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Twente crestTwente
v
Pafos crestPafos

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 05 Nov, 20:00

Twente v Pafos Stats

Data last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026, 22:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Twente hosts Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League aiming to maintain a perfect group stage record. Twente's recent form is explosive, scoring 15 goals in their last three wins, including a historic 9-0 league victory. Despite defensive absences, their attacking midfielders and forwards create sustained pressure. Pafos, while struggling for consistency, have shown resilience on the road with three wins in six away matches and a tendency to score even in tough European fixtures. The tactical battle will see Twente controlling possession and pressing high, while Pafos look to exploit defensive gaps and counterattack.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Twente averages 2.47 goals and 21.79 shots per game, indicating strong attacking potential.
  • Pafos have scored in recent away European matches, supporting BTTS chances.
  • Twente missing key defenders and goalkeeper, increasing defensive vulnerability.
  • Pafos conceded 11 goals in last six European matches, showing defensive frailty.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% probability, above the implied 58% , reflecting Twente's prolific attack and Pafos's consistent away scoring. Twente's high shot volume and possession control create multiple chances, while Pafos's ability to score despite defensive struggles supports the BTTS outcome. Defensive absences for Twente increase the likelihood of conceding, balancing their recent solidity. This combination of attacking strength and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides justifies in BTTS, with no price warning needed.

Twente attacking output2.47 goals/game, 21.79 shots/game
Strong positive
Pafos away scoring record3 wins in last 6 away matches, 1.19 goals/game
Positive
Twente defensive absencesMissing key goalkeeper and defenders
Positive
Pafos defensive record11 goals conceded in last 6 European matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a strong tactical and statistical pick here. Twente's attacking momentum and Pafos's proven ability to score on the road combine to make BTTS a likely outcome. Defensive absences for Twente add to the chance of conceding, while Pafos's recent European form shows they can find the net even against superior opposition.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Twente's relentless attacking style paired with Pafos's away goal threat creates a compelling case for Both Teams to Score. Defensive gaps on both sides further enhance the likelihood of goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Twente averages 2.47 goals and 21.79 shots per game, indicating strong attacking potential.

Pafos have scored in recent away European matches, supporting BTTS chances.

Twente missing key defenders and goalkeeper, increasing defensive vulnerability.

Pafos conceded 11 goals in last six European matches, showing defensive frailty.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In recent matches, Twente has a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, while Pafos has a 50% rate, indicating a moderate likelihood of a high-scoring game.
  • The trend over the last five matches suggests a tempo and attacking openness conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the BTTS market's appeal in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Twente2.4
Avg goals scored
Pafos1.75
Twente1.2
Avg goals conceded
Pafos1.75
Twente60%
BTTS rate
Pafos100%
Twente60%
Over 2.5 goals
Pafos50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Twente's average of 2.47 goals per game and Pafos's 1.19 goals per game suggest a match with multiple goals. Twente's recent 15 goals in three wins and Pafos's consistent away scoring support the likelihood of both teams scoring. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides further increase the chances of goals at both ends.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and predictionsTwente v Pafos predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Pafos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Twente Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Twente to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Pafos to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The 72.8% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Twente show a 60% BTTS rate and Pafos show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: BTTS Yes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Twente

WWWLD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 1L
22 Oct 2026A Lincoln Red Imps FC4-1
15 Oct 2026H FC Thun1-0
27 Aug 2026A Qarabag4-1
20 Aug 2026H Qarabag0-1
13 Aug 2026A Dunajska Streda3-3

Pafos

DLWD
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 1L
22 Oct 2026H Riga1-1
15 Oct 2026A Atalanta1-3
27 Aug 2026H Dinamo Tirana4-2
20 Aug 2026A Dinamo Tirana1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
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Pafos Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Twente Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Twente to WinBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Pafos to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
6
Check odds @ 6
Twente has collected 10 points recently, scoring 2.4 goals and conceding 1.2 per game, showing strong offensive form with some defensive concessions. Pafos has 5 points with 1.75 goals scored and conceded per game, indicating a more open and less stable form. Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Pafos at 100%, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Twente Over 2.5
50%Pafos Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In recent matches, Twente has a 60% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, while Pafos has a 50% rate, indicating a moderate likelihood of a high-scoring game. The trend over the last five matches suggests a tempo and attacking openness conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the BTTS market's appeal in this fixture.

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