Football Stats Hub

Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF
v
Orgryte IS crestOrgryte IS

Allsvenskan | Sun 05 Jul, 13:00

Kalmar FF v Orgryte IS Stats

Data last updated: Mon 27 Jul 2026, 21:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kalmar FF face Orgryte IS in Allsvenskan on Sun 05 Jul, 13:00. Kalmar FF come in with 6 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Orgryte IS have 1 points and 0.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.65, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Kalmar FF and 60% for Orgryte IS, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Kalmar FF are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Orgryte IS at 0.8.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Kalmar FF and 40% for Orgryte IS show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Kalmar FF and 60% for Orgryte IS, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Kalmar FF.Visible data support
Positive
Kalmar FF are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Kalmar FF and 60% for Orgryte IS, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Kalmar FF and 60% for Orgryte IS, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Kalmar FF are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.2 goals per match, with Orgryte IS at 0.8.

BTTS rates of 40% for Kalmar FF and 40% for Orgryte IS show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Kalmar FF6
Avg corners for
Orgryte IS4.2
Kalmar FF11.8
Avg total corners
Orgryte IS9
Kalmar FF1.4
Avg yellow cards
Orgryte IS1.6
Kalmar FF17.6
Avg shots
Orgryte IS9.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 67% · edge -1.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kalmar FF1.2
Avg goals scored
Orgryte IS0.8
Kalmar FF1.6
Avg goals conceded
Orgryte IS2.6
Kalmar FF40%
BTTS rate
Orgryte IS40%
Kalmar FF60%
Over 2.5 goals
Orgryte IS60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 61% · edge +1 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for Kalmar FF and 60% for Orgryte IS, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 61% · edge +1 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Kalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Orgryte IS Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Orgryte IS to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kalmar FF

LWLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
30 May 2026A Gais0-3
23 May 2026H Degerfors IF2-1
17 May 2026A IF Brommapojkarna0-1
10 May 2026H Halmstad2-0
02 May 2026A Sirius2-3

Orgryte IS

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
29 May 2026H IF Elfsborg2-2
23 May 2026A Halmstad0-2
19 May 2026H IFK Goteborg2-3
11 May 2026A Sirius0-2
03 May 2026A Gais0-4
Best odds for this sectionKalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 69% · edge +2.7 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Orgryte IS Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Orgryte IS to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Kalmar FF wins
1Draws
1Orgryte IS wins
07 Mar 2026Kalmar FF v Orgryte IS2-2
01 Nov 2025Orgryte IS v Kalmar FF0-2
22 Jun 2025Kalmar FF v Orgryte IS2-3
23 Feb 2020Kalmar FF v Orgryte IS3-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 61% · edge +1 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Kalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Orgryte IS to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 21%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Kalmar FF14
Played
Orgryte IS14
Kalmar FF1.3
Avg goals for
Orgryte IS1
Kalmar FF1.4
Avg goals against
Orgryte IS2.4
Kalmar FF2
Clean sheets
Orgryte IS2
Best odds for this sectionKalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 69% · edge +2.7 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Orgryte IS Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Orgryte IS to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
Season data supports Kalmar FF to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Kalmar FF1714527-2
15Orgryte IS1014248-19
Kalmar FF sit in position 11, while Orgryte IS sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
60%Orgryte IS Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Kalmar FF sit at 60% and Orgryte IS sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

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