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Celtic crestCeltic
v
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaş

UEFA Europa League | Thu 05 Nov, 20:00

Celtic v Beşiktaş Stats

Data last updated: Wed 04 Nov 2026, 09:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa League clash features Celtic hosting Beşiktaş in a fixture poised for attacking intensity. Celtic have struggled defensively, conceding three goals in recent outings, while Beşiktaş boast a potent offense averaging 2.4 goals per game and a solid defense conceding just 1.2. Both teams have shown a strong inclination towards high-scoring matches, with Celtic hitting over 2.5 goals in 100% of recent games and Beşiktaş in 80%. This setup suggests an open, end-to-end contest with multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Celtic have conceded 3 goals recently, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Beşiktaş average 2.4 goals scored per game, showing strong attacking form.
  • Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates: Celtic 100%, Beşiktaş 80%.
  • Celtic average 12.67 shots per game; Beşiktaş average 15 shots, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Poku is a key attacking threat with 4.5 shots on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 58% chance against an implied market chance of 43.5%, reflecting a 14.5% . Both teams have demonstrated attacking prowess and defensive lapses, with Celtic’s 100% over 2.5 goals rate and Beşiktaş’s strong goal-scoring output supporting a high-scoring game. The shot volumes and goal threat from key players like E. Poku and Oh Hyeon-Gyu further bolster the likelihood of multiple goals. No data limitations reduce , making this a compelling selection for goal-hungry bettors.

Model Chance58% model chance vs 43.5% implied (+14.5 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance58% model chance vs 43.5% implied (+14.5 pts)
Neutral
Value Edge58% model chance vs 43.5% implied (+14.5 pts)
Strong positive
Celtic Over 2.5 Goals Rate100%
Strong positive
Beşiktaş Goal Scoring2.4 goals/game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and dynamic match with both teams pushing forward aggressively. Celtic’s defensive fragility combined with Beşiktaş’s attacking efficiency suggests a high-scoring encounter. The data supports a strong chance of four or more goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound pick for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“This fixture’s attacking profiles and recent goal trends strongly indicate a match where Over 3.5 Goals is a realistic outcome, driven by both teams’ offensive intent and defensive vulnerabilities.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Celtic have conceded 3 goals recently, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Beşiktaş average 2.4 goals scored per game, showing strong attacking form.

Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates: Celtic 100%, Beşiktaş 80%.

Celtic average 12.67 shots per game; Beşiktaş average 15 shots, indicating offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have frequently featured games with more than 2.5 goals, driven by open tempo and attacking intent.
  • The absence of head-to-head history adds uncertainty but recent goal trends strongly suggest a high-scoring fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celtic1
Avg goals scored
Beşiktaş2.4
Celtic3
Avg goals conceded
Beşiktaş1.2
Celtic100%
BTTS rate
Beşiktaş60%
Celtic100%
Over 2.5 goals
Beşiktaş80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +14.5 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have strong tendencies to participate in high-scoring matches, with Celtic’s 100% over 2.5 goals rate and Beşiktaş’s 60% BTTS rate indicating frequent goal exchanges. The attacking quality and defensive lapses forecast multiple goals, with a high chance that both teams will find the net in this encounter.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Beşiktaş Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Beşiktaş to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Celtic to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 43.5% implied by the current price (+14.5 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Celtic and 80% for Beşiktaş, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celtic

LLL
Last 50W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 3L
22 Oct 2026H Celta Vigo1-2
15 Oct 2026A Benfica1-4
17 Sep 2026H Ferencvarosi TC1-3

Beşiktaş

DWWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 1L
22 Oct 2026H Crystal Palace2-2
15 Oct 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim3-2
17 Sep 2026H Marseille4-1
27 Aug 2026A Kauno Žalgiris0-1
20 Aug 2026H Kauno Žalgiris3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 84% vs implied 74% · edge +10.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Beşiktaş Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Beşiktaş to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Celtic to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Recent form data highlights Celtic’s defensive vulnerabilities, conceding three goals in recent matches, while Beşiktaş maintain a solid defensive record conceding only 1.2 goals per game. Both teams’ high over 2.5 goals rates in recent fixtures underscore the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Celtic Over 2.5
80%Beşiktaş Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have frequently featured games with more than 2.5 goals, driven by open tempo and attacking intent. The absence of head-to-head history adds uncertainty but recent goal trends strongly suggest a high-scoring fixture.

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