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Rochdale crestRochdale
v
York crestYork

League Two | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Rochdale v York Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 09:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rochdale and York meet in a League Two clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Rochdale, positioned 20th, have struggled defensively conceding 3 goals per game recently, while York, 7th in the table, maintain a more balanced approach with 2 goals conceded on average. Both teams have a strong recent record of scoring, with an 80% BTTS rate for Rochdale and 80% for York, setting up an open contest with potential for goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Rochdale and York both have an 80% BTTS rate recently, indicating frequent goals from both sides.
  • Rochdale concedes 3 goals per game, showing defensive frailty that York can exploit.
  • York averages 11.6 shots per game with 3.2 on target, reflecting attacking pressure.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.9 over 10 matches, supporting goal-scoring potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% probability, well above the implied market chance of 61.7%, indicating strong value. Both sides have consistent attacking output, averaging 1.4 goals each recently, and high BTTS rates of 80%. Rochdale's defensive struggles combined with York's attacking efficiency, including players like J. Henderson who generate significant shots and goal threats, underpin this pick. The data quality is solid, with balanced sample sizes for both teams.

Model Probability76% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+14.3 pts)
Strong positive
Recent BTTS Rates80% for both teams
Strong positive
Goals ConcededRochdale 3.0, York 2.0 per game
Positive
Shots on TargetBoth teams average 3.2 SOT per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a tendency to both score and concede goals, making Both Teams to Score a logical pick. Rochdale's defensive lapses and York's attacking players like J. Malcolm create a scenario where goals at both ends are likely. Recent form and attacking statistics support this outcome as a key feature of the match.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of both Rochdale and York, combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, make Both Teams to Score a compelling angle. Key players such as J. Henderson provide the firepower to break down defenses, ensuring goal opportunities for both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Rochdale and York both have an 80% BTTS rate recently, indicating frequent goals from both sides.

Rochdale concedes 3 goals per game, showing defensive frailty that York can exploit.

York averages 11.6 shots per game with 3.2 on target, reflecting attacking pressure.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 1.9 over 10 matches, supporting goal-scoring potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.9, indicating moderate scoring frequency.
  • Rochdale's recent 80% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with York's 40%, suggesting Rochdale's matches tend to be higher scoring, which could drive the overall goal count and support BTTS outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rochdale1.4
Avg goals scored
York1.4
Rochdale3
Avg goals conceded
York2
Rochdale80%
BTTS rate
York80%
Rochdale80%
Over 2.5 goals
York40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game recently, with Rochdale conceding 3 and York 2 on average. Both have an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting frequent matches where both sides find the net. This trend aligns with the expectation of an open game with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Rochdale Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
York Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
York to WinBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Rochdale to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 76% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+14.3 pts). Rochdale show a 80% BTTS rate and York show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rochdale

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
31 Oct 2026A Port Vale2-4
24 Oct 2026H Accrington ST0-5
20 Oct 2026H Grimsby2-2
17 Oct 2026A Crewe2-3
10 Oct 2026A Tranmere1-1

York

LLWDD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Grimsby2-5
27 Oct 2026A Barnet1-3
24 Oct 2026H Port Vale2-0
20 Oct 2026H Accrington ST1-1
17 Oct 2026A Newport County1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 83% vs implied 82% · edge +1.2 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Rochdale Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
York Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
York to WinBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Rochdale to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Recent form data shows both teams scoring regularly, with Rochdale and York each averaging 1.4 goals per game. Rochdale's defense has been leaky, conceding 3 goals per match, while York concedes 2. Both teams have maintained an 80% BTTS rate, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both sides in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Rochdale Over 2.5
40%York Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.9, indicating moderate scoring frequency. Rochdale's recent 80% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with York's 40%, suggesting Rochdale's matches tend to be higher scoring, which could drive the overall goal count and support BTTS outcomes.

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