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Harrogate Town crestHarrogate Town
v
Altrincham crestAltrincham

National League | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Harrogate Town v Altrincham Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 19:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Harrogate Town and Altrincham meet in a National League clash with both sides showing attacking intent this season. Harrogate Town sits second in the table with 32 points, while Altrincham is seventh with 28 points, indicating a competitive fixture. Both teams have a strong tendency for high-scoring matches, with recent form data showing an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals for each side. This suggests an open game with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities, making the Over 3.5 Goals market an intriguing prospect for bettors.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.
  • Harrogate Town averages 1.8 goals scored per game, Altrincham 1.6.
  • Altrincham concedes 1.8 goals per game, Harrogate Town concedes 1.2.
  • No previous head-to-head data, adding unpredictability to the fixture.
  • Harrogate Town is 2nd and Altrincham 7th in the league, both pushing for points.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 58% chance against an implied 42% chance from the , yielding a 16% . Both teams have consistently participated in high-scoring matches this season, each with an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, supporting the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter. The attacking output combined with defensive vulnerabilities suggests a match prone to multiple goals. The absence of head-to-head history adds an element of uncertainty but does not diminish the strong statistical signals favoring a high-scoring game.

Model Chance57% model chance vs 42% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance57% model chance vs 42% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Harrogate Town Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Altrincham Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Value Edge57% model chance vs 42% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game given both teams' strong scoring records and defensive concessions. Harrogate Town's higher league position and slightly better defensive record may not prevent a goal-heavy match, as Altrincham's offensive threat and tendency for high-scoring games suggest multiple goals are likely. Over 3.5 Goals is a fitting selection reflecting the offensive dynamics and recent form of both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“This fixture promises a lively encounter with both teams demonstrating a penchant for goals this season. The statistical indicators strongly favor a high-scoring game, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling market to consider.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.

Harrogate Town averages 1.8 goals scored per game, Altrincham 1.6.

Altrincham concedes 1.8 goals per game, Harrogate Town concedes 1.2.

No previous head-to-head data, adding unpredictability to the fixture.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Although no head-to-head data exists, both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate over recent matches, indicating a consistent trend toward high-scoring games.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking intent, with defensive gaps likely to be exploited, supporting the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Harrogate Town1.8
Avg goals scored
Altrincham1.6
Harrogate Town1.2
Avg goals conceded
Altrincham1.8
Harrogate Town40%
BTTS rate
Altrincham80%
Harrogate Town80%
Over 2.5 goals
Altrincham80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, highlighting their attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. Harrogate Town scores an average of 1.8 goals per game, while Altrincham scores 1.6 but concedes 1.8, suggesting open play and goal opportunities at both ends. BTTS rates differ, but the goal volume supports Over 3.5 Goals as a realistic outcome.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Harrogate Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Harrogate Town to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Altrincham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Altrincham to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The 57% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Harrogate Town and 80% for Altrincham, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Harrogate Town

DLWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Forest Green2-2
28 Oct 2026A Carlisle0-3
24 Oct 2026H Sutton Utd3-1
10 Oct 2026A Woking1-0
03 Oct 2026H AFC Hornchurch3-0

Altrincham

LDWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
31 Oct 2026H Carlisle2-4
27 Oct 2026H Kidderminster Harriers0-0
24 Oct 2026A Yeovil Town2-1
10 Oct 2026H Aldershot Town3-1
03 Oct 2026A Boreham Wood1-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 85% vs implied 80% · edge +4.8 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Harrogate Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Harrogate Town to WinBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Altrincham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Altrincham to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Recent form data shows Harrogate Town has accumulated 10 points with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, while Altrincham has 7 points with 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Both teams have maintained an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, reinforcing the expectation of a high-scoring match in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Harrogate Town Over 2.5
80%Altrincham Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Although no head-to-head data exists, both teams have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate over recent matches, indicating a consistent trend toward high-scoring games. This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking intent, with defensive gaps likely to be exploited, supporting the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.

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