Larne
Tre FioriUEFA Champions League | Tue 14 Jul, 20:00
Larne v Tre Fiori Stats
Data last updated: Wed 05 Aug 2026, 01:27 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Larne face Tre Fiori in UEFA Champions League on Tue 14 Jul, 20:00. Larne return to Northern Ireland with a one-goal advantage, but their Champions League first qualifying-round contest against Tre Fiori remains far from settled. Analysing Larne's attacking rhythm reveals they have consistently scored in ten consecutive home fixtures.
Larne Win
- At 4/1, Larne Win implies roughly 20%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 35%.
- Larne's solid defensive stability is evident from keeping five clean sheets across their last six outings.
- Larne have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tre Fiori.
- Larne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Larne Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 35% for Larne Win sits against roughly 20% implied by the current price. Larne have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tre Fiori. Larne's solid defensive stability is evident from keeping five clean sheets across their last six outings.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Larne Win is the preferred angle because larne's solid defensive stability is evident from keeping five clean sheets across their last six outings. Larne have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tre Fiori. At some stage, they must push more players forward, accept greater risk and expose spaces that Larne were not consistently able to attack in the opening match.
At some stage, they must push more players forward, accept greater risk and expose spaces that Larne were not consistently able to attack in the opening match.
Key Data Signals
Larne Win evidence
Larne's solid defensive stability is evident from keeping five clean sheets across their last six outings.
Larne have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tre Fiori.
Larne have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Larne Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
What To Watch In The Data
Larne Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Larne
Tre Fiori
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
UEFA Champions League
Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

