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Hamilton Academical crestHamilton Academical
v
Ross County crestRoss County

League One | Sat 14 Nov, 17:30

Hamilton Academical v Ross County Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ross County visit Hamilton Academical in a top-of-the-table League One clash with significant promotion implications. Ross County lead the standings with 38 points, five clear of second-placed Hamilton Academical on 33 points. Ross County have been in strong form, averaging 3.6 goals scored per game and conceding just 0.8, showcasing a potent attack and solid defense. Hamilton Academical have scored less and conceded more, making this a stern test. The fixture promises intensity and tactical battles as both sides seek to maintain their promotion push in a high-stakes encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Ross County to Win

  • Ross County lead League One with 38 points, five ahead of Hamilton Academical.
  • Ross County average 3.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, indicating strong attack and defense.
  • Hamilton Academical score 1.2 goals per game and concede 1.6, less prolific than Ross County.
  • Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting attacking intent from both sides.
  • Ross County have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, supporting expectations of a high-scoring game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Ross County to Win is supported by a 70% , reflecting their superior form and statistical control in attack and defense. The of 1.75 imply a 57.1% chance, offering a positive of 12.9%. Ross County's consistent goal-scoring and defensive solidity make them strong favorites against Hamilton Academical, who have been less effective both offensively and defensively. The model at 70% reinforces the reliability of this selection in a key promotion battle.

Model Chance70% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+12.9 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance vs Model70% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+12.9 pts)
Strong positive
Ross County Attack3.6 goals per game
Strong positive
Ross County Defense0.8 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Hamilton Academical Defense1.6 goals conceded per game
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Ross County's superior scoring rate and defensive resilience make them the clear choice to win this pivotal League One fixture. Their consistent form and statistical edge over Hamilton Academical provide a solid foundation for backing them in this top-table clash.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Ross County to Win

“Ross County combine attacking efficiency with defensive discipline, making them well-equipped to secure victory against a less potent Hamilton Academical side in this crucial promotion battle.”

Key Data Signals

Ross County to Win evidence

Ross County lead League One with 38 points, five ahead of Hamilton Academical.

Ross County average 3.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, indicating strong attack and defense.

Hamilton Academical score 1.2 goals per game and concede 1.6, less prolific than Ross County.

Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting attacking intent from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Ross County to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Ross County's recent 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate suggests an upward trend in scoring tempo, supporting expectations of an attacking and goal-rich match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hamilton Academical1.2
Avg goals scored
Ross County3.6
Hamilton Academical1.6
Avg goals conceded
Ross County0.8
Hamilton Academical80%
BTTS rate
Ross County80%
Hamilton Academical60%
Over 2.5 goals
Ross County80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate, and Ross County's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate signals a likely high-scoring encounter. Hamilton Academical's 60% Over 2.5 rate supports the potential for goals, making attacking play a key feature of this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRoss County to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 70% for Ross County to Win sits against roughly 57.1% implied by the current price (+12.9 pts). Ross County have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 8 for Hamilton Academical.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hamilton Academical

LDDWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
07 Nov 2026A Cove Rangers0-4
31 Oct 2026H Montrose1-1
27 Oct 2026A Ross County1-1
24 Oct 2026H East Fife2-1
17 Oct 2026A Airdrie United2-1

Ross County

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 2D 0L
07 Nov 2026H Peterhead4-1
31 Oct 2026A East Kilbride2-1
27 Oct 2026H Hamilton Academical1-1
24 Oct 2026H Airdrie United4-0
17 Oct 2026A Queen of the South7-1
Market aligned with main pickRoss County to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Ross County's recent form is superior, accumulating 13 points compared to Hamilton Academical's 8 in recent matches. This momentum underpins in their ability to secure victory and maintain their lead at the top of the table.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Hamilton Academical Over 2.5
80%Ross County Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Ross County's recent 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate suggests an upward trend in scoring tempo, supporting expectations of an attacking and goal-rich match.

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