Football Stats Hub

Nautico Recife crestNautico Recife
v
CRB crestCRB

Serie B | Sun 08 Nov, 00:30

Nautico Recife v CRB Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B clash features Nautico Recife, struggling near the relegation zone, hosting a confident CRB side sitting comfortably in sixth place. Nautico Recife's recent form shows defensive frailty and limited attacking threat, while CRB has been more potent going forward and defensively more stable. The away team’s tactical setup emphasizes quick transitions and shot volume, contrasting with Nautico Recife's cautious approach. With CRB aiming to consolidate their playoff position and Nautico Recife fighting to avoid the drop, this match carries high stakes and tactical tension, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

CRB Draw No Bet

  • CRB ranks 6th with 55 points; Nautico Recife 15th with 46 points, showing clear table advantage for CRB
  • CRB averages 1.6 goals per game and concedes 1.4, Nautico Recife scores 0.2 and concedes 1.6, highlighting attacking disparity
  • CRB’s recent form yields 7 points versus Nautico Recife’s 4, indicating momentum edge for CRB
  • CRB has an 80% rate of Over 2.5 goals matches, Nautico Recife only 20%, suggesting more open games when CRB plays

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors CRB Draw No Bet with a 73.1% chance, reflecting CRB's superior recent form, more effective attack, and better defensive record compared to Nautico Recife. CRB's higher shot volume and goal threat underpin this , while Nautico Recife's struggles to score and defensive vulnerabilities increase the likelihood of CRB avoiding defeat. The price offers positive value with a 23.1% edge, making CRB Draw No Bet an attractive option. No data limitations affect , supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Recent form advantageCRB has 7 points in last matches vs Nautico Recife's 4
Strong positive
Goal scoring and defenseCRB scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4; Nautico Recife scores 0.2 and concedes 1.6
Strong positive
Shot volumeCRB averages 24.2 shots per game vs Nautico Recife's 15.2
Positive
Market price value65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

CRB's superior attacking output and recent form make them the safer choice to avoid defeat in this fixture. Nautico Recife's low scoring and defensive issues suggest they may struggle to contain CRB's threats, while CRB's motivation to secure playoff positioning adds tactical discipline. The Draw No Bet option balances the risk of a close match with CRB's clear quality edge.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical form

“CRB's consistent shot volume and goal threat combined with Nautico Recife's scoring struggles create a strong case for backing CRB to avoid defeat. Their tactical approach and form give them a clear edge in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

CRB Draw No Bet evidence

CRB ranks 6th with 55 points; Nautico Recife 15th with 46 points, showing clear table advantage for CRB

CRB averages 1.6 goals per game and concedes 1.4, Nautico Recife scores 0.2 and concedes 1.6, highlighting attacking disparity

CRB’s recent form yields 7 points versus Nautico Recife’s 4, indicating momentum edge for CRB

CRB has an 80% rate of Over 2.5 goals matches, Nautico Recife only 20%, suggesting more open games when CRB plays

What To Watch In The Data

CRB Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.1, indicating a relatively open fixture historically.
  • CRB's high Over 2.5 goals rate (80%) in recent matches suggests a tendency for more attacking games, while Nautico Recife's low rate (20%) points to defensive caution.
  • This contrast may lead to a match with scoring chances but tactical caution from Nautico Recife.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nautico Recife0.2
Avg goals scored
CRB1.6
Nautico Recife1.6
Avg goals conceded
CRB1.4
Nautico Recife0%
BTTS rate
CRB80%
Nautico Recife20%
Over 2.5 goals
CRB80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 52% · edge +4.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Goal trends favor CRB's attacking style, with an 80% Over 2.5 goals rate and 80% BTTS rate, contrasting sharply with Nautico Recife's 20% Over 2.5 and 0% BTTS. This disparity suggests CRB's matches tend to be more open and higher scoring, while Nautico Recife's games are tighter and lower scoring, influencing the likelihood of CRB scoring and avoiding defeat.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCRB Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
CRB to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
The 65% for CRB Draw No Bet sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). CRB have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Nautico Recife.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nautico Recife

WLDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
31 Oct 2026H Avai1-0
26 Oct 2026A Juventude0-4
19 Oct 2026A Goias0-0
11 Oct 2026H Vila Nova0-2
08 Oct 2026H Novorizontino0-2

CRB

LWLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
02 Nov 2026A Goias1-2
24 Oct 2026H Londrina2-1
18 Oct 2026H Botafogo SP0-1
12 Oct 2026A Fortaleza EC2-2
08 Oct 2026H Atletico Goianiense3-1
Market aligned with main pickCRB Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.02
Check odds @ 1.02
CRB to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
CRB's recent form shows 7 points gained with a strong attacking output, while Nautico Recife has only 4 points and struggles to score. This momentum difference reflects CRB's better tactical execution and , reinforcing their likelihood to avoid defeat. Nautico Recife's defensive frailty and low scoring reduce their chances of securing a positive result.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Nautico Recife Over 2.5
80%CRB Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 3.1, indicating a relatively open fixture historically. CRB's high Over 2.5 goals rate (80%) in recent matches suggests a tendency for more attacking games, while Nautico Recife's low rate (20%) points to defensive caution. This contrast may lead to a match with scoring chances but tactical caution from Nautico Recife.

Loading deeper match data…