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Seattle Sounders crestSeattle Sounders
v
Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FC

Major League Soccer | Sun 08 Nov, 00:00

Seattle Sounders v Los Angeles FC Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 19:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Major League Soccer clash features Los Angeles FC aiming to capitalize on their stronger recent form and higher league standing against Seattle Sounders. Los Angeles FC have shown more attacking potency, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Seattle's 0.8, while maintaining a tighter defense. Seattle Sounders have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, which could be exploited by Los Angeles FC's dynamic midfield and forward line. The match carries significant weight as both teams seek to improve their playoff positioning, setting the stage for a competitive encounter with Los Angeles FC favored to secure the win.

BT4Y best bet

Los Angeles FC to Win

  • Los Angeles FC leads the league standings with 47 points, ahead of Seattle Sounders' 43 points.
  • Los Angeles FC averages 1.6 goals per game, double Seattle Sounders' 0.8 average.
  • Seattle Sounders concede 2 goals per match on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Los Angeles FC boasts a 65.9% to win, with strong value at 3.9 .
  • Los Angeles FC's attacking players, including D. Martínez, show high goal threat and shot volume.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Los Angeles FC's of 65.9% to win reflects their superior recent form, attacking efficiency, and defensive solidity compared to Seattle Sounders. The team averages more shots and shots on target per game, supported by key players like D. Bouanga with 18 goals and 1.56 shots on target per 90 minutes. Seattle's defensive frailties and lower goal output further enhance Los Angeles FC's winning prospects. The current of 3.9 offer strong value given the implied chance is only 25.6%, making this a compelling selection based on data and tactical context.

Recent FormLos Angeles FC has earned 6 points recently vs. Seattle's 2 points
Strong positive
Goal ScoringLos Angeles FC averages 1.6 goals per game vs. Seattle's 0.8
Strong positive
Defensive RecordSeattle concedes 2 goals per game, Los Angeles concedes 1.6
Positive
Shots and Shots on TargetLos Angeles averages 18.2 shots and 6 SOT per game
Strong positive
Model Value Edge42.8% model chance vs 27.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Los Angeles FC's superior attacking metrics and recent form make them the logical choice to win this match. Their ability to generate more shots and convert chances, combined with Seattle Sounders' defensive struggles, supports a confident selection for Los Angeles FC to secure victory. The data aligns with tactical expectations of Los Angeles FC controlling the game and capitalizing on opportunities.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Los Angeles FC's dynamic midfield and clinical finishing give them a clear edge over Seattle Sounders, whose defensive lapses have been costly this season. Expect Los Angeles FC to impose their style and secure the win through sustained pressure and quality attacking play.”

Key Data Signals

Los Angeles FC to Win evidence

Los Angeles FC leads the league standings with 47 points, ahead of Seattle Sounders' 43 points.

Los Angeles FC averages 1.6 goals per game, double Seattle Sounders' 0.8 average.

Seattle Sounders concede 2 goals per match on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Los Angeles FC boasts a 65.9% to win, with strong value at 3.9 .

What To Watch In The Data

Los Angeles FC to Win notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.7, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Los Angeles FC's higher over 2.5 goals rate of 60% compared to Seattle's 40% suggests this match could lean towards more goals, driven by Los Angeles FC's attacking tempo and ability to create quality chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Seattle Sounders0.8
Avg goals scored
Los Angeles FC1.6
Seattle Sounders2
Avg goals conceded
Los Angeles FC1.6
Seattle Sounders60%
BTTS rate
Los Angeles FC100%
Seattle Sounders40%
Over 2.5 goals
Los Angeles FC60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Los Angeles FC's matches feature a higher frequency of goals, averaging 1.6 per game, with a 100% BTTS rate, indicating both teams often score when they play. Seattle Sounders have a 60% BTTS rate and a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting this fixture could see multiple goals and both teams finding the net, aligning with Los Angeles FC's attacking style.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLos Angeles FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 42.8% for Los Angeles FC to Win sits against roughly 27.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Los Angeles FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for Seattle Sounders.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Seattle Sounders

LLDDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
01 Nov 2026A Vancouver Whitecaps1-5
29 Oct 2026H Houston Dynamo0-1
25 Oct 2026A San Diego2-2
18 Oct 2026H CF Montreal1-1
15 Oct 2026A FC Dallas0-1

Los Angeles FC

LDDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
02 Nov 2026H Minnesota United FC1-3
26 Oct 2026H Los Angeles Galaxy2-2
18 Oct 2026A New York City FC1-1
15 Oct 2026H Austin3-1
11 Oct 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps1-1
Market aligned with main pickLos Angeles FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Los Angeles FC Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Los Angeles FC's recent form is markedly stronger, securing 6 points compared to Seattle Sounders' 2 in their last matches. This momentum is reflected in their higher goal output and more consistent defensive performances, suggesting they enter this fixture with and tactical cohesion, increasing their chances of victory.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Seattle Sounders Over 2.5
60%Los Angeles FC Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.7, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Los Angeles FC's higher over 2.5 goals rate of 60% compared to Seattle's 40% suggests this match could lean towards more goals, driven by Los Angeles FC's attacking tempo and ability to create quality chances.

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