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Eastleigh crestEastleigh
v
AFC Fylde crestAFC Fylde

National League | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Eastleigh v AFC Fylde Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 19:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This National League clash features AFC Fylde traveling to face Eastleigh, with Fylde currently positioned fourth and Eastleigh seventeenth in the table. Fylde have shown stronger recent form, accumulating nine points compared to Eastleigh's four in their last matches. Fylde's attack is more potent, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Eastleigh have struggled defensively, conceding two goals per match on average. The fixture presents a tactical challenge for Eastleigh, who must tighten their defense against a confident Fylde side aiming to consolidate their top-table standing.

BT4Y best bet

AFC Fylde to Win

  • AFC Fylde sits 4th in the National League, Eastleigh 17th.
  • Fylde has earned 9 points recently; Eastleigh only 4.
  • Fylde averages 1.8 goals per game, Eastleigh 1.2.
  • Eastleigh concedes 2 goals per game; Fylde concedes 1.8.
  • Fylde's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, double Eastleigh's 40%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors AFC Fylde to win with a 67.5% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking efficiency. Fylde's higher goal-scoring rate and better defensive record underpin this . The at 1.85 offer positive value given the implied chance of 54.1%, supported by Fylde's consistent performances and league standing. No data limitations affect this assessment, making the selection a solid choice based on current form and season-long trends.

Model Win Probability67.5%
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsFylde 9 vs Eastleigh 4
Strong positive
Goals For per GameFylde 1.8 vs Eastleigh 1.2
Positive
Goals Against per GameFylde 1.8 vs Eastleigh 2.0
Positive
Value Edge67.5% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

AFC Fylde's superior recent form and higher league position make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their more effective attack and relatively stable defense provide a tactical edge over Eastleigh, who have struggled to maintain consistency. Fylde's momentum and quality should translate into a well-earned win in this fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“AFC Fylde's blend of attacking threat and defensive resilience positions them well to capitalize on Eastleigh's vulnerabilities, making them the clear favorites in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

AFC Fylde to Win evidence

AFC Fylde sits 4th in the National League, Eastleigh 17th.

Fylde has earned 9 points recently; Eastleigh only 4.

Fylde averages 1.8 goals per game, Eastleigh 1.2.

Eastleigh concedes 2 goals per game; Fylde concedes 1.8.

What To Watch In The Data

AFC Fylde to Win notes

  • The last ten meetings between these teams have averaged 3.8 goals per game, indicating a history of open, attacking contests.
  • Fylde's high over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests this trend will continue, with both teams contributing to a potentially high-scoring and dynamic game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Eastleigh1.2
Avg goals scored
AFC Fylde1.8
Eastleigh2
Avg goals conceded
AFC Fylde1.8
Eastleigh60%
BTTS rate
AFC Fylde60%
Eastleigh40%
Over 2.5 goals
AFC Fylde80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.9 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 82%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Fylde's matches have a high over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, indicating open games with multiple scoring opportunities. Eastleigh's lower 40% rate suggests a more cautious or less effective attack. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, so goals from both sides are plausible, supporting expectations of an engaging, goal-rich encounter.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAFC Fylde to WinBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 54% · edge +13.4 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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AFC Fylde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
The 67.5% for AFC Fylde to Win sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+13.4 pts). AFC Fylde have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Eastleigh.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Eastleigh

DLWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
31 Oct 2026A Barrow1-1
28 Oct 2026A Forest Green0-2
24 Oct 2026H Boston United4-2
10 Oct 2026A AFC Hornchurch0-2
03 Oct 2026H Woking1-3

AFC Fylde

WWLWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 4L
30 Oct 2026H AFC Hornchurch3-1
27 Oct 2026H Hartlepool3-1
24 Oct 2026A Boreham Wood0-4
10 Oct 2026H Scunthorpe2-0
03 Oct 2026A Southend1-3
Market aligned with main pickAFC Fylde to WinBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 54% · edge +13.4 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
AFC Fylde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Fylde's recent accumulation of nine points contrasts with Eastleigh's four, highlighting a clear momentum advantage. Fylde's ability to convert chances and maintain defensive solidity has been key, whereas Eastleigh's struggles to score and prevent goals have hindered their form, making Fylde the more confident side heading into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Eastleigh Over 2.5
80%AFC Fylde Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
The last ten meetings between these teams have averaged 3.8 goals per game, indicating a history of open, attacking contests. Fylde's high over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests this trend will continue, with both teams contributing to a potentially high-scoring and dynamic game.

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