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Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF
v
Orgryte IS crestOrgryte IS

Allsvenskan | Sun 05 Jul, 13:00

Kalmar FF v Orgryte IS Stats

Data last updated: Sat 04 Jul 2026, 04:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kalmar FF hosts Orgryte IS in an Allsvenskan clash where Kalmar FF aims to capitalize on their superior recent form and home advantage. Kalmar FF has collected 6 points in their last matches compared to Orgryte IS's single point, reflecting a sharper momentum. Both teams have shown moderate attacking intent, but Kalmar FF's higher shot volume and better defensive resilience suggest they will control the game tempo. Orgryte IS faces pressure to improve results, but Kalmar FF's tactical setup and squad depth position them as favorites in this contest.

BT4Y best bet

Kalmar FF to Win

  • Kalmar FF has earned 6 points recently versus Orgryte IS's 1 point.
  • Kalmar FF averages 17.6 shots per game, nearly double Orgryte IS's 9.6.
  • Kalmar FF concedes fewer goals per match (1.6) compared to Orgryte IS (2.6).
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play.
  • Kalmar FF ranks 13th in the league, ahead of Orgryte IS at 16th, showing a slight quality edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Kalmar FF to win with a 72.1% chance based on their stronger recent form, higher shot volume, and better defensive record. Kalmar FF's offensive players, including A. Sagoe, contribute significantly to goal threat and chance creation, supporting the likelihood of a home victory. Orgryte IS's defensive vulnerabilities and lower scoring output further tilt the balance. No price warning is needed as the reflect the model's , making this a solid selection with standard stake guidance.

Recent formKalmar FF 6 points vs Orgryte IS 1 point
Strong positive
Shot volumeKalmar FF 17.6 avg shots vs Orgryte IS 9.6
Strong positive
Defensive recordKalmar FF concedes 1.6 goals vs Orgryte IS 2.6
Positive
Player attacking impactOlusanya and Sagoe key contributors for Kalmar FF
Positive
League positionKalmar FF 13th vs Orgryte IS 16th
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Kalmar FF's superior recent form and offensive firepower make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their ability to generate significantly more shots and create quality chances, combined with Orgryte IS's defensive struggles, suggests Kalmar FF will control the match and convert opportunities to win.

Main risk

The main risk is Kalmar FF's defensive record, conceding 1.6 goals per game, which could allow Orgryte IS to exploit chances if Kalmar FF's attack is contained.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · attacking quality and defensive weakness

“Kalmar FF's attacking players, particularly Olusanya and Sagoe, provide a clear edge in chance creation and goal threat, which should be decisive against a defensively vulnerable Orgryte IS.”

Key Data Signals

Kalmar FF to Win evidence

Kalmar FF has earned 6 points recently versus Orgryte IS's 1 point.

Kalmar FF averages 17.6 shots per game, nearly double Orgryte IS's 9.6.

Kalmar FF concedes fewer goals per match (1.6) compared to Orgryte IS (2.6).

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play.

What To Watch In The Data

Kalmar FF to Win notes

  • The last four head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.5 goals, supporting the trend for open, attacking games.
  • Both teams' 60% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals, driven by offensive intent and defensive frailties.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Kalmar FF6
Avg corners for
Orgryte IS4.2
Kalmar FF11.8
Avg total corners
Orgryte IS9
Kalmar FF1.4
Avg yellow cards
Orgryte IS1.6
Kalmar FF17.6
Avg shots
Orgryte IS9.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 67% · edge -1.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Kalmar FF averages 6 corners and 1.4 yellow cards per game, showing active attacking pressure and moderate discipline. Orgryte IS's lower corners (4.2) and slightly higher card rate (1.6 yellows) reflect less territorial control but a combative approach. Shot data confirms Kalmar FF's superior offensive pressure with 17.6 shots per game versus 9.6 for Orgryte IS.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kalmar FF1.2
Avg goals scored
Orgryte IS0.8
Kalmar FF1.6
Avg goals conceded
Orgryte IS2.6
Kalmar FF40%
BTTS rate
Orgryte IS40%
Kalmar FF60%
Over 2.5 goals
Orgryte IS60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 83% · edge -3.7 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a propensity for open games with scoring opportunities. However, Kalmar FF's lower BTTS rate (40%) suggests they may control defensive phases better, potentially limiting Orgryte IS's scoring chances.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickKalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
The pricing for Kalmar FF to win aligns well with the model's 72.1% chance, reflecting in their home advantage and form. The market appears fairly priced without significant value or warning signals, suggesting a standard stake approach is appropriate.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kalmar FF

LWLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
30 May 2026A Gais0-3
23 May 2026H Degerfors IF2-1
17 May 2026A IF Brommapojkarna0-1
10 May 2026H Halmstad2-0
02 May 2026A Sirius2-3

Orgryte IS

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
29 May 2026H IF Elfsborg2-2
23 May 2026A Halmstad0-2
19 May 2026H IFK Goteborg2-3
11 May 2026A Sirius0-2
03 May 2026A Gais0-4
Market aligned with main pickKalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Kalmar FF's recent accumulation of 6 points contrasts sharply with Orgryte IS's single point, highlighting a momentum advantage. Kalmar FF's ability to score 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.6 shows a balanced but effective approach, whereas Orgryte IS's lower scoring and higher concession rates underline their struggles.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Kalmar FF wins
1Draws
1Orgryte IS wins
07 Mar 2026Kalmar FF v Orgryte IS2-2
01 Nov 2025Orgryte IS v Kalmar FF0-2
22 Jun 2025Kalmar FF v Orgryte IS2-3
23 Feb 2020Kalmar FF v Orgryte IS3-0
Market aligned with main pickKalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The four recent meetings between Kalmar FF and Orgryte IS have produced an average of 3.5 goals per game, indicating a tendency for open contests. While the sample is limited, this trend supports expectations of a dynamic match with scoring opportunities for both sides.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Kalmar FF10
Played
Orgryte IS10
Kalmar FF1.1
Avg goals for
Orgryte IS1
Kalmar FF1.5
Avg goals against
Orgryte IS2.5
Kalmar FF1
Clean sheets
Orgryte IS1
Market aligned with main pickKalmar FF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Kalmar FF's season stats reveal a more potent attack and tighter defense compared to Orgryte IS. Averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding 1.6 per match, Kalmar FF demonstrates a better overall balance, supporting their status as favorites to win at home.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Kalmar FF1010316-4
16Orgryte IS610136-15
Kalmar FF sits 13th in the Allsvenskan table, ahead of Orgryte IS in 16th, reflecting a marginal quality difference. While neither team is in top form, Kalmar FF's higher point total and league position provide a slight edge in competitive context.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
60%Orgryte IS Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The last four head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.5 goals, supporting the trend for open, attacking games. Both teams' 60% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals, driven by offensive intent and defensive frailties.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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