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Hartlepool crestHartlepool
v
Wealdstone crestWealdstone

National League | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Hartlepool v Wealdstone Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 21:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This National League clash features Wealdstone hosting Hartlepool in a fixture charged with attacking promise and tactical intrigue. Wealdstone arrive unbeaten in their last four league meetings against Hartlepool but are coming off a recent 0-2 home defeat, highlighting some defensive fragility. Hartlepool, meanwhile, bring strong momentum with three wins in their last four matches and an unbeaten away streak in their last three league games. Both sides boast clinical forwards, including Micah Obiero and Alex Reid, setting the stage for an open, high-tempo encounter where goals at both ends are highly probable.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Wealdstone's last six matches have produced 21 goals, averaging 3.5 per game, indicating high-scoring potential.
  • Hartlepool have scored 8 goals in their last six league matches, showing consistent attacking threat.
  • Both teams have key clinical finishers: Micah Obiero (10 goals) for Wealdstone and Alex Reid (11 goals) for Hartlepool.
  • Wealdstone are unbeaten in their last four league meetings against Hartlepool, often scoring in these encounters.
  • Disciplinary concerns exist with multiple players carrying significant yellow and red card counts, potentially impacting defensive stability.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance to both teams scoring, reflecting the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. Wealdstone's recent matches have been high-scoring affairs, averaging 3.5 goals per game, while Hartlepool's consistent goal output and unbeaten away form support the likelihood of goals at both ends. The presence of prolific scorers Obiero and Reid further enhances the probability of each team finding the net. No price warning is necessary as the offer positive value with a 9.3% edge. Limited data concerns are minimal, reinforcing in this selection.

High scoring recent matches21 goals in last 6 Wealdstone games
Strong positive
Consistent away scoring8 goals in last 6 Hartlepool games
Positive
Top scorers formObiero (10), Reid (11) goals
Strong positive
Historical fixture trendWealdstone unbeaten last 4 vs Hartlepool
Positive
Disciplinary riskMultiple players with high card counts
Neutral
Main risk

Wealdstone have shown they can open teams up, especially at home, but they have also been dragged into volatile games.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This match features two sides with clear attacking intent and capable finishers, making a Both Teams to Score outcome highly plausible. Defensive lapses and disciplinary issues add to the likelihood of goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Hartlepool have scored 8 goals in their last six league matches, showing consistent attacking threat.

Both teams have key clinical finishers: Micah Obiero (10 goals) for Wealdstone and Alex Reid (11 goals) for Hartlepool.

Wealdstone are unbeaten in their last four league meetings against Hartlepool, often scoring in these encounters.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six matches, Wealdstone's games have averaged 3.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo, open style conducive to multiple scoring opportunities.
  • Hartlepool's recent matches also show a strong over 2.5 goals rate, reinforcing the expectation of an open game with goals at both ends, consistent with the BTTS market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hartlepool2
Avg goals scored
Wealdstone1.4
Hartlepool2.2
Avg goals conceded
Wealdstone2.6
Hartlepool80%
BTTS rate
Wealdstone60%
Hartlepool80%
Over 2.5 goals
Wealdstone80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Recent matches involving Wealdstone have averaged 3.5 goals per game, with Hartlepool also contributing 8 goals in their last six outings. Both teams have multiple goal threats, suggesting open play and frequent scoring opportunities. The historical trend of Wealdstone remaining unbeaten against Hartlepool, often with goals from both sides, further supports the likelihood of BTTS.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Hartlepool Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Hartlepool to WinBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Wealdstone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Wealdstone to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The 76% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 63.7% implied by the current price (+12.3 pts). Hartlepool show a 80% BTTS rate and Wealdstone show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Both Teams To Score Rationale
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hartlepool

LLWWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 8L
31 Oct 2026A Boreham Wood3-4
27 Oct 2026A AFC Fylde1-3
24 Oct 2026H AFC Hornchurch2-1
10 Oct 2026A Forest Green4-2
03 Oct 2026H Tamworth0-1

Wealdstone

WLWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
31 Oct 2026H Southend3-2
27 Oct 2026H Solihull Moors2-3
24 Oct 2026A Aldershot Town1-0
10 Oct 2026H Yeovil Town0-6
03 Oct 2026A Barrow1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 75% · edge +2.3 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Hartlepool Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Hartlepool to WinBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Wealdstone Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Wealdstone to WinBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Wealdstone's recent form shows a pattern of high-scoring but volatile matches, including a three-match losing streak with goals conceded at both ends. Hartlepool display steadier momentum with three wins in four games and an unbeaten away run, suggesting in attack and resilience. This contrast sets up a contest where both teams are likely to find scoring chances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Hartlepool Over 2.5
80%Wealdstone Over 2.5
4.63H2H avg goals
Over the last six matches, Wealdstone's games have averaged 3.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo, open style conducive to multiple scoring opportunities. Hartlepool's recent matches also show a strong over 2.5 goals rate, reinforcing the expectation of an open game with goals at both ends, consistent with the BTTS market.

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