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Orlando City SC crestOrlando City SC
v
New England Revolution crestNew England Revolution

Major League Soccer | Sat 07 Nov, 21:00

Orlando City SC v New England Revolution Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 07:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Orlando City SC and New England Revolution meet in a crucial Major League Soccer clash where attacking intent and recent goal-scoring form set the stage for an open contest. Orlando City SC has been involved in high-scoring games, averaging 2.2 goals per match and conceding 2.4, while New England Revolution boasts a strong attack with 2 goals per game and a more solid defense conceding 1.4. Both teams have shown a propensity for games with multiple goals, making this fixture ripe for an offensive showdown under lively conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Orlando City SC averages 2.2 goals scored and concedes 2.4 per game, indicating open play.
  • New England Revolution scores 2 goals per match and concedes only 1.4, showing attacking efficiency and defensive resilience.
  • Both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates: Orlando City SC at 100% and New England Revolution at 80%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 4.5 goals, highlighting a history of goal-rich encounters.
  • Orlando City SC averages 12.4 shots and 5.6 shots on target per game, reflecting sustained offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% chance, supported by both teams' attacking profiles and recent form. Orlando City SC's matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution's balanced attack and defense contribute to a dynamic game environment. The head-to-head average of 4.5 goals further underlines the likelihood of a high-scoring match. The at 1.83 offer a small positive , making this an attractive bet with standard stake guidance.

Orlando City SC scoring and conceding rates2.2 goals for, 2.4 goals against per game
Strong positive
New England Revolution scoring and conceding rates2 goals for, 1.4 goals against per game
Positive
Head-to-head average goals4.5 goals per match over last 10 meetings
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals rates100% Orlando City SC, 80% New England Revolution
Strong positive
Model confidence61%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game with both sides pushing forward aggressively. Orlando City SC's defensive frailties combined with New England Revolution's efficient offense suggest a match with multiple goals. The historical goal-rich encounters and current form data support the Over 3.5 Goals selection as a compelling option for bettors.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics

“This fixture promises a high-tempo battle where Orlando City's attacking freedom meets New England's clinical finishing, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical and exciting betting angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Orlando City SC averages 2.2 goals scored and concedes 2.4 per game, indicating open play.

New England Revolution scores 2 goals per match and concedes only 1.4, showing attacking efficiency and defensive resilience.

Both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates: Orlando City SC at 100% and New England Revolution at 80%.

The last 10 head-to-head matches average 4.5 goals, highlighting a history of goal-rich encounters.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, an average of 4.5 goals per game has been recorded, with both teams frequently involved in high-tempo, attacking football.
  • This trend suggests a continuation of goal-rich encounters, reinforcing the likelihood of Over 2.5 and by extension Over 3.5 Goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Orlando City SC2.2
Avg goals scored
New England Revolution2
Orlando City SC2.4
Avg goals conceded
New England Revolution1.4
Orlando City SC80%
BTTS rate
New England Revolution80%
Orlando City SC100%
Over 2.5 goals
New England Revolution80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 55% · edge +3.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Both teams have strong goal-scoring and conceding records, with Orlando City SC's matches always exceeding 2.5 goals recently and New England Revolution showing 80% Over 2.5 rates. The 4.5 average goals in their last 10 meetings underline the likelihood of multiple goals and both teams scoring, supporting an open game with offensive emphasis.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionNew England Revolution Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
New England Revolution to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Orlando City SC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+3.4 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Orlando City SC and 80% for New England Revolution, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Orlando City SC

LDDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Charlotte0-4
29 Oct 2026A Chicago Fire2-2
25 Oct 2026H New York City FC2-2
18 Oct 2026H DC United4-1
15 Oct 2026A Toronto FC3-3

New England Revolution

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 3L
02 Nov 2026H Inter Miami1-2
28 Oct 2026H New York Red Bulls3-2
25 Oct 2026A Philadelphia Union2-1
18 Oct 2026H Chicago Fire1-0
15 Oct 2026A FC Cincinnati3-2
Best odds for this sectionNew England Revolution Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
New England Revolution to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Orlando City SC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Orlando City SC to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent form data shows Orlando City SC averaging 2.2 goals per game and conceding 2.4, with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, reflecting highly open matches. New England Revolution has scored 2 goals per game and conceded 1.4, maintaining an 80% Over 2.5 rate. This form indicates both teams are involved in high-scoring encounters, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Orlando City SC Over 2.5
80%New England Revolution Over 2.5
4.5H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, an average of 4.5 goals per game has been recorded, with both teams frequently involved in high-tempo, attacking football. This trend suggests a continuation of goal-rich encounters, reinforcing the likelihood of Over 2.5 and by extension Over 3.5 Goals in this fixture.

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