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Sutton Utd crestSutton Utd
v
Solihull Moors crestSolihull Moors

National League | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Sutton Utd v Solihull Moors Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 21:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sutton Utd and Solihull Moors meet in the National League with contrasting recent form and defensive records shaping expectations. Sutton Utd have scored 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.2, showing moderate attacking output and a relatively solid defense. Solihull Moors have struggled defensively, conceding 2.4 goals per game, but maintain a decent scoring rate of 1.2. The away side’s high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals (80%) contrasts with Sutton’s lower 40%, setting up a potentially open encounter with goal-scoring opportunities on both ends. The fixture’s stakes and league positions add competitive edge but also uncertainty in defensive discipline.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Solihull Moors have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • Sutton Utd concede fewer goals (1.2 per game) but have a lower Over 2.5 rate (40%).
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.3 across 10 matches, supporting a moderately open game.
  • Recent form shows both teams capable of scoring, with Sutton averaging 1.4 goals per game.
  • The price is slightly short, suggesting cautious staking despite the attacking potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at 57.2% chance, reflecting Solihull Moors’ porous defense and high scoring matches combined with Sutton Utd’s moderate attacking output. The head-to-head average of 2.3 goals per game and Solihull’s 80% Over 2.5 rate support the likelihood of a goal-rich game. However, the price is slightly short compared to the , indicating a need for reduced stakes. The data quality is solid for both teams, allowing in the attacking and defensive trends shaping this pick.

Solihull Moors Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Sutton Utd Defensive Record1.2 goals conceded per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.3 goals per match
Positive
Price Sensitivity57.2% model chance vs 59.9% implied (-2.7 pts)
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Solihull Moors’ defensive struggles likely to invite pressure and chances from Sutton Utd. The attacking tendencies on both sides, combined with recent form data, suggest a match that can surpass 2.5 goals, making this a tactically and statistically sound selection for goal watchers.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive weaknesses

“Solihull Moors’ defensive frailties paired with Sutton Utd’s steady attack create a fertile ground for goals. The high Over 2.5 rate for Solihull Moors and the head-to-head goal average underline the potential for a lively, goal-filled contest.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Solihull Moors have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

Sutton Utd concede fewer goals (1.2 per game) but have a lower Over 2.5 rate (40%).

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.3 across 10 matches, supporting a moderately open game.

Recent form shows both teams capable of scoring, with Sutton averaging 1.4 goals per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.3, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Solihull Moors’ recent matches show a high frequency of Over 2.5 outcomes, suggesting a tempo and attacking style conducive to multiple goals in this encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sutton Utd1.4
Avg goals scored
Solihull Moors1.2
Sutton Utd1.2
Avg goals conceded
Solihull Moors2.4
Sutton Utd40%
BTTS rate
Solihull Moors60%
Sutton Utd40%
Over 2.5 goals
Solihull Moors80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -2.7 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Goal trends indicate Solihull Moors frequently participate in high-scoring matches, with an 80% Over 2.5 rate this season. Sutton Utd’s more balanced scoring and conceding rates create a mixed profile, but the combined attacking and defensive patterns point toward a game with multiple goals and a reasonable chance of both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -2.7 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sutton Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Sutton Utd to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Solihull Moors Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Solihull Moors to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 57.2% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (-2.7 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Sutton Utd and 80% for Solihull Moors, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sutton Utd

WWLLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
31 Oct 2026A Worthing3-0
28 Oct 2026H Aldershot Town2-0
24 Oct 2026A Harrogate Town1-3
09 Oct 2026H Boreham Wood0-2
03 Oct 2026A Kidderminster Harriers1-1

Solihull Moors

WWLLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 6L
31 Oct 2026H Kidderminster Harriers2-1
27 Oct 2026A Wealdstone3-2
24 Oct 2026H Carlisle1-2
10 Oct 2026A Worthing0-5
03 Oct 2026H FC Halifax Town0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 81% vs implied 80% · edge +1.1 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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Sutton Utd Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Sutton Utd to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Solihull Moors Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Solihull Moors to WinBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form shows Sutton Utd with 7 points and Solihull Moors with 6 points from their last matches, reflecting competitive but inconsistent performances. Sutton’s average goals for and against suggest a balanced approach, while Solihull’s higher goals conceded per game highlight defensive fragility, supporting the likelihood of a higher-scoring game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Sutton Utd Over 2.5
80%Solihull Moors Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.3, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Solihull Moors’ recent matches show a high frequency of Over 2.5 outcomes, suggesting a tempo and attacking style conducive to multiple goals in this encounter.

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