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East Fife crestEast Fife
v
Peterhead crestPeterhead

League One | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

East Fife v Peterhead Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

East Fife and Peterhead meet in a League One clash where both sides have shown a tendency for open play and goal-scoring opportunities. East Fife currently sit 6th with 15 points, while Peterhead are close behind in 7th with 13 points, making this a competitive fixture with both teams eager to climb the table. Recent form indicates a moderate scoring pattern, with East Fife averaging 1.2 goals per game and Peterhead 1.0, alongside relatively porous defenses. This match promises attacking intent from both sides, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • East Fife and Peterhead both have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Recent form shows East Fife scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding 1.4, indicating open play.
  • Peterhead concedes 1.8 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities to exploit.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.2 over the last 10 meetings, supporting an attacking game.
  • Both teams are mid-table and likely to push for points, increasing the chance of goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 2.5 Goals as a favorable bet with a 58.3% chance, exceeding the implied market probability of 52.6%, indicating a positive of 5.7%. Both teams have shown consistent tendencies toward matches with multiple goals, supported by their recent scoring and conceding rates. The head-to-head average of 2.2 goals per game further reinforces the likelihood of a high-scoring match. This combination of attacking intent and defensive openness underpins the model's in the Over 2.5 Goals selection.

Model Probability58.3% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+5.7 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance58.3% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+5.7 pts)
Neutral
Value Edge58.3% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+5.7 pts)
Strong positive
East Fife Scoring Rate1.2 goals per game
Positive
Peterhead Defensive Concession1.8 goals conceded per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and competitive match as East Fife and Peterhead both seek to improve their league standings. East Fife's slightly better scoring form combined with Peterhead's defensive vulnerabilities suggests a higher likelihood of multiple goals. This tactical balance and recent data support the Over 2.5 Goals pick as a solid choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive openness

“The attacking tendencies of East Fife paired with Peterhead's defensive record create a compelling case for a high-scoring game. Both teams have shown they can find the net regularly, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

East Fife and Peterhead both have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.

Recent form shows East Fife scoring 1.2 goals per game and conceding 1.4, indicating open play.

Peterhead concedes 1.8 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities to exploit.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.2 over the last 10 meetings, supporting an attacking game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.2 per game, indicating a history of moderately high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent form data from the current season, suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams contributing to the attacking play.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

East Fife1.2
Avg goals scored
Peterhead1
East Fife1.4
Avg goals conceded
Peterhead1.8
East Fife60%
BTTS rate
Peterhead40%
East Fife60%
Over 2.5 goals
Peterhead60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 53% · edge +5.7 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with East Fife scoring slightly more than Peterhead. While Peterhead's BTTS rate is lower at 40%, East Fife's 60% suggests they often participate in higher-scoring games. The head-to-head average of 2.2 goals per match supports the likelihood of multiple goals, emphasizing an attacking game with chances for both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 53% · edge +5.7 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
East Fife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
East Fife to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Peterhead Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The 58.3% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 52.6% implied by the current price (+5.7 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for East Fife and 60% for Peterhead, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

East Fife

WWLLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
07 Nov 2026A Montrose2-1
31 Oct 2026H Queen of the South2-0
24 Oct 2026A Hamilton Academical1-2
17 Oct 2026H Alloa Athletic0-3
10 Oct 2026A Cove Rangers1-1

Peterhead

LWLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
07 Nov 2026A Ross County1-4
31 Oct 2026H Alloa Athletic2-1
24 Oct 2026A Montrose0-3
17 Oct 2026H Cove Rangers2-0
10 Oct 2026H Queen of the South0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.9 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
East Fife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
East Fife to WinBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Peterhead Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Peterhead to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Recent form shows East Fife accumulating 7 points and Peterhead 6 points over their last matches, with both teams averaging around one goal per game. East Fife concedes slightly fewer goals than Peterhead, indicating a marginally stronger defense. The consistent over 2.5 goals rate of 60% for both teams highlights a trend toward higher-scoring matches in recent form.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%East Fife Over 2.5
60%Peterhead Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.2 per game, indicating a history of moderately high-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with recent form data from the current season, suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams contributing to the attacking play.

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