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Chico crestChico
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Internacional de Bogota crestInternacional de Bogota

Primera A | Fri 06 Nov, 23:00

Chico v Internacional de Bogota Stats

Data last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Primera A fixture features Internacional de Bogota traveling to face Chico, with both sides seeking crucial points late in the season. Internacional de Bogota holds a slight advantage in recent form and league standing, sitting 12th with 20 points compared to Chico's 17th place and 16 points. Internacional de Bogota's attack has been more productive, averaging 1.6 goals per game versus Chico's 0.6, while defensively they concede fewer goals. The match promises tactical intensity as Internacional de Bogota aims to capitalize on their offensive edge and secure a vital away victory.

BT4Y best bet

Internacional de Bogota to Win

  • Internacional de Bogota averages 1.6 goals per game compared to Chico's 0.6
  • Internacional de Bogota concedes fewer goals (1.2) than Chico (1.8)
  • Internacional de Bogota has an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goal exchanges
  • Chico's recent form yields only 4 points, while Internacional de Bogota has 8
  • Internacional de Bogota ranks higher in the league (12th) versus Chico (17th)

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Internacional de Bogota to win with a 68.4% chance, reflecting their stronger offensive output and better defensive record compared to Chico. Internacional de Bogota's higher goal-scoring rate and more consistent recent form underpin this . The implied of 2.75 offer positive value given the model's edge of 32%. The away side's ability to create quality chances, supported by key attackers like I. Garcés, further strengthens the case. No data limitations or price warnings affect this selection, making it a solid choice based on current evidence.

Model Win Probability68.4%
Strong positive
Goal Scoring Rate1.6 goals per game
Strong positive
Defensive Solidity1.2 goals conceded per game
Positive
Recent Form Points8 points in last matches
Positive
Value Edge vs Odds51.4% model chance vs 36.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Internacional de Bogota's superior attacking efficiency and recent momentum make them the likely winners in this matchup. Their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Chico's struggles to score and higher goals conceded, tipping the balance in favor of an away victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and attacking-defensive balance

“Internacional de Bogota's blend of attacking threat and defensive stability positions them well to overcome Chico, who have shown vulnerabilities at both ends. The away side's key forwards have the quality to exploit these weaknesses effectively.”

Key Data Signals

Internacional de Bogota to Win evidence

Internacional de Bogota averages 1.6 goals per game compared to Chico's 0.6

Internacional de Bogota concedes fewer goals (1.2) than Chico (1.8)

Internacional de Bogota has an 80% BTTS rate, indicating frequent goal exchanges

Chico's recent form yields only 4 points, while Internacional de Bogota has 8

What To Watch In The Data

Internacional de Bogota to Win notes

  • In the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals per game is 2.3, suggesting a moderately open game.
  • Internacional de Bogota's higher over 2.5 goals rate (60%) compared to Chico's (20%) points to a tendency for more attacking play and goal opportunities in their matches, supporting an expectation of multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Chico0.6
Avg goals scored
Internacional de Bogota1.6
Chico1.8
Avg goals conceded
Internacional de Bogota1.2
Chico40%
BTTS rate
Internacional de Bogota80%
Chico20%
Over 2.5 goals
Internacional de Bogota60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Internacional de Bogota's matches feature a high BTTS rate of 80%, indicating frequent goal exchanges, while Chico's lower scoring rate and 40% BTTS suggest fewer goals. The combination points to a game where Internacional de Bogota is likely to score, but Chico may also find chances, supporting a dynamic goal environment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickInternacional de Bogota to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Internacional de Bogota Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
The 51.4% for Internacional de Bogota to Win sits against roughly 36.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Internacional de Bogota have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Chico.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Chico

LDWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
01 Nov 2026A Deportivo Cali0-2
28 Oct 2026H Junior1-1
24 Oct 2026H Bucaramanga1-0
20 Oct 2026A Deportivo Pereira0-2
17 Oct 2026H Atletico Nacional1-4

Internacional de Bogota

WLWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
29 Oct 2026H Independiente Medellin3-1
25 Oct 2026A Alianza Valledupar0-1
21 Oct 2026H Fortaleza FC2-1
11 Oct 2026A Junior2-2
04 Oct 2026H Once Caldas1-1
Market aligned with main pickInternacional de Bogota to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Internacional de Bogota Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Internacional de Bogota's recent form is stronger, accumulating 8 points compared to Chico's 4 in recent matches. This momentum reflects better offensive output and defensive resilience, suggesting Internacional de Bogota is in a better position to control the game and secure a win.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Chico Over 2.5
60%Internacional de Bogota Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
In the last ten matches between these teams, the average goals per game is 2.3, suggesting a moderately open game. Internacional de Bogota's higher over 2.5 goals rate (60%) compared to Chico's (20%) points to a tendency for more attacking play and goal opportunities in their matches, supporting an expectation of multiple goals.

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