Football Stats Hub

Venezia crestVenezia
v
Udinese crestUdinese

Serie A | Fri 06 Nov, 19:45

Venezia v Udinese Stats

Data last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026, 16:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Udinese approach this Serie A clash unbeaten in three matches across all competitions, showcasing a varied attacking threat despite key absences such as Nicolo Zaniolo. Their recent 3-2 win at Monza highlighted multiple goal sources and solid possession control. Venezia, meanwhile, have struggled to find the net in the league despite scoring three goals in the Coppa Italia, reflecting a contrast between cup efficiency and league difficulties. Defensive vulnerabilities on Venezia's part, especially conceding three goals in each of their last two visits to Udine, set the stage for a competitive encounter with goals likely at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Venezia Asian Handicap -0.25

  • Udinese are unbeaten in three matches with multiple goal scorers recently.
  • Venezia have scored three goals in the cup but none in Serie A so far.
  • Venezia conceded three goals in each of their last two trips to Udine.
  • Udinese controlled 57% possession and had five shots on target in their last away win.
  • Both teams have attacking players capable of scoring, supporting BTTS.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 13.8% chance for Udinese to win with both teams scoring, reflecting Udinese's varied attacking options and Venezia's cup scoring ability despite league struggles. However, the current market price implies a 23.1% chance, making the short and the negative. This suggests caution and recommends reduced stakes or waiting for better . the football read remains strong due to Udinese's unbeaten run and Venezia's demonstrated ability to score in knockout matches, but price sensitivity advises careful stake management.

Model Chance51.7% model chance
Positive
Implied Market Chance51.7% model chance
Negative
Value Edge51.7% model chance
Negative
Confidence Level48%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Udinese's unbeaten form and multiple goal threats make them strong favorites to win, while Venezia's cup scoring suggests they can breach Udinese's defense. This combination supports a home win with goals at both ends, reflecting tactical balance and recent attacking performances from both sides.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome and goals

“Udinese's diverse attacking options and Venezia's cup scoring prowess create a compelling scenario for a home win with goals from both teams, despite Venezia's league scoring drought.”

Key Data Signals

Venezia Asian Handicap -0.25 evidence

Udinese are unbeaten in three matches with multiple goal scorers recently.

Venezia have scored three goals in the cup but none in Serie A so far.

Venezia conceded three goals in each of their last two trips to Udine.

Udinese controlled 57% possession and had five shots on target in their last away win.

What To Watch In The Data

Venezia Asian Handicap -0.25 notes

  • The last five meetings between these teams have averaged 3.8 goals per game, indicating a history of open, high-scoring encounters.
  • Combined with recent form and attacking profiles, this trend suggests Over 2.5 goals is a realistic expectation for this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Venezia0.4
Avg goals scored
Udinese0.6
Venezia1.4
Avg goals conceded
Udinese2.4
Venezia20%
BTTS rate
Udinese40%
Venezia20%
Over 2.5 goals
Udinese60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Udinese have scored four goals in their first two Serie A matches, with three different players finding the net recently, showing attacking variety. Venezia have yet to score in the league but netted three in the Coppa Italia, indicating potential to break their drought. This supports the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickVenezia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 44% · edge +10.5 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Venezia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The model rates Venezia Asian Handicap -0.25 at 51.7% on the latest available numbers. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Venezia

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 9L
01 Nov 2026A Como0-1
28 Oct 2026H Inter0-2
25 Oct 2026A Genoa0-1
17 Oct 2026H Napoli1-0
12 Oct 2026A Atalanta1-3

Udinese

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
31 Oct 2026H AS Roma2-5
28 Oct 2026A Parma0-0
25 Oct 2026H AC Milan0-2
18 Oct 2026H Lecce0-3
12 Oct 2026A Torino1-2
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 74% · edge +7.7 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Venezia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Venezia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Udinese's unbeaten run across three matches, including a 3-2 away win, highlights their current momentum and attacking efficiency. Venezia's recent form contrasts sharply, with no league goals and two defeats, though their cup performance shows attacking potential. This form disparity underpins the expectation of a home win with goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Venezia Over 2.5
60%Udinese Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
The last five meetings between these teams have averaged 3.8 goals per game, indicating a history of open, high-scoring encounters. Combined with recent form and attacking profiles, this trend suggests Over 2.5 goals is a realistic expectation for this match.

Loading deeper match data…