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Cove Rangers crestCove Rangers
v
Montrose crestMontrose

League One | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Cove Rangers v Montrose Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cove Rangers host Montrose in a League One clash where goal-scoring potential is a key storyline. Montrose, positioned fourth, have shown a stronger attacking edge, averaging 1.2 goals per game recently, while Cove Rangers have been slightly more prolific at 1.8 goals per game. Both sides have conceded goals regularly, suggesting an open game with chances at both ends. Montrose's recent form includes a higher rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating an attacking mindset that could influence this fixture's tempo and goal volume.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Montrose have a 60% rate of matches over 2.5 goals recently.
  • Cove Rangers average 1.8 goals scored per game in recent outings.
  • The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 3.5 goals per match.
  • Both teams have conceded goals regularly, increasing chances for multiple goals.
  • Montrose sit 4th in the table, showing stronger offensive form than 10th-placed Cove Rangers.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 2.5 Goals as a favorable bet with a 59.8% chance, exceeding the implied market probability of 54.1%, indicating a positive of 5.7%. The recent form data supports this, with Montrose's 60% over 2.5 rate and the historically high average goals of 3.5 in head-to-head matches. Both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities create conditions conducive to a higher-scoring game. No data limitations or price warnings reduce in this selection.

Model Probability59.8% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+5.7 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Probability59.8% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+5.7 pts)
Neutral
Recent Over 2.5 Rate Montrose60%
Positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate Cove Rangers40%
Neutral
H2H Average Goals3.5 goals per match
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open contest with Montrose's attacking form likely to push the goal count above 2.5. Cove Rangers' willingness to attack combined with defensive concessions on both sides creates fertile ground for multiple goals. The data and recent trends suggest a lively match with scoring chances for both teams, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · goal-scoring potential

“Montrose's offensive momentum paired with Cove Rangers' defensive lapses sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The historical goal averages and recent scoring rates underline the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Montrose have a 60% rate of matches over 2.5 goals recently.

Cove Rangers average 1.8 goals scored per game in recent outings.

The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 3.5 goals per match.

Both teams have conceded goals regularly, increasing chances for multiple goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.5 goals, a notably high figure that underscores the fixture's history of open, attacking play.
  • This trend, combined with recent form over the last five matches, suggests a continued pattern favoring Over 2.5 Goals in this encounter.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cove Rangers

WWLDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
07 Nov 2026H Hamilton Academical4-0
31 Oct 2026A Airdrie United1-0
17 Oct 2026A Peterhead0-2
10 Oct 2026H East Fife1-1
03 Oct 2026A Queen of the South3-4

Montrose

LDWDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
07 Nov 2026H East Fife1-2
31 Oct 2026A Hamilton Academical1-1
24 Oct 2026H Peterhead3-0
17 Oct 2026A East Kilbride1-1
10 Oct 2026H Ross County0-5
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 74% · edge +9.8 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Cove Rangers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Cove Rangers to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Montrose Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Montrose to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Montrose's recent matches show a stronger inclination towards games with over 2.5 goals, reflecting an attacking approach and defensive openness. Cove Rangers have been less consistent in this regard but still contribute to goal-rich encounters. This form data aligns with the expectation of a match featuring multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cove Rangers1.8
Avg goals scored
Montrose1.2
Cove Rangers1.4
Avg goals conceded
Montrose1.8
Cove Rangers40%
BTTS rate
Montrose60%
Cove Rangers40%
Over 2.5 goals
Montrose60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 54% · edge +5.7 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Recent form shows Montrose have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Cove Rangers are at 40%. Both teams have conceded regularly, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. The head-to-head average of 3.5 goals per game further supports a high-scoring scenario with potential for both teams to score.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League One fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 54% · edge +5.7 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Cove Rangers Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Cove Rangers to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Montrose Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 59.8% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+5.7 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Cove Rangers and 60% for Montrose, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Cove Rangers Over 2.5
60%Montrose Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.5 goals, a notably high figure that underscores the fixture's history of open, attacking play. This trend, combined with recent form over the last five matches, suggests a continued pattern favoring Over 2.5 Goals in this encounter.

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