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Mjallby AIF crestMjallby AIF
v
Borac Banja Luka crestBorac Banja Luka

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 05 Nov, 17:45

Mjallby AIF v Borac Banja Luka Stats

Data last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026, 11:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borac Banja Luka travels to face Mjallby AIF in the UEFA Europa Conference League with both sides seeking crucial points. Borac has shown stronger recent form, securing 9 points compared to Mjallby's 4, and carries a more aggressive attacking profile with 1.8 goals per game. Mjallby, while defensively solid conceding only 0.5 goals per match, has struggled offensively, scoring 1.5 on average. The tactical battle will likely hinge on Borac's ability to break down a disciplined Mjallby defense and capitalize on their offensive momentum in this important group stage fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Borac Banja Luka to Win

  • Borac Banja Luka leads recent form with 9 points versus Mjallby's 4.
  • Borac averages 1.8 goals per game, showing stronger attack than Mjallby's 1.5.
  • Mjallby concedes fewer goals (0.5) but has a low over 2.5 goals rate (0%).
  • Borac's over 2.5 goals rate is 60%, indicating a more open game style.
  • Borac's to win is 61.7%, with positive value at 3.1 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Borac Banja Luka's 61.7% model win probability reflects their superior recent form and attacking output compared to Mjallby AIF. Despite Mjallby's strong defensive record, Borac's higher goal-scoring rate and tendency for matches with over 2.5 goals suggest they can break through effectively. The of 3.1 offer positive value given the implied chance is just 32.3%. is high at 88%, supported by balanced player contributions and tactical momentum favoring Borac in this group stage clash.

Recent form advantageBorac has 9 points vs Mjallby's 4
Strong positive
Goal scoring rateBorac 1.8 goals/game vs Mjallby 1.5
Positive
Defensive solidityMjallby concedes 0.5 goals/game
Neutral
Over 2.5 goals rateBorac 60%, Mjallby 0%
Strong positive
Market value edge39% model chance vs 32.3% implied (+6.7 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Borac Banja Luka's recent form and attacking edge make them the likely winners in this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture. Their ability to score more frequently and create chances contrasts with Mjallby's lower offensive output, tipping the balance in Borac's favor. The data supports a confident away win prediction based on current momentum and goal threat.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Borac's attacking consistency and recent results position them well to overcome Mjallby's disciplined defense, making the away win a compelling selection in this group stage match.”

Key Data Signals

Borac Banja Luka to Win evidence

Borac Banja Luka leads recent form with 9 points versus Mjallby's 4.

Borac averages 1.8 goals per game, showing stronger attack than Mjallby's 1.5.

Mjallby concedes fewer goals (0.5) but has a low over 2.5 goals rate (0%).

Borac's over 2.5 goals rate is 60%, indicating a more open game style.

What To Watch In The Data

Borac Banja Luka to Win notes

  • Recent trends show Borac Banja Luka's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, with a 60% rate in their last fixtures, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style.
  • Mjallby AIF's games have not followed this pattern, suggesting a more defensive setup.
  • This contrast sets the stage for a potentially open game with Borac pushing for goals, aligning with the over 2.5 goals trend in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mjallby AIF1.5
Avg goals scored
Borac Banja Luka1.8
Mjallby AIF0.5
Avg goals conceded
Borac Banja Luka1
Mjallby AIF50%
BTTS rate
Borac Banja Luka60%
Mjallby AIF0%
Over 2.5 goals
Borac Banja Luka60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Borac Banja Luka's matches frequently feature over 2.5 goals, with a 60% rate, reflecting an open and attacking style. Mjallby AIF's games have not reached this threshold, with a 0% over 2.5 rate, indicating a more defensive approach. Both teams to score rates are similar, but Borac's offensive tendencies suggest goals are likely, supporting a higher-scoring game scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBorac Banja Luka to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 32% · edge +6.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Borac Banja Luka Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 39% for Borac Banja Luka to Win sits against roughly 32.3% implied by the current price (+6.7 pts). Borac Banja Luka have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Mjallby AIF.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mjallby AIF

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
22 Oct 2026A FC Iberia 19991-1
15 Oct 2026H Inter Club d'Escaldes2-0

Borac Banja Luka

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 2L
22 Oct 2026H KuPS2-0
15 Oct 2026A Panathinaikos1-2
27 Aug 2026H Vikingur Reykjavik3-1
20 Aug 2026A Vikingur Reykjavik3-1
13 Aug 2026A ML Vitebsk0-1
Market aligned with main pickBorac Banja Luka to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 32% · edge +6.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Borac Banja Luka Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Borac Banja Luka's recent run of 9 points contrasts with Mjallby AIF's 4 points, reflecting better momentum and . Borac's higher goal scoring and BTTS rates indicate a more effective offense, while Mjallby's low over 2.5 goals rate suggests a cautious approach. This form disparity favors Borac's chances to secure a win in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Mjallby AIF Over 2.5
60%Borac Banja Luka Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends show Borac Banja Luka's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, with a 60% rate in their last fixtures, indicating a high-tempo, attacking style. Mjallby AIF's games have not followed this pattern, suggesting a more defensive setup. This contrast sets the stage for a potentially open game with Borac pushing for goals, aligning with the over 2.5 goals trend in this fixture.

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