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St. Truiden crestSt. Truiden
v
Brann crestBrann

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 05 Nov, 20:00

St. Truiden v Brann Stats

Data last updated: Wed 04 Nov 2026, 21:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League clash features St. Truiden hosting Brann in a pivotal group stage encounter. Brann arrives in strong form, unbeaten in recent matches and boasting a potent attack that averages 2.8 goals per game. Truiden, meanwhile, have struggled offensively, scoring just 1.5 goals per game and failing to find the net in recent outings. The tactical battle will likely see Brann leverage their attacking efficiency and recent momentum to challenge St. Truiden's defense, making this a high-stakes fixture with qualification implications for both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Brann to Win

  • Brann holds a 70% to win with strong value at 4.33 .
  • Brann averages 2.8 goals per game and scores in 100% of recent matches (BTTS rate).
  • Truiden has not scored in recent matches and has a 0% BTTS rate.
  • Holm is a key attacking threat with 3 goals and 4.13 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  • Brann ranks 3rd in the group with 6 points, matching St. Truiden but with superior recent form.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Brann to win due to their superior recent form and attacking output, averaging 2.8 goals per game compared to St. Brann's perfect BTTS rate and high shot volume, combined with St. Truiden's recent scoring drought and zero BTTS rate, underline Brann's offensive edge. The of 4.33 offer significant value given the implied chance is only 23.1%, while the model estimates a 70% win probability. This mismatch in attacking efficiency and momentum supports backing Brann despite the away fixture.

Recent FormBrann unbeaten with 13 points vs St. Truiden's 6 points
Strong positive
Goals ScoredBrann 2.8 per game vs St. Truiden 1.5
Strong positive
BTTS RateBrann 100% vs St. Truiden 0%
Strong positive
Odds Value Edge35% model chance vs 23.1% implied (+11.9 pts)
Strong positive
Data QualityComplete data for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Brann's attacking prowess and unbeaten recent form make them the clear choice to win this match. Their ability to consistently score and pressure opponents contrasts with St. Truiden's offensive struggles, providing a strong tactical and statistical basis for backing Brann in this crucial group stage game.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and attacking efficiency

“Brann's dynamic attack, led by N. Holm, combined with St. Truiden's recent scoring woes, sets the stage for an away victory. Their clinical finishing and momentum give them a decisive edge in this UEFA Conference League fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Brann to Win evidence

Brann holds a 70% to win with strong value at 4.33 .

Brann averages 2.8 goals per game and scores in 100% of recent matches (BTTS rate).

Truiden has not scored in recent matches and has a 0% BTTS rate.

Holm is a key attacking threat with 3 goals and 4.13 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Brann to Win notes

  • In the last five matches, Brann has featured in games with a high rate of Over 2.5 Goals (80%), driven by their attacking style and ability to create chances.
  • Truiden's matches have not reached this threshold, reflecting their lower scoring output.
  • The trend suggests a fast-paced game with multiple goal opportunities, favoring Brann's offensive approach.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

St. Truiden1.5
Avg goals scored
Brann2.8
St. Truiden0
Avg goals conceded
Brann1.4
St. Truiden0%
BTTS rate
Brann100%
St. Truiden0%
Over 2.5 goals
Brann80%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Brann's perfect BTTS rate and high average goals per game (2.8) contrast sharply with St. Truiden's zero BTTS rate and lower scoring average (1.5). This suggests a match likely to feature goals from Brann, while St. Truiden's recent inability to score reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring game overall. The goal trends favor Brann's offensive control.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBrann to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 35% vs implied 23% · edge +11.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The 35% for Brann to Win sits against roughly 23.1% implied by the current price (+11.9 pts). Brann have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for St.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa Conference League hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

St. Truiden

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
22 Oct 2026A FC Midtjylland1-0
15 Oct 2026H FC Iberia 19992-0

Brann

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 1L
22 Oct 2026A Kauno Žalgiris4-1
15 Oct 2026H Lincoln Red Imps FC2-1
27 Aug 2026H PAOK3-2
20 Aug 2026A PAOK1-1
11 Aug 2026A Apollon Limassol4-2
Market aligned with main pickBrann to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 35% vs implied 23% · edge +11.9 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Brann's recent form is impressive, accumulating 13 points with consistent goal scoring and clean sheets. Truiden has earned only 6 points and failed to score in recent matches, indicating a dip in offensive . This form disparity suggests Brann is better prepared and more likely to control the match tempo and outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%St. Truiden Over 2.5
80%Brann Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, Brann has featured in games with a high rate of Over 2.5 Goals (80%), driven by their attacking style and ability to create chances. Truiden's matches have not reached this threshold, reflecting their lower scoring output. The trend suggests a fast-paced game with multiple goal opportunities, favoring Brann's offensive approach.

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