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Operario-PR crestOperario-PR
v
Sport Recife crestSport Recife

Serie B | Fri 06 Nov, 22:30

Operario-PR v Sport Recife Stats

Data last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B clash features Operario-PR hosting Sport Recife in a contest where the visitors hold a slight edge in recent form and league standing. Sport Recife currently sit 8th with 55 points, just ahead of Operario-PR in 11th with 51 points. Sport Recife have averaged 1.2 goals per game recently and show a more potent attack compared to Operario-PR's 0.6 goals per game. Both teams have similar defensive records, but Sport Recife's sharper offensive output and higher recent points tally suggest they are the more likely winners in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Sport Recife to Win

  • Sport Recife ranks higher in the table with 55 points versus Operario-PR's 51.
  • Sport Recife averages twice as many goals per game (1.2) compared to Operario-PR (0.6).
  • Sport Recife's recent form yields 8 points compared to Operario-PR's 3 points in recent matches.
  • Sport Recife generates more shots on target per game (4.4) than Operario-PR (2.6).
  • Sport Recife has a strong goal threat from attackers Neto Pessoa and Perotti, both with high shot volumes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Sport Recife's of 67.5% to win is supported by their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and more active attacking players. Their average of 1.2 goals per game and 4.4 shots on target per match contrasts with Operario-PR's lower offensive output. The visitors' attackers, including Neto Pessoa and Perotti, consistently create quality chances, while Operario-PR's defense concedes at a similar rate but lacks the attacking firepower to compensate. This combination underpins the strong in a Sport Recife victory, with no price warning needed due to a healthy of 25.5%.

Recent form pointsSport Recife 8 vs Operario-PR 3
Strong positive
Goals per gameSport Recife 1.2 vs Operario-PR 0.6
Strong positive
Shots on target per gameSport Recife 4.4 vs Operario-PR 2.6
Strong positive
Model confidence67%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sport Recife's superior attacking metrics and recent form make them the favored side to win this Serie B fixture. Their ability to generate more shots and goals, combined with a higher league position, provides a solid foundation for victory. Operario-PR's struggles to score and lower recent points tally reduce their chances of causing an upset.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Sport Recife's attacking consistency and higher shot volume give them a clear edge in this matchup, making them the logical choice for the win despite Operario-PR's home setting.”

Key Data Signals

Sport Recife to Win evidence

Sport Recife ranks higher in the table with 55 points versus Operario-PR's 51.

Sport Recife averages twice as many goals per game (1.2) compared to Operario-PR (0.6).

Sport Recife's recent form yields 8 points compared to Operario-PR's 3 points in recent matches.

Sport Recife generates more shots on target per game (4.4) than Operario-PR (2.6).

What To Watch In The Data

Sport Recife to Win notes

  • The last seven head-to-head matches have averaged 3.29 goals, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple scoring chances.
  • Both teams have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate recently, supporting the potential for a lively encounter with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Operario-PR0.6
Avg goals scored
Sport Recife1.2
Operario-PR1.4
Avg goals conceded
Sport Recife1.2
Operario-PR40%
BTTS rate
Sport Recife80%
Operario-PR40%
Over 2.5 goals
Sport Recife40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 60% · edge +13.4 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, but Sport Recife's 80% BTTS rate suggests they are more likely to be involved in matches where both sides score. The average goals per game in their head-to-head meetings is 3.29, supporting a potentially open game with multiple goals.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSport Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Sport Recife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The 57% for Sport Recife to Win sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Sport Recife have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 3 for Operario-PR.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Operario-PR

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
01 Nov 2026A Novorizontino1-2
23 Oct 2026H Athletic Club1-0
17 Oct 2026A America Mineiro0-1
11 Oct 2026H Goias0-2
07 Oct 2026H Botafogo SP1-2

Sport Recife

DWLDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Botafogo SP1-1
24 Oct 2026H Criciuma2-1
17 Oct 2026H Fortaleza EC0-2
11 Oct 2026A Atletico Goianiense1-1
06 Oct 2026H São Bernardo2-1
Market aligned with main pickSport Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 82%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Sport Recife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Sport Recife's recent form is markedly stronger, accumulating 8 points in recent matches compared to Operario-PR's 3. This momentum is reflected in their higher goal-scoring rate and more frequent shots on target, indicating a team in better attacking rhythm and heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Operario-PR Over 2.5
40%Sport Recife Over 2.5
3.29H2H avg goals
The last seven head-to-head matches have averaged 3.29 goals, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple scoring chances. Both teams have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate recently, supporting the potential for a lively encounter with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

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