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Palestine crestPalestine
v
Iran crestIran

Friendlies | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Palestine v Iran Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly match between Palestine and Iran presents an intriguing attacking contest as both teams have shown a tendency for open play and goal-scoring opportunities in recent fixtures. Palestine’s offense has been particularly active, averaging 2.6 goals per game with a high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Iran also contributes with a solid attacking output. The match is likely to feature dynamic offensive phases from both sides, with neither team prioritizing defensive caution in this non-competitive setting, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Palestine averages 2.6 goals per game with 80% of matches over 2.5 goals.
  • Iran averages 2.2 goals per game and has a 60% over 2.5 goals rate.
  • Recent head-to-head meeting featured 5 goals, indicating open play.
  • Both teams have balanced defensive records conceding 1.2 goals per game.
  • Player data shows multiple attacking threats with high shot volumes for Palestine.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 2.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 71.4% chance, significantly above the implied market chance of 51.3%, offering a 20.1% . Both Palestine and Iran have demonstrated attacking intent and goal-scoring ability, supported by recent form and a high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. The recent head-to-head also featured a high goal count, reinforcing the likelihood of an open, goal-rich game. This combination of statistical trends and tactical openness underpins the in this selection.

Model Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Neutral
Value Edge66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Palestine Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Iran Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Palestine and Iran have shown offensive capabilities and a tendency for high-scoring matches. Palestine’s strong shot volume and Iran’s willingness to engage offensively suggest multiple goals are likely. The recent high-scoring head-to-head further supports the expectation of Over 2.5 Goals in this friendly encounter.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking potential and match tempo

“This fixture promises an entertaining offensive display from both sides, with Palestine’s prolific shooting and Iran’s attacking willingness setting the stage for a lively, goal-filled match.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Palestine averages 2.6 goals per game with 80% of matches over 2.5 goals.

Iran averages 2.2 goals per game and has a 60% over 2.5 goals rate.

Recent head-to-head meeting featured 5 goals, indicating open play.

Both teams have balanced defensive records conceding 1.2 goals per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The trend panel covering recent matches and the single head-to-head meeting reveals a high average goal count, with 5 goals scored in their last encounter.
  • This sample highlights a tempo favoring offensive transitions and defensive gaps, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical expectation based on recent trends and tactical openness.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Palestine2.6
Avg goals scored
Iran2.2
Palestine1.2
Avg goals conceded
Iran1.2
Palestine60%
BTTS rate
Iran40%
Palestine80%
Over 2.5 goals
Iran60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Both teams have demonstrated a propensity for scoring and conceding goals, with Palestine’s 80% over 2.5 rate and Iran’s 60% rate highlighting an open style of play. The recent head-to-head match featured five goals, underscoring the potential for both teams to find the net and contribute to a high-scoring game.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Palestine Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Palestine to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Iran Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Iran to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The 66.3% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Palestine and 60% for Iran, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Palestine

WDWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 0L
02 Oct 2026A China5-0
30 Sep 2026A Konyaspor2-2
28 Sep 2026A Tajikistan4-2
24 Sep 2026H New Zealand2-2
09 Jun 2026A Kyrgyzstan0-0

Iran

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 3L
29 Sep 2026A Russia0-2
24 Sep 2026A Uzbekistan1-3
04 Jun 2026H Mali2-0
29 May 2026H Gambia3-1
31 Mar 2026A Costa Rica5-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Palestine Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Palestine to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Iran Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Iran to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Recent form data shows Palestine scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game with an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating consistent offensive output. Iran also contributes with 2.2 goals per game and a 60% over 2.5 rate, suggesting both teams are in attacking rhythm and likely to produce a high-scoring encounter in this friendly.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Palestine Over 2.5
60%Iran Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
The trend panel covering recent matches and the single head-to-head meeting reveals a high average goal count, with 5 goals scored in their last encounter. This sample highlights a tempo favoring offensive transitions and defensive gaps, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical expectation based on recent trends and tactical openness.

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