Football Stats Hub

Real Sociedad II crestReal Sociedad II
v
Sporting Gijon crestSporting Gijon

Segunda División | Sat 14 Nov, 15:15

Real Sociedad II v Sporting Gijon Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sporting Gijon visits Real Sociedad II in a Segunda División clash where Sporting Gijon holds a clear advantage in recent form and league standing. Sporting Gijon sits comfortably in 7th place with 22 points, while Real Sociedad II struggles near the relegation zone in 17th with 12 points. Sporting Gijon’s slightly better defensive record and more consistent goal scoring suggest they can control the game tactically and capitalize on opportunities. Real Sociedad II’s home form has been patchy, adding to the uncertainty of their ability to contain Sporting Gijon’s attacking threats.

BT4Y best bet

Sporting Gijon to Win

  • Sporting Gijon ranks 7th with 22 points, Real Sociedad II 17th with 12 points
  • Sporting Gijon averages 1.2 goals per game, better than Real Sociedad II’s 0.8
  • Sporting Gijon concedes fewer goals per match (1.4) than Real Sociedad II (1.8)
  • Sporting Gijon’s recent form yields 9 points versus Real Sociedad II’s 4 points
  • Antonio Casas leads Sporting Gijon’s attack with 3 goals and nearly 2 shots on target per 90 minutes

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Sporting Gijon to win with a 67% chance, reflecting their stronger recent form, superior league position, and more effective attacking output. Sporting Gijon’s ability to create quality chances is highlighted by Antonio Casas’ goal threat and shot volume. Real Sociedad II’s defensive vulnerabilities and lower scoring rate further tilt the balance. The at 2.9 offer positive value given the implied chance of 34.5%, making Sporting Gijon a compelling selection without price sensitivity concerns.

Recent form advantageSporting Gijon has 9 points in last matches vs Real Sociedad II's 4
Strong positive
Goal scoringSporting Gijon averages 1.2 goals per game vs 0.8 for Real Sociedad II
Positive
Defensive soliditySporting Gijon concedes 1.4 goals per game, fewer than Real Sociedad II's 1.8
Positive
Player impactAntonio Casas’ 3 goals and 1.98 shots on target per 90 minutes
Strong positive
Price value49.5% model chance vs 34.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sporting Gijon’s superior league position and recent form underpin in their ability to secure victory. Their more potent attack, led by Antonio Casas, combined with a tighter defense compared to Real Sociedad II, suggests they can impose their game plan effectively and convert chances into goals.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome

“Sporting Gijon’s balanced attack and defense, highlighted by Antonio Casas’ goal threat and consistent shot creation, make them the logical choice to win this fixture against a struggling Real Sociedad II side.”

Key Data Signals

Sporting Gijon to Win evidence

Sporting Gijon ranks 7th with 22 points, Real Sociedad II 17th with 12 points

Sporting Gijon averages 1.2 goals per game, better than Real Sociedad II’s 0.8

Sporting Gijon concedes fewer goals per match (1.4) than Real Sociedad II (1.8)

Sporting Gijon’s recent form yields 9 points versus Real Sociedad II’s 4 points

What To Watch In The Data

Sporting Gijon to Win notes

  • In the last five meetings, the average goals per match is 1.6, suggesting relatively low-scoring encounters.
  • However, Sporting Gijon’s higher over 2.5 goals rate of 60% this season indicates potential for a more open and attacking game, especially given Real Sociedad II’s defensive record and need for points.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Real Sociedad II0.8
Avg goals scored
Sporting Gijon1.2
Real Sociedad II1.8
Avg goals conceded
Sporting Gijon1.4
Real Sociedad II40%
BTTS rate
Sporting Gijon40%
Real Sociedad II40%
Over 2.5 goals
Sporting Gijon60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.8 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Both teams have moderate BTTS rates at 40%, but Sporting Gijon’s higher goal average (1.2) and Real Sociedad II’s defensive struggles suggest at least one side will score. The over 2.5 goals rate is higher for Sporting Gijon at 60%, indicating potential for multiple goals and an open game.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Real Sociedad II

DWLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
09 Nov 2026A Sabadell0-0
31 Oct 2026H Girona1-0
24 Oct 2026A Las Palmas0-1
17 Oct 2026H Almeria2-4
10 Oct 2026A Celta de Vigo II1-4

Sporting Gijon

LWLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 5L
08 Nov 2026H Valladolid1-2
01 Nov 2026A AD Ceuta FC2-0
25 Oct 2026A Castellón0-4
17 Oct 2026H Albacete2-1
11 Oct 2026A Cadiz1-0
Market aligned with main pickSporting Gijon to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Sporting Gijon Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Sporting Gijon’s recent form is stronger, accumulating 9 points compared to Real Sociedad II’s 4 in recent matches. This momentum reflects better tactical execution and , likely translating into control during this fixture. Real Sociedad II’s struggles to convert chances and defensive lapses have limited their point haul, increasing Sporting Gijon’s chances to capitalize.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSporting Gijon to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Sporting Gijon Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 49.5% for Sporting Gijon to Win sits against roughly 34.5% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Sporting Gijon have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Real Sociedad II.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Real Sociedad II Over 2.5
60%Sporting Gijon Over 2.5
1.6H2H avg goals
In the last five meetings, the average goals per match is 1.6, suggesting relatively low-scoring encounters. However, Sporting Gijon’s higher over 2.5 goals rate of 60% this season indicates potential for a more open and attacking game, especially given Real Sociedad II’s defensive record and need for points.

Loading deeper match data…