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Woking crestWoking
v
Forest Green crestForest Green

National League | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Woking v Forest Green Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 21:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Woking hosts Forest Green in a National League clash where both teams are seeking to climb the table. Woking sits 12th with 21 points, showing a slightly stronger recent form and defensive record compared to Forest Green, who are 16th with 19 points. Both sides have similar goal-scoring rates, but Woking's home advantage and steadier defensive numbers suggest they can control the match tempo. The fixture promises a competitive battle with Woking aiming to capitalize on their marginally better form and league position to secure all three points.

BT4Y best bet

Woking to Win

  • Woking holds a 56.6% to win, with offering good value at 2.62.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking intent.
  • Woking's recent form shows 9 points gained with a solid defensive record conceding 1.2 goals per game.
  • Forest Green concedes 2 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities Woking can exploit.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3 per game, supporting a lively contest with scoring opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Woking to win based on their stronger recent form, better defensive record, and home advantage. Woking's ability to limit goals conceded to 1.2 per game contrasts with Forest Green's 2 goals conceded, highlighting a defensive edge. The 18.4% at of 2.62 reflects a significant pricing discrepancy favoring Woking. Both teams' tendency for over 2.5 goals suggests an open game, but Woking's steadier defense and league position underpin the in their victory. No data limitations affect this assessment.

Recent FormWoking 9 points vs Forest Green 6 points
Positive
Defensive RecordWoking concedes 1.2 goals vs Forest Green 2 goals
Strong positive
Home AdvantageWoking playing at home
Positive
Value Edge53.2% model chance vs 38.2% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Goal TrendsBoth teams 60% over 2.5 goals rate
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Woking's slightly superior recent form and defensive solidity at home make them the tactical favorite to secure victory. Their capacity to contain Forest Green's attack, which concedes more goals on average, combined with home support, provides a strong foundation for a win. The data supports Woking as the more balanced and consistent side in this matchup.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and defensive advantage

“Woking's defensive discipline and home advantage give them a clear edge over Forest Green, whose defensive frailties could be exploited effectively in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Woking to Win evidence

Woking holds a 56.6% to win, with offering good value at 2.62.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking intent.

Woking's recent form shows 9 points gained with a solid defensive record conceding 1.2 goals per game.

Forest Green concedes 2 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities Woking can exploit.

What To Watch In The Data

Woking to Win notes

  • Over the last 10 matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 3 per game, indicating a tendency for open, attacking encounters.
  • Both sides' recent over 2.5 goals rates at 60% further suggest this fixture could produce multiple goals, aligning with the attacking styles observed.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Woking1.6
Avg goals scored
Forest Green2
Woking1.2
Avg goals conceded
Forest Green2
Woking60%
BTTS rate
Forest Green80%
Woking60%
Over 2.5 goals
Forest Green60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, and Forest Green's 80% BTTS rate indicates frequent scoring from both sides. The average of 3 goals in their last 10 meetings supports expectations of an open game with multiple scoring chances.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWoking to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Woking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The 53.2% for Woking to Win sits against roughly 38.2% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Woking have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Forest Green.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Woking

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Tamworth1-0
27 Oct 2026H Boreham Wood1-2
24 Oct 2026A Scunthorpe3-2
10 Oct 2026H Harrogate Town0-1
03 Oct 2026A Eastleigh3-1

Forest Green

DWLDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
31 Oct 2026H Harrogate Town2-2
28 Oct 2026H Eastleigh2-0
10 Oct 2026H Hartlepool2-4
29 Sep 2026H Wealdstone1-1
26 Sep 2026A Sutton Utd3-3
Market aligned with main pickWoking to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 79%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Woking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Woking's recent form is stronger, with 9 points gained compared to Forest Green's 6. Woking's better defensive record in recent matches underpins in their ability to control the game and limit Forest Green's scoring opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Woking Over 2.5
60%Forest Green Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 3 per game, indicating a tendency for open, attacking encounters. Both sides' recent over 2.5 goals rates at 60% further suggest this fixture could produce multiple goals, aligning with the attacking styles observed.

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