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Arzignano Valchiampo crestArzignano Valchiampo
v
Alcione crestAlcione

Serie C - Girone A | Sat 14 Nov, 13:30

Arzignano Valchiampo v Alcione Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Arzignano Valchiampo and Alcione meet in a Serie C - Girone A clash where both sides have shown attacking intent recently. Arzignano Valchiampo sits 6th with 21 points, while Alcione is close behind in 8th with 18 points, reflecting a competitive fixture. Both teams have averaged over a goal per game and have demonstrated a tendency to concede, setting up a potentially open contest. Recent form data highlights a balanced scoring and conceding pattern, suggesting that both teams are likely to find the net in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 70%, with Alcione at 80% and Arzignano Valchiampo at 60%.
  • Both sides average more than one goal scored and conceded per match, indicating offensive opportunities and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Recent form shows both teams have earned 7 points each in their last matches, maintaining competitive momentum.
  • The fixture features mid-table teams with close points, increasing the likelihood of an open game with goals at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by strong BTTS rates of 60% for Arzignano Valchiampo and 80% for Alcione. Both teams average over one goal conceded per game, indicating defensive gaps that the opposition can exploit. The of 16.1% at of 1.67 suggests this is a positive value bet. The balanced recent form and competitive league positions further reinforce the likelihood of goals from both sides in this Serie C fixture.

BTTS Rate Home60%
Positive
BTTS Rate Away80%
Strong positive
Goals Against Average1.2 both teams
Positive
Model Chance74.9% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge74.9% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown consistent attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities, making a Both Teams to Score bet tactically sound. The data supports this with high BTTS rates and recent form indicating offensive momentum. Expect an open game where both Arzignano Valchiampo and Alcione find the net, reflecting their balanced league positions and scoring patterns.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking tendencies and defensive lapses on both sides create a fertile ground for goals at both ends. This fixture's competitive nature and recent scoring trends strongly point towards a Both Teams to Score outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 70%, with Alcione at 80% and Arzignano Valchiampo at 60%.

Both sides average more than one goal scored and conceded per match, indicating offensive opportunities and defensive vulnerabilities.

Recent form shows both teams have earned 7 points each in their last matches, maintaining competitive momentum.

The fixture features mid-table teams with close points, increasing the likelihood of an open game with goals at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Combined with recent form and BTTS rates, this suggests a steady tempo with opportunities for both teams to score, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals trend panel.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Arzignano Valchiampo

LDWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
06 Nov 2026A Union Brescia2-3
01 Nov 2026A Lumezzane1-1
25 Oct 2026H Novara2-0
19 Oct 2026A Cittadella0-1
10 Oct 2026H Juventus U232-1

Alcione

LWLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
06 Nov 2026H Lumezzane0-1
31 Oct 2026A Giana Erminio3-1
24 Oct 2026H Athletic Carpi1-2
18 Oct 2026H Desenzano Calvina4-1
11 Oct 2026A Lecco1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Alcione Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Alcione to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Arzignano Valchiampo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Arzignano Valchiampo to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Recent form shows both Arzignano Valchiampo and Alcione have earned 7 points each, maintaining competitive momentum. Their consistent scoring and conceding in recent matches underline the likelihood of both teams scoring again in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Arzignano Valchiampo1.4
Avg goals scored
Alcione1.8
Arzignano Valchiampo1.2
Avg goals conceded
Alcione1.2
Arzignano Valchiampo60%
BTTS rate
Alcione80%
Arzignano Valchiampo40%
Over 2.5 goals
Alcione60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams average over one goal scored and conceded per match, with Alcione showing an 80% BTTS rate and Arzignano Valchiampo 60%. This combination points to a high probability of goals at both ends, supported by recent matches where both sides have found the net frequently.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Alcione Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Alcione to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Arzignano Valchiampo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Arzignano Valchiampo to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The 74.9% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Arzignano Valchiampo show a 60% BTTS rate and Alcione show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Arzignano Valchiampo Over 2.5
60%Alcione Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Combined with recent form and BTTS rates, this suggests a steady tempo with opportunities for both teams to score, aligning with the Over 2.5 goals trend panel.

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