Leicester
BradfordLeague One | Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Leicester v Bradford Stats
Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 17:30 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Leicester and Bradford face off in a League One clash where Leicester's recent attacking form stands out, averaging 2.4 goals per game and maintaining a perfect record of over 2.5 goals in their last five matches. Bradford, while positioned slightly higher in the table, have struggled offensively, scoring just 0.4 goals per game and showing limited goal threat. Leicester's ability to create shots on target and maintain offensive pressure suggests they will control the tempo and pose significant challenges to Bradford's defense in this mid-November fixture.
Leicester to Win
- Leicester averages 2.4 goals per game with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently.
- Bradford scores only 0.4 goals per game and has a low BTTS rate of 0%.
- Leicester averages 6.6 shots on target per match versus Bradford's 2.6, indicating offensive control.
- Bradford ranks 7th with 22 points, Leicester 10th with 19 points, showing a close table battle.
- Riis leads with 6 goals and 2.04 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting key attacking threat.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Leicester to win with a 72.9% chance, reflecting their strong offensive output and superior shot volume compared to Bradford. Leicester's consistent over 2.5 goals trend and higher shots on target per game underline their attacking edge. Bradford's low scoring and BTTS rates reduce their threat level, reinforcing Leicester's advantage. The model's is bolstered by Leicester's home form and key players like E. Riis driving goal threat. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick, supporting a standard stake recommendation.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Leicester's superior attacking form and shot creation make them the clear favorite to secure victory against a Bradford side struggling to score. The data supports Leicester's ability to control the match tempo and convert chances, making a home win the most logical outcome based on current form and player impact.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Leicester's attacking advantage
“Leicester's offensive consistency and key players like E. Riis provide a decisive edge in this matchup, especially given Bradford's limited goal threat and lower shot accuracy.”
Key Data Signals
Leicester to Win evidence
Leicester averages 2.4 goals per game with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently.
Bradford scores only 0.4 goals per game and has a low BTTS rate of 0%.
Leicester averages 6.6 shots on target per match versus Bradford's 2.6, indicating offensive control.
Bradford ranks 7th with 22 points, Leicester 10th with 19 points, showing a close table battle.
What To Watch In The Data
Leicester to Win notes
- In the last five matches, Leicester has maintained a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting high-tempo games with multiple scoring opportunities.
- This trend, combined with Bradford's low scoring, indicates a match likely to feature Leicester's goals rather than a balanced goal distribution.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Leicester
Bradford
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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