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Germany crestGermany
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Greece crestGreece

UEFA Nations League | Sun 27 Sep, 19:45

Germany v Greece Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 08:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Germany face Greece in a UEFA Nations League clash where both teams have shown attacking intent despite contrasting recent results. Germany's recent matches have seen solid defensive efforts but limited goal output, while Greece have been more prolific offensively. The tactical setup suggests an open game with both sides likely to push forward, creating opportunities at both ends. With Greece leading the group and Germany eager to close the gap, this fixture carries significant stakes and promises an engaging contest with goals expected from both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in 100% of their recent matches.
  • Germany averages 10 shots per game, Greece 26, indicating offensive activity.
  • Greece's recent games have all gone over 2.5 goals, showing attacking openness.
  • Head-to-head matches average 4.5 goals, supporting a high-scoring encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a strong 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by recent form where both Germany and Greece have consistently found the net. Greece's high shot volume and Germany's reliable goal-scoring presence underpin this . The at 1.67 offer positive value with a 16% edge, reflecting the likelihood of an open game with goals at both ends. No data limitations affect this view, making the BTTS bet a solid football and statistical choice.

Model Chance76%
Strong positive
Recent BTTS Rate100% both teams
Strong positive
Shot VolumeGermany 10, Greece 26 per game
Strong positive
Value Edge+16.1%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both Germany and Greece pushing forward to secure vital points. Germany's solid defense contrasts with Greece's attacking firepower, but both sides have shown consistent scoring ability recently. This balance of offensive threat and defensive resilience suggests both teams will find the net in this Nations League encounter.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Germany and Greece both demonstrate attacking intent and recent scoring consistency, making a Both Teams to Score outcome highly plausible in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have scored in 100% of their recent matches.

Germany averages 10 shots per game, Greece 26, indicating offensive activity.

Greece's recent games have all gone over 2.5 goals, showing attacking openness.

Head-to-head matches average 4.5 goals, supporting a high-scoring encounter.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4.5, indicating a high-scoring trend.
  • Recent matches for both teams also show a strong tendency for goals, with Greece's last games all over 2.5 goals.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness conducive to multiple goals.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Germany1
Avg corners for
Greece6
Germany13
Avg total corners
Greece8
Germany1
Avg yellow cards
Greece1
Germany10
Avg shots
Greece26
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 58% · edge +4 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Greece averages six corners per game compared to Germany's one, indicating sustained attacking pressure from Greece. Both teams maintain moderate discipline with one yellow card average each, suggesting a balanced physical contest. Germany's 10 shots per game versus Greece's 26 highlight Greece's offensive control in shot volume and territory.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Germany1
Avg goals scored
Greece2
Germany1
Avg goals conceded
Greece1
Germany100%
BTTS rate
Greece100%
Germany0%
Over 2.5 goals
Greece100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both Germany and Greece have scored in all recent matches, with Greece's games consistently exceeding 2.5 goals. The head-to-head average of 4.5 goals further supports an open, attacking game. This pattern reflects offensive openness and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, making goals and BTTS highly probable.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Greece Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Greece to WinBet365 guide price · model 21%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Germany Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Germany to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.67 with a of 76%, indicating clear value. The 16% suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, supported by recent form and shot data. This makes the BTTS bet a strong candidate without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Germany

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
24 Sep 2026A Netherlands1-1

Greece

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
24 Sep 2026A Serbia2-1
Best odds for this sectionGreece Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Greece to WinBet365 guide price · model 21%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Germany Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Germany to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
Recent form shows both teams scoring in every match, with Germany scoring once and conceding once in their last game, while Greece scored twice and conceded once. Greece's over 2.5 goals rate stands at 100%, contrasting with Germany's more defensive recent output. This suggests Greece's attacking momentum meets Germany's defensive solidity, supporting BTTS.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Germany wins
0Draws
0Greece wins
07 Jun 2024Germany v Greece2-1
22 Jun 2012Germany v Greece4-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Greece to WinBet365 guide price · model 21%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Germany to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
5
Check odds @ 5
The two recent meetings between Germany and Greece have produced an average of 4.5 goals per game, indicating historically open and attacking encounters. While the sample is limited, this high goal average supports expectations for both teams to find the net again in this fixture.
Season team stats

UEFA Nations League

Germany1
Played
Greece1
Germany1
Avg goals for
Greece2
Germany1
Avg goals against
Greece1
Germany0
Clean sheets
Greece0
Best odds for this sectionGreece Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 25% · edge +15 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
Greece to WinBet365 guide price · model 21%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Germany Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Germany to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season-long data reveals Germany's consistent goal scoring and conceding pattern, with a 100% BTTS rate matching Greece's identical BTTS frequency. Greece's higher over 2.5 goals rate reflects their offensive style, while Germany's balanced stats indicate a competitive fixture likely to see goals from both sides.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Greece311001
2Germany110100
Greece currently leads the group with 3 points, while Germany sits second with 1 point. The standings add competitive pressure on Germany to respond offensively, while Greece aims to maintain their advantage. This context supports an open game with both teams motivated to score and secure points.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Germany Over 2.5
100%Greece Over 2.5
4.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 4.5, indicating a high-scoring trend. Recent matches for both teams also show a strong tendency for goals, with Greece's last games all over 2.5 goals. This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness conducive to multiple goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.