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East Kilbride crestEast Kilbride
v
Alloa Athletic crestAlloa Athletic

League One | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00

East Kilbride v Alloa Athletic Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

East Kilbride and Alloa Athletic meet in a League One clash where East Kilbride's strong home form and attacking prowess contrast with Alloa Athletic's struggles in front of goal. East Kilbride ranks third with 21 points, showing consistent scoring ability, while Alloa Athletic sits ninth with 12 points and a less reliable offense. Both teams have shown tendencies to concede, setting up a contest where both sides could find the net. The tactical setup suggests an open game with East Kilbride pushing forward and Alloa Athletic seeking to capitalize on counter-attacks, making a goals exchange likely.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • East Kilbride has an 80% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Alloa Athletic's BTTS rate is lower at 40%, but they still score in a significant portion of matches.
  • Recent form shows East Kilbride averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
  • The single head-to-head match featured 3 goals, indicating a potentially open game.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, supporting attacking play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, reflecting East Kilbride's strong attacking and moderate defensive record combined with Alloa Athletic's ability to score despite defensive vulnerabilities. The 11.6% over the implied of 1.62 suggests a favorable betting opportunity. Both teams' high over 2.5 goals rates and recent scoring trends support the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data quality concerns reduce , making this a solid pick based on attacking tendencies and match context.

East Kilbride BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Alloa Athletic BTTS Rate40%
Positive
Model Chance73.3% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+11.6 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge73.3% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+11.6 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Goals AverageEast Kilbride 1.8, Alloa Athletic 1.2
Positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“East Kilbride's consistent scoring and Alloa Athletic's occasional offensive bursts create a scenario where both sides finding the net is a realistic expectation in this League One fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

East Kilbride has an 80% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent goals conceded and scored.

Alloa Athletic's BTTS rate is lower at 40%, but they still score in a significant portion of matches.

Recent form shows East Kilbride averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

The single head-to-head match featured 3 goals, indicating a potentially open game.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have demonstrated a high frequency of games exceeding 2.5 goals, with East Kilbride at 80% and Alloa Athletic also at 80%.
  • This trend indicates a fast-paced, open game with multiple scoring opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

East Kilbride1.8
Avg goals scored
Alloa Athletic1.2
East Kilbride1.2
Avg goals conceded
Alloa Athletic1.8
East Kilbride80%
BTTS rate
Alloa Athletic40%
East Kilbride80%
Over 2.5 goals
Alloa Athletic80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
East Kilbride's 80% BTTS rate and Alloa Athletic's 40% rate combine to create a strong likelihood of goals at both ends. The recent head-to-head match featured three goals, reinforcing the potential for an open game. Both teams' tendency to participate in high-scoring matches supports the BTTS selection.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League One hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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East Kilbride to WinBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
East Kilbride Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Alloa Athletic Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Alloa Athletic to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The 73.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+11.6 pts). East Kilbride show a 80% BTTS rate and Alloa Athletic show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

East Kilbride

WLDDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
07 Nov 2026A Queen of the South2-1
31 Oct 2026H Ross County1-2
17 Oct 2026H Montrose1-1
10 Oct 2026H Airdrie United2-2
03 Oct 2026A East Fife3-0

Alloa Athletic

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
07 Nov 2026H Airdrie United2-3
31 Oct 2026A Peterhead1-2
24 Oct 2026H Queen of the South0-1
17 Oct 2026A East Fife3-0
10 Oct 2026H Hamilton Academical0-3
Best odds for this sectionEast Kilbride to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 65% · edge +7.1 pts
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
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East Kilbride Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Alloa Athletic Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Alloa Athletic to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
East Kilbride's recent form shows a strong offensive output with 1.8 goals per game and a solid points tally, indicating momentum. Alloa Athletic's lower scoring and points reflect challenges but also occasional goal-scoring ability. This contrast suggests East Kilbride will press forward while Alloa Athletic seeks to exploit openings, increasing the chance of both teams scoring.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%East Kilbride Over 2.5
80%Alloa Athletic Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have demonstrated a high frequency of games exceeding 2.5 goals, with East Kilbride at 80% and Alloa Athletic also at 80%. This trend indicates a fast-paced, open game with multiple scoring opportunities, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.

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