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Kosovo crestKosovo
v
Israel crestIsrael

UEFA Nations League | Sat 14 Nov, 14:00

Kosovo v Israel Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 00:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kosovo face Israel in UEFA Nations League on Sat 14 Nov, 14:00. Kosovo vs Israel Preview: Hosts Target Crucial Nations League Victory in Pristina. Unbeaten rivalry: Kosovo have never lost to Israel in three meetings, winning once and drawing twice. Kosovo create more chances, leaving Israel under pressure to match their attacking tempo.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

  • At 9/10, Under 2 implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Kosovo did generate 22 attempts and 2.74 expected goals in their opening 1-0 victory over Ireland, showing they can create volume.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Kosovo and 50% for Israel, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Kosovo are carrying more of the scoring load at 0.75 goals per match, with Israel at 0.5.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Kosovo and 50% for Israel show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2 sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Kosovo and 50% for Israel, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Kosovo did generate 22 attempts and 2.74 expected goals in their opening 1-0 victory over Ireland, showing they can create volume.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Kosovo and 50%.Visible data support
Positive
Kosovo are carrying more of the scoring load at 0.75.Visible data support
Positive
Kosovo did generate 22 attempts and 2.74 expected goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Under 2.5 Goals. Kosovo are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Israel at 0.5. Goalscoring continues to be a significant concern.

Main risk

Goalscoring continues to be a significant concern.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

Selection: Under 2.5 Goals.

Kosovo are carrying more of the scoring load at 0.75 goals per match, with Israel at 0.5.

BTTS rates of 50% for Kosovo and 50% for Israel show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kosovo0.75
Avg goals scored
Israel0.5
Kosovo1
Avg goals conceded
Israel1.75
Kosovo50%
BTTS rate
Israel50%
Kosovo25%
Over 2.5 goals
Israel50%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kosovo

DDLW
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 1L
04 Oct 2026H Austria1-1
01 Oct 2026A Israel0-0
27 Sep 2026A Austria1-3
24 Sep 2026H Rep. Of Ireland1-0

Israel

DDLL
Last 50W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 2L
04 Oct 2026A Rep. Of Ireland1-1
01 Oct 2026H Kosovo0-0
27 Sep 2026H Rep. Of Ireland0-3
24 Sep 2026A Austria1-3

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Kosovo Over 2.5
50%Israel Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Kosovo sit at 25% and Israel sit at 50% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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