing competitive parity.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model favors Odense to win due to their stronger defensive record and home advantage, which offsets Viborg's superior attacking numbers. Odense's ability to limit opponents to fewer goals per game (0.8) compared to Viborg's 1.0 is a key factor. The positive at of 2.75 reflects a market underestimation of Odense's chances. is moderate at 52%, acknowledging competitive recent form and Viborg's offensive threat. No data limitations or price warnings apply, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Defensive strengthOdense concedes 0.8 goals per game
Strong positive
Home advantagePlaying at home boosts Odense's chances
Positive
Offensive pressureViborg averages 18.8 shots per game
Neutral
Value edge42.5% model chance vs 36.4% implied (+6.1 pts)
Strong positive
Recent form parityBoth teams earned 9 points in last 5 matches
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Odense's solid defensive record and home advantage provide a tactical edge in this balanced fixture. Despite Viborg's attacking threat, Odense's recent form and ability to restrict goals make them the favored side to secure victory in this Superliga encounter.

Main risk

Supporters know what their teams did last season, but the first game of a new campaign is where old conclusions begin to expire.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and defensive strengths

“Odense's defensive discipline combined with home support makes them a credible pick against a Viborg side that relies heavily on offensive pressure but concedes opportunities at the back.”

Key Data Signals

Odense to Win evidence

Odense has a 42.5% to win, priced at 2.75 with positive of 6.1%.

Odense concedes fewer goals per game (0.8) than Viborg (1.0), indicating defensive strength.

Viborg averages more shots (18.8) and shots on target (5.6) per game, suggesting offensive pressure.

Both teams have high BTTS rates: Odense 80%, Viborg 60%, indicating likelihood of goals from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Odense to Win notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.8, indicating a moderately open game with goal opportunities.
  • Odense's 40% rate for Over 2.5 goals contrasts with Viborg's 60%, suggesting Viborg's matches tend to be higher scoring.
  • This trend points to a potential for goals but balanced by Odense's defensive discipline.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Odense1.6
Avg goals scored
Viborg1.8
Odense0.8
Avg goals conceded
Viborg1
Odense80%
BTTS rate
Viborg60%
Odense40%
Over 2.5 goals
Viborg60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 39%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Odense at 80% and Viborg at 60%, suggesting goals from both sides are likely. The average goals in their last 10 head-to-head matches is 2.8, supporting a moderately open game with scoring chances. However, Odense's stronger defense may limit Viborg's scoring opportunities, balancing the goal potential.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOdense to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 36% · edge +6.1 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Odense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 42.5% for Odense to Win sits against roughly 36.4% implied by the current price (+6.1 pts). Odense have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Odense to Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Both Viborg and Odense show strong attacking output but defensive vulnerabilities, with recent friendlies exposing structural gaps.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Odense

WDWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
01 Nov 2026H Silkeborg4-1
26 Oct 2026A FC Copenhagen1-1
18 Oct 2026H Brondby2-1
09 Oct 2026A FC Nordsjaelland0-0
19 Sep 2026H FC Midtjylland1-1

Viborg

WLLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
01 Nov 2026H AC Horsens1-0
25 Oct 2026A Aarhus1-2
19 Oct 2026H FC Midtjylland1-2
11 Oct 2026A Randers FC2-0
20 Sep 2026H FC Nordsjaelland4-1
Market aligned with main pickOdense to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 36% · edge +6.1 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Odense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Both teams have earned 9 points in their last five matches, showing competitive and consistent form. Odense's recent defensive performances have been solid, conceding fewer goals, while Viborg's attack has been more prolific. This balance in form suggests a tight contest where Odense's defensive resilience could be decisive.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Odense Over 2.5
60%Viborg Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.8, indicating a moderately open game with goal opportunities. Odense's 40% rate for Over 2.5 goals contrasts with Viborg's 60%, suggesting Viborg's matches tend to be higher scoring. This trend points to a potential for goals but balanced by Odense's defensive discipline.

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