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Shrewsbury crestShrewsbury
v
Oldham crestOldham

League Two | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Shrewsbury v Oldham Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 10:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shrewsbury and Oldham meet in a League Two clash where both sides have shown moderate attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Shrewsbury averages 6 corners per game, while Oldham contributes around 3.2, indicating a combined tendency for set-piece opportunities. Both teams have similar recent form points and goal rates, suggesting a balanced contest with potential for sustained pressure and territorial battles. The match could see frequent wide attacks and crosses, increasing corner chances as both teams seek to break down defenses in a competitive mid-table fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Shrewsbury averages 6 corners per match, Oldham 3.2, combining for over 9.5 corners on average.
  • Both teams have similar recent form with 7 points each, indicating balanced contest intensity.
  • Shrewsbury and Oldham each average 15 shots per game, showing attacking activity that can lead to corners.
  • Shrewsbury’s aggressive wide play and Oldham’s midfield pressure contribute to frequent set-piece situations.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a positive value bet with a 61.9% chance against a 54.1% implied market chance, reflecting a 7.8% . Both teams’ corner averages and shot volumes support a game with sustained wide attacks and defensive pressure leading to numerous corners. The level of 70% underlines a solid statistical basis, reinforced by player roles that encourage crossing and fouling in wide areas. No data limitations or price warnings reduce uncertainty, making this a well-supported corners market pick.

Model Chance61.9% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+7.8 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance61.9% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+7.8 pts)
Positive
Value Edge61.9% model chance vs 54.1% implied (+7.8 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence Level70%
Positive
Home Team Corner Average6 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with active wing play and frequent defensive clearances forcing corners. Shrewsbury’s higher corner average combined with Oldham’s pressing style suggests a game rich in set-piece opportunities. The statistical edge and tactical tendencies align well with the Over 9.5 Corners selection, making it a compelling choice for this League Two fixture.

Main risk

Shrewsbury's own vulnerability, conceding 22 times in 14 matches, creates a credible risk of goals at both ends.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market analysis

“This fixture’s corner count is likely to be boosted by Shrewsbury’s wide attacking patterns and Oldham’s defensive resilience, which often results in forced clearances and set-piece chances. The data and tactical context strongly support a corners market above nine and a half.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Shrewsbury averages 6 corners per match, Oldham 3.2, combining for over 9.5 corners on average.

Both teams have similar recent form with 7 points each, indicating balanced contest intensity.

Shrewsbury and Oldham each average 15 shots per game, showing attacking activity that can lead to corners.

Shrewsbury’s aggressive wide play and Oldham’s midfield pressure contribute to frequent set-piece situations.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.2, indicating moderate scoring but not necessarily high corner counts.
  • However, recent form and playing styles suggest a tempo that encourages wide attacks and defensive clearances, leading to a higher corner count than the goal average might imply.
  • This trend supports the Over 2.5 Goals panel as context for attacking tempo but corners remain the stronger value market here.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shrewsbury1.6
Avg goals scored
Oldham1.2
Shrewsbury1.6
Avg goals conceded
Oldham1.2
Shrewsbury60%
BTTS rate
Oldham40%
Shrewsbury60%
Over 2.5 goals
Oldham40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
While goals and BTTS rates are moderate, the attacking intent from both sides generates sufficient pressure to produce set-piece situations. Shrewsbury’s 60% over 2.5 goals rate and Oldham’s 40% suggest some offensive threat, but the corner market benefits more from territorial battles and wide play than from goal volume alone.

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Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Shrewsbury Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Shrewsbury to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Oldham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Oldham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 61.9% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 54.1% implied by the current price (+7.8 pts). Shrewsbury lead the corner sample at 6 per match, with Oldham lower at 3.2.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shrewsbury

LDWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
31 Oct 2026H Gillingham1-2
24 Oct 2026A Rotherham3-3
20 Oct 2026A Crawley Town3-2
17 Oct 2026H Bristol Rovers1-0
10 Oct 2026H Exeter City0-1

Oldham

WLDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
03 Nov 2026A Northampton1-0
31 Oct 2026H Crawley Town0-1
24 Oct 2026A Barnet1-1
20 Oct 2026A Walsall0-3
17 Oct 2026H Cheltenham4-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +4.3 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Shrewsbury Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Shrewsbury to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Oldham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Oldham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Both teams have accumulated 7 points recently, showing balanced momentum. Shrewsbury’s 60% rate of matches over 2.5 goals and BTTS aligns with a dynamic style that often forces corners. Oldham’s slightly lower attacking stats still contribute to a combined pressure that supports the likelihood of exceeding 9.5 corners in this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Shrewsbury Over 2.5
40%Oldham Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.2, indicating moderate scoring but not necessarily high corner counts. However, recent form and playing styles suggest a tempo that encourages wide attacks and defensive clearances, leading to a higher corner count than the goal average might imply. This trend supports the Over 2.5 Goals panel as context for attacking tempo but corners remain the stronger value market here.

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