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Stevenage crestStevenage
v
Mansfield Town crestMansfield Town

League One | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Stevenage v Mansfield Town Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 18:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Stevenage host Mansfield Town in a League One clash where both sides show contrasting corner statistics that suggest a high-corner count. Stevenage average 3.6 corners per match while Mansfield Town average 7, indicating a likely active battle for territorial advantage and attacking width. Recent form data shows both teams have moderate goal output but a shared tendency towards matches with multiple set-piece opportunities. The fixture's mid-table stakes add competitive intensity, with both teams eager to secure points and assert control on the flanks, setting the stage for a corner-rich encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Mansfield Town average 7 corners per game, significantly higher than Stevenage's 3.6.
  • Both teams have recent form supporting active wing play and set-piece creation.
  • Stevenage and Mansfield Town's combined corner average exceeds 10, aligning with the Over 9.5 Corners pick.
  • Player data shows attacking players like T. Smith frequently generate shots and pressure from wide areas.
  • The model assigns a 69% chance to Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong statistical support.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model highlights Over 9.5 Corners as a strong value bet with a 69% chance against an implied 57.8%, reflecting an 11.2% . Mansfield Town's high corner average (7 per game) combined with Stevenage's moderate 3.6 corners suggests sustained wing pressure and frequent set-piece opportunities. The attacking tendencies of key players like T. Smith further support this, as their shot volumes and positioning often lead to corners. The level of 81% reinforces the reliability of this corner market prediction.

Mansfield Town Average Corners7 per game
Strong positive
Stevenage Average Corners3.6 per game
Positive
Model Chance vs Implied Chance69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Key Player Attacking ActivityHigh shot and pressure stats
Positive
Confidence Level81%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match where Mansfield Town's aggressive wing play and Stevenage's defensive resilience combine to produce numerous corner situations. Mansfield Town's higher corner average and attacking intent, coupled with Stevenage's willingness to contest wide areas, suggest Over 9.5 Corners is a tactically sound pick supported by solid data.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“Mansfield Town's strong corner statistics and Stevenage's moderate set-piece concession rate create a compelling scenario for a high-corner count. The attacking roles of Turhan and Smith further amplify the likelihood of frequent corners through sustained pressure and wing play.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Mansfield Town average 7 corners per game, significantly higher than Stevenage's 3.6.

Both teams have recent form supporting active wing play and set-piece creation.

Stevenage and Mansfield Town's combined corner average exceeds 10, aligning with the Over 9.5 Corners pick.

Player data shows attacking players like T. Smith frequently generate shots and pressure from wide areas.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating relatively low-scoring games.
  • However, both teams' recent matches show a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting increased attacking tempo and chance creation.
  • This trend supports a game with dynamic wing play and set-piece situations, which often translate into a higher number of corners, aligning with the Over 9.5 Corners selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Stevenage1.2
Avg goals scored
Mansfield Town1.6
Stevenage1
Avg goals conceded
Mansfield Town0.8
Stevenage20%
BTTS rate
Mansfield Town40%
Stevenage40%
Over 2.5 goals
Mansfield Town40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 57% · edge +5.5 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Both teams have modest goal-scoring rates, with Stevenage at 1.2 and Mansfield Town at 1.6 goals per game, and a shared 40% over 2.5 goals rate. BTTS rates are lower for Stevenage (20%) but higher for Mansfield Town (40%), indicating a mixed attacking profile. This suggests the game may not be high scoring but will feature attacking phases that generate set-piece chances, supporting corner volume rather than goal totals.

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Useful next reads

League One fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Stevenage

DLWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
31 Oct 2026A Leicester2-2
24 Oct 2026H Milton Keynes Dons0-1
20 Oct 2026H Plymouth3-0
17 Oct 2026A Bradford0-2
10 Oct 2026H Wigan1-0

Mansfield Town

DLWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
03 Nov 2026A Wigan0-0
31 Oct 2026H Notts County0-2
24 Oct 2026A Blackpool4-1
20 Oct 2026A AFC Wimbledon3-0
15 Oct 2026H Oxford United1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 65% · edge +11.3 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Mansfield Town to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Mansfield Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Stevenage Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Stevenage to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Recent form data shows Stevenage has earned 7 points with a 40% over 2.5 goals rate and a low 20% BTTS rate, indicating tighter defensive matches with occasional attacking bursts. Mansfield Town has 8 points with a similar 40% over 2.5 goals rate and a higher 40% BTTS rate, reflecting a more open style. Both teams' corner averages and attacking tendencies in recent matches align well with the Over 9.5 Corners market, suggesting continuity in set-piece opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Mansfield Town to WinBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Mansfield Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Stevenage Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). Mansfield Town lead the corner sample at 7 per match, with Stevenage lower at 3.6.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Stevenage Over 2.5
40%Mansfield Town Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating relatively low-scoring games. However, both teams' recent matches show a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting increased attacking tempo and chance creation. This trend supports a game with dynamic wing play and set-piece situations, which often translate into a higher number of corners, aligning with the Over 9.5 Corners selection.

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