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Trabzonspor crestTrabzonspor
v
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 05 Nov, 17:45

Trabzonspor v SC Freiburg Stats

Data last updated: Wed 04 Nov 2026, 08:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League clash features Trabzonspor hosting SC Freiburg in a fixture poised for attacking intensity. Trabzonspor's recent matches show a balanced goal output, while Freiburg's encounters have consistently featured high scoring, with all their recent games exceeding 2.5 goals. Both sides possess offensive weapons and tend to engage in open play, suggesting a lively contest with multiple goal-scoring opportunities. The stakes in this group stage encounter add urgency, with both teams aiming to secure vital points, setting the stage for a potentially goal-rich match.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • SC Freiburg has a 100% rate of matches over 2.5 goals recently.
  • Trabzonspor averages 16.5 shots per game, indicating offensive intent.
  • Freiburg averages 22.5 shots and 7.75 corners per game, showing sustained pressure.
  • Trabzonspor and Freiburg both have BTTS rates of 50% and 75%, respectively, supporting goal chances.
  • Model projects a 57% chance for Over 3.5 Goals with positive value at 2.2 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals due to Freiburg's consistent high-scoring matches and Trabzonspor's solid attacking output, averaging 16.5 shots per game. Freiburg's aggressive offense, combined with their 100% recent over 2.5 goals rate, suggests a match prone to multiple goals. Both teams' BTTS rates further support the likelihood of goals at both ends. The offer positive value with an 11.5% edge, making this an attractive pick without price warning. The data quality is strong, ensuring in these attacking trends.

Freiburg Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Trabzonspor Shots per Game16.5 average shots
Positive
BTTS Rates50% Trabzonspor, 75% Freiburg
Positive
Model Chance vs Implied Chance57% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+11.5 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a dynamic match with both teams pushing forward aggressively, especially Freiburg who have shown a strong scoring trend. Trabzonspor's willingness to attack and Freiburg's high shot volume create a scenario ripe for multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice based on tactical and statistical evidence.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match scoring potential

“Freiburg's relentless attacking style combined with Trabzonspor's offensive capabilities sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The statistical indicators strongly favor a goal-laden match, making Over 3.5 Goals a smart play for bettors seeking value.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

SC Freiburg has a 100% rate of matches over 2.5 goals recently.

Trabzonspor averages 16.5 shots per game, indicating offensive intent.

Freiburg averages 22.5 shots and 7.75 corners per game, showing sustained pressure.

Trabzonspor and Freiburg both have BTTS rates of 50% and 75%, respectively, supporting goal chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last five matches, Freiburg has consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, reflecting a fast-paced, open style.
  • Trabzonspor's mixed over 2.5 record suggests variability, but combined with Freiburg's tempo, the trend supports a goal-rich fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Trabzonspor3
Avg goals scored
SC Freiburg2.5
Trabzonspor1
Avg goals conceded
SC Freiburg1.75
Trabzonspor50%
BTTS rate
SC Freiburg75%
Trabzonspor50%
Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 46% · edge +11.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Both teams demonstrate strong attacking tendencies with Freiburg's 100% over 2.5 goals rate and Trabzonspor's 50%. BTTS rates of 75% and 50% respectively indicate both sides frequently concede and score, supporting a scenario with multiple goals and open play.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 65% · edge +9.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
SC Freiburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Trabzonspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Trabzonspor to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
The 57% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 45.5% implied by the current price (+11.5 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Trabzonspor and 100% for SC Freiburg, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Trabzonspor

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
22 Oct 2026H Heart Of Midlothian2-0
15 Oct 2026A KuPS4-2

SC Freiburg

LWWW
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
22 Oct 2026A Monaco0-3
15 Oct 2026H FK Jablonec3-2
27 Aug 2026H Motherwell4-1
20 Aug 2026A Motherwell3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 65% · edge -2.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
SC Freiburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Trabzonspor Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Trabzonspor to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 46%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Recent form data shows Freiburg with 9 points and an impressive 100% over 2.5 goals rate, underscoring their offensive potency. Trabzonspor's 6 points and 50% over 2.5 rate indicate moderate scoring but combined with Freiburg's firepower, the fixture leans towards a high goal count.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Trabzonspor Over 2.5
100%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, Freiburg has consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, reflecting a fast-paced, open style. Trabzonspor's mixed over 2.5 record suggests variability, but combined with Freiburg's tempo, the trend supports a goal-rich fixture.

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