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Gateshead crestGateshead
v
Barrow crestBarrow

National League | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

Gateshead v Barrow Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 19:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gateshead face Barrow in a National League clash where both teams have shown contrasting fortunes this season. Gateshead struggle near the bottom with only 4 points and defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Barrow, sitting comfortably in 9th with 25 points, boast a stronger attack averaging 2.2 goals per match. The tactical battle will likely see open play as Gateshead seek goals to improve their standing, while Barrow's offensive consistency suggests both sides have the capability to score in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Gateshead concede 2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Barrow average 2.2 goals scored per match, showing strong attacking form.
  • Both teams have BTTS rates of 60% (Gateshead) and 80% (Barrow), supporting mutual scoring likelihood.
  • Recent form shows Barrow with 13 points and Gateshead with none, highlighting Barrow's attacking momentum.
  • Over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of Gateshead's and 80% of Barrow's recent matches, suggesting open games.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting Gateshead's defensive struggles and Barrow's potent attack. Both sides have high BTTS rates this season, with Barrow particularly prolific in front of goal. The implied of 1.8 offer positive value given the 55.6% market implied chance. The data indicates a match likely to feature goals at both ends, supported by recent form and season-long scoring trends.

Gateshead defensive record2 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Barrow attacking output2.2 goals scored per game
Strong positive
BTTS rates60% Gateshead, 80% Barrow
Strong positive
Recent form pointsBarrow 13, Gateshead 0
Positive
Over 2.5 goals frequency
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams to score is a logical selection given Gateshead's defensive issues and Barrow's strong offensive form. Barrow's consistent goal scoring combined with Gateshead's tendency to concede creates a scenario where both sides finding the net is highly plausible. The recent points disparity also suggests Barrow will push forward, increasing chances for goals at both ends.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture presents a clear opportunity for both teams to find the net, as Barrow's attacking consistency meets Gateshead's defensive vulnerabilities. The statistical trends and recent form strongly support a BTTS outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Gateshead concede 2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive frailty.

Barrow average 2.2 goals scored per match, showing strong attacking form.

Both teams have BTTS rates of 60% (Gateshead) and 80% (Barrow), supporting mutual scoring likelihood.

Recent form shows Barrow with 13 points and Gateshead with none, highlighting Barrow's attacking momentum.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.3, indicating moderately open games.
  • Both teams have shown a propensity for matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, with Barrow's 80% over 2.5 rate particularly notable.
  • This trend supports a high-tempo match with multiple scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Gateshead0.6
Avg goals scored
Barrow2.2
Gateshead2
Avg goals conceded
Barrow1
Gateshead60%
BTTS rate
Barrow80%
Gateshead60%
Over 2.5 goals
Barrow80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both Gateshead and Barrow have high BTTS rates, 60% and 80% respectively, with frequent matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Barrow's average of 2.2 goals per game and Gateshead's defensive concessions create a fertile environment for goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS market.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Gateshead Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Barrow to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Barrow Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Gateshead to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The 70.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Gateshead show a 60% BTTS rate and Barrow show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Gateshead

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 9L
31 Oct 2026A Aldershot Town0-1
27 Oct 2026A Boston United1-2
10 Oct 2026A FC Halifax Town1-4
03 Oct 2026H Worthing1-2
29 Sep 2026H Altrincham0-1

Barrow

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
31 Oct 2026H Eastleigh1-1
27 Oct 2026A FC Halifax Town3-2
10 Oct 2026A Tamworth2-1
03 Oct 2026H Wealdstone2-1
29 Sep 2026H Scunthorpe3-0
Best odds for this sectionGateshead Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Barrow to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Barrow Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Gateshead to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Recent form heavily favors Barrow, who have accumulated 13 points compared to Gateshead's zero in recent matches. Barrow's scoring consistency contrasts with Gateshead's struggles to find the net, yet Gateshead's defensive frailty means both teams remain likely to score, aligning with the BTTS pick.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Gateshead Over 2.5
80%Barrow Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.3, indicating moderately open games. Both teams have shown a propensity for matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, with Barrow's 80% over 2.5 rate particularly notable. This trend supports a high-tempo match with multiple scoring opportunities.

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