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San Lorenzo crestSan Lorenzo
v
Platense crestPlatense

Liga Profesional Argentina | Fri 06 Nov, 22:15

San Lorenzo v Platense Stats

Data last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026, 08:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

San Lorenzo and Platense meet in a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture where both teams show contrasting corner statistics, setting the stage for a potentially high-corner match. San Lorenzo averages 4.8 corners per game while Platense boasts a significantly higher 9.4, indicating Platense's attacking width and pressure. Both sides have similar recent form points, but Platense's offensive style suggests sustained pressure and repeated wide attacks. This tactical setup, combined with the teams' corner tendencies, points to a lively contest with many set-piece opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Platense averages 9.4 corners per game, one of the highest in the league.
  • San Lorenzo contributes 4.8 corners per game, adding to the total corner count.
  • The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.
  • Both teams' playing styles involve wide attacks and sustained pressure, increasing corner likelihood.
  • Recent matches show a combined corner average supporting a high-corner market.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a value bet with a 69% chance against a 47.6% implied market probability, reflecting a 21.4% . Platense's aggressive wing play and high corner average (9.4 per game) combined with San Lorenzo's moderate corner rate (4.8) create frequent set-piece scenarios. The level at 88% underscores the robustness of this prediction, supported by recent form and season-long corner trends. This pick aligns well with the tactical patterns and statistical corner generation of both teams.

Platense Corner Average9.4 corners per game
Strong positive
San Lorenzo Corner Average4.8 corners per game
Positive
Model Probability62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Probability62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Neutral
Value Edge62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a corner-heavy match given Platense's strong wing play and San Lorenzo's willingness to contest possession wide. Platense's high corner average combined with San Lorenzo's moderate numbers suggests a tactical battle that will generate numerous corners. The data supports a confident lean towards Over 9.5 Corners in this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“Platense's aggressive wing attacks and San Lorenzo's steady corner generation create a compelling case for a high-corner count. The statistical edge and tactical patterns strongly favor Over 9.5 Corners in this game.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Platense averages 9.4 corners per game, one of the highest in the league.

San Lorenzo contributes 4.8 corners per game, adding to the total corner count.

The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.

Both teams' playing styles involve wide attacks and sustained pressure, increasing corner likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.6, indicating modest scoring but not necessarily low corner counts.
  • Over recent matches, both teams have shown a tendency for open play and wing attacks, which typically generate corners.
  • The trend over the last five matches suggests a steady tempo conducive to multiple corner situations, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel as a context for offensive activity.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

San Lorenzo1
Avg goals scored
Platense1.4
San Lorenzo1.2
Avg goals conceded
Platense1
San Lorenzo40%
BTTS rate
Platense60%
San Lorenzo60%
Over 2.5 goals
Platense40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
6
Check odds @ 6
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
While goals and BTTS rates are moderate, the focus on corners is driven by attacking width and pressure rather than goal volume. San Lorenzo and Platense's combined attacking play leads to frequent wide deliveries and defensive clearances, which typically result in corners even in lower-scoring matches.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Platense to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Platense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
San Lorenzo to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
The 62.6% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Platense lead the corner sample at 9.4 per match, with San Lorenzo lower at 4.8.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

San Lorenzo

DDWWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Velez Sarsfield2-2
24 Oct 2026H Newells Old Boys0-0
18 Oct 2026A Estudiantes L.P.2-1
11 Oct 2026H Deportivo Riestra1-0
03 Oct 2026A Defensa Y Justicia0-3

Platense

WWLDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
02 Nov 2026H Central Cordoba de Santiago2-0
23 Oct 2026A Gimnasia M.2-1
17 Oct 2026H Lanus0-1
11 Oct 2026H Argentinos JRS1-1
05 Oct 2026A Velez Sarsfield2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.4 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Platense to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Platense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
San Lorenzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
San Lorenzo to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Recent form shows both teams earning 8 points in their last matches, with San Lorenzo having a 60% rate of games over 2.5 goals and Platense 40%. While goal rates vary, corner generation remains consistent, especially for Platense. This recent form supports the likelihood of sustained attacking pressure and multiple corners in the upcoming match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%San Lorenzo Over 2.5
40%Platense Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.6, indicating modest scoring but not necessarily low corner counts. Over recent matches, both teams have shown a tendency for open play and wing attacks, which typically generate corners. The trend over the last five matches suggests a steady tempo conducive to multiple corner situations, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel as a context for offensive activity.

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