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Al-Qadisiyah FC crestAl-Qadisiyah FC
v
Al-Fayha crestAl-Fayha

Pro League | Thu 05 Nov, 17:30

Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Fayha Stats

Data last updated: Wed 04 Nov 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Qadisiyah FC, sitting second in the Pro League, hosts Al-Fayha who are positioned 13th with a notable points gap. Al-Qadisiyah FC boasts strong recent form with 28 points and a high goal-scoring rate, while Al-Fayha has struggled to find consistency, accumulating just 11 points. Despite the ranking disparity, Al-Fayha's resilience and tactical adjustments could challenge the hosts, making this a contest where the away side's safety net in the Draw No Bet market is tactically relevant. Both teams have shown contrasting offensive and defensive profiles, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Al-Fayha Draw No Bet

  • Al-Fayha Draw No Bet offers significant value with a 17.9% positive edge over implied .
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 18.4 shots per game, indicating offensive pressure but Al-Fayha's defensive resilience is notable.
  • Al-Fayha has an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting they often score even when trailing or under pressure.
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC ranks 2nd with 28 points, while Al-Fayha is 13th with 11 points, highlighting the league gap but not the match outcome certainty.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Al-Fayha Draw No Bet due to the significant of 17.9% at of 4.15, reflecting an underestimated chance by the market. Al-Fayha's ability to score in 80% of matches and their defensive solidity, despite lower league standing, underpin this . The model accounts for Al-Fayha's resilience and the risk of Al-Qadisiyah FC failing to secure a decisive win, making the Draw No Bet a prudent choice. No data limitations affect this assessment, and the price reflects genuine value rather than a short market.

Value Edge39.1% model chance vs 24.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Model Chance vs Implied39.1% model chance vs 24.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Al-Fayha BTTS Rate80%
Positive
Al-Qadisiyah FC Offensive Pressure18.4 shots per game
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Al-Fayha's Draw No Bet selection is supported by their consistent scoring ability and defensive resilience, which can frustrate even high-ranking opponents like Al-Qadisiyah FC. The league position gap is significant, but recent form data and match dynamics suggest Al-Fayha can avoid defeat, making this a tactically sound and data-backed pick.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical resilience and scoring consistency

“Al-Fayha's capacity to find the net regularly and absorb pressure makes the Draw No Bet a compelling option against a dominant but sometimes vulnerable Al-Qadisiyah FC side.”

Key Data Signals

Al-Fayha Draw No Bet evidence

Al-Fayha Draw No Bet offers significant value with a 17.9% positive edge over implied .

Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 18.4 shots per game, indicating offensive pressure but Al-Fayha's defensive resilience is notable.

Al-Fayha has an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting they often score even when trailing or under pressure.

Al-Qadisiyah FC ranks 2nd with 28 points, while Al-Fayha is 13th with 11 points, highlighting the league gap but not the match outcome certainty.

What To Watch In The Data

Al-Fayha Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.13, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters.
  • Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates (80% for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 60% for Al-Fayha) support the likelihood of multiple goals, driven by Al-Qadisiyah FC's offensive pressure and Al-Fayha's ability to score despite defensive lapses.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al-Qadisiyah FC3.2
Avg goals scored
Al-Fayha1.8
Al-Qadisiyah FC0.8
Avg goals conceded
Al-Fayha1.8
Al-Qadisiyah FC40%
BTTS rate
Al-Fayha80%
Al-Qadisiyah FC80%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Fayha60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams show contrasting goal trends: Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 3.2 goals scored per game with a high over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, while Al-Fayha scores less but has an 80% BTTS rate, indicating they frequently score even in losses. This suggests a match with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides, supporting a competitive and open game scenario.

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Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAl-Fayha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Al-Fayha to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The 39.1% for Al-Fayha Draw No Bet sits against roughly 24.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Al-Qadisiyah FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 5 for Al-Fayha.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al-Qadisiyah FC

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 1D 1L
29 Oct 2026A Al Riyadh6-0
23 Oct 2026H Al-Hilal Saudi FC2-3
20 Oct 2026A Al Taawon1-0
16 Oct 2026H Abha2-1
09 Oct 2026A Al Kholood5-0

Al-Fayha

WDLLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
31 Oct 2026H Al-Faisaly FC4-1
22 Oct 2026A Al-Hazm2-2
19 Oct 2026H Al-Ahli Jeddah2-3
15 Oct 2026A Al Khaleej Saihat0-2
11 Oct 2026H Al Riyadh1-1
Market aligned with main pickAl-Fayha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.15
Check odds @ 4.15
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.51
Check odds @ 2.51
Al-Fayha to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Recent form data shows Al-Qadisiyah FC with 12 points and a strong goal difference, reflecting consistent offensive output and defensive solidity. Al-Fayha has only 5 points recently, indicating struggles but also resilience in scoring, as shown by their high BTTS rate. This contrast highlights Al-Fayha's potential to avoid defeat despite form challenges, justifying the Draw No Bet selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Al-Qadisiyah FC Over 2.5
60%Al-Fayha Over 2.5
3.13H2H avg goals
Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.13, indicating a tendency for open, goal-rich encounters. Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates (80% for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 60% for Al-Fayha) support the likelihood of multiple goals, driven by Al-Qadisiyah FC's offensive pressure and Al-Fayha's ability to score despite defensive lapses.

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