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Yeovil Town crestYeovil Town
v
Boreham Wood crestBoreham Wood

National League | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Yeovil Town v Boreham Wood Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 21:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Yeovil Town and Boreham Wood meet in a National League clash where both sides have shown attacking intent recently. Boreham Wood leads the table with 44 points, while Yeovil Town sits fifth with 28 points, indicating a competitive fixture. Both teams have recorded 80% over 2.5 goals rates in their last matches, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities. The stakes are high as Boreham Wood aims to maintain their top spot, and Yeovil Town looks to close the gap, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.
  • Yeovil Town and Boreham Wood have scored 3 goals each in their last five matches.
  • The average goals in their last 10 head-to-head meetings is 2.7 per game.
  • Boreham Wood leads the league with 44 points, showing strong offensive form.
  • The model estimates a 52.3% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, indicating a favorable scoring environment.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 52.3% chance, higher than the implied market chance of 45.5%, reflecting a positive of 6.8%. Both teams have demonstrated strong recent scoring form, each with an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, and the fixture features two of the league's most potent offenses. This combination of attacking momentum and historical goal trends supports the likelihood of a high-scoring match, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice.

Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate80% for both teams
Strong positive
Model Probability52.3% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+6.8 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance52.3% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+6.8 pts)
Positive
Value Edge52.3% model chance vs 45.5% implied (+6.8 pts)
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.7 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Boreham Wood seeks to maintain their league lead against a motivated Yeovil Town side. The recent high scoring rates and offensive strengths of both teams suggest multiple goals are likely, making Over 3.5 Goals a strong tactical and statistical pick for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 3.5 Goals

“This fixture features two sides with potent offenses and a shared tendency for high-scoring games, making Over 3.5 Goals a logical selection based on their attacking profiles and recent form.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently.

Yeovil Town and Boreham Wood have scored 3 goals each in their last five matches.

The average goals in their last 10 head-to-head meetings is 2.7 per game.

Boreham Wood leads the league with 44 points, showing strong offensive form.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.7, indicating a moderately high-scoring history.
  • Combined with recent form trends over the last five matches for both teams showing frequent goals, the tempo and attacking intent suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a reasonable expectation for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Yeovil Town3
Avg goals scored
Boreham Wood3
Yeovil Town1
Avg goals conceded
Boreham Wood1
Yeovil Town40%
BTTS rate
Boreham Wood60%
Yeovil Town80%
Over 2.5 goals
Boreham Wood80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 46% · edge +6.8 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both Yeovil Town and Boreham Wood have shown strong attacking tendencies, each with an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently. While BTTS rates differ slightly, the offensive momentum and goal-scoring patterns indicate a game likely to feature multiple goals from both sides.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 67% · edge +3.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Boreham Wood Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Boreham Wood to WinBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Yeovil Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Yeovil Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The 52.3% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 45.5% implied by the current price (+6.8 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Yeovil Town and 80% for Boreham Wood, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Yeovil Town

LWLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
31 Oct 2026A FC Halifax Town0-2
27 Oct 2026A AFC Hornchurch2-1
24 Oct 2026H Altrincham1-2
10 Oct 2026A Wealdstone6-0
03 Oct 2026H Boston United6-0

Boreham Wood

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 1D 0L
31 Oct 2026H Hartlepool4-3
27 Oct 2026A Woking2-1
24 Oct 2026H AFC Fylde4-0
09 Oct 2026A Sutton Utd2-0
03 Oct 2026H Altrincham3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 83% · edge +0.7 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Load more odds for this section
Boreham Wood Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Boreham Wood to WinBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Yeovil Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Yeovil Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Recent form data shows both teams scoring three goals and conceding only one in their last five matches, with an 80% rate of games over 2.5 goals. This consistent offensive output underlines the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Yeovil Town Over 2.5
80%Boreham Wood Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.7, indicating a moderately high-scoring history. Combined with recent form trends over the last five matches for both teams showing frequent goals, the tempo and attacking intent suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a reasonable expectation for this fixture.

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