Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Lillestrom

UEFA Europa League | Thu 20 Aug, 18:00

Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Lillestrom Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 05:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë hosts Lillestrom in a Europa League playoff first leg marked by contrasting recent forms and tactical approaches. Egnatia’s European qualifiers have been high-scoring affairs, with 29 goals in six matches and no clean sheets kept, showcasing their attacking firepower but defensive vulnerabilities. Lillestrom arrives winless in four matches, struggling for goals and conceding frequently, with defensive frailties compounded by Egnatia’s home momentum. The hosts face defensive personnel changes, increasing the likelihood of an open, goal-rich contest as both teams seek to assert themselves in this crucial tie.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Egnatia’s six European fixtures have averaged 4.83 goals per match, with 14 goals scored at home in three games.
Lillestrom has conceded 1.67 goals per game over their last six matches and is winless in four straight.
Both teams have scored in every European match Egnatia has played this season, highlighting attacking openness.
Egnatia’s defensive absences and Lillestrom’s recent scoring struggles suggest a match with multiple goal opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly supports Over 2.5 Goals with a 78% chance, reflecting Egnatia’s prolific home scoring and Lillestrom’s defensive vulnerabilities. The implied probability of 53.5% at current offers a significant of 24.5%. Despite thinner data for Lillestrom, the combination of Egnatia’s average of nearly five goals per European match and Lillestrom’s recent defensive lapses underpins the expectation of a high-scoring game. The tactical context of attacking openness and defensive changes further reinforces this outlook.

Egnatia’s European home scoring14 goals in 3 matches

Strong positive

Lillestrom’s goals conceded1.67 per game over last 6

Positive

Implied chance vs model chance53.5% vs 78%

Strong positive

Data quality for LillestromLimited data points

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Over 2.5 Goals pick fits the attacking dynamics of Egnatia’s European campaign and Lillestrom’s recent defensive struggles. Egnatia’s home scoring prowess combined with Lillestrom’s tendency to concede creates a strong foundation for a high-scoring match, reflecting both tactical openness and recent form data.

Main risk

Those figures might ordinarily make the defensive record the main concern.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match scoring potential

“Egnatia’s open, high-scoring European matches and Lillestrom’s defensive leaks set the stage for a lively contest with multiple goals expected.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Egnatia’s six European fixtures have averaged 4.83 goals per match, with 14 goals scored at home in three games.

Lillestrom has conceded 1.67 goals per game over their last six matches and is winless in four straight.

Both teams have scored in every European match Egnatia has played this season, highlighting attacking openness.

Egnatia’s defensive absences and Lillestrom’s recent scoring struggles suggest a match with multiple goal opportunities.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last six European matches involving Egnatia, the average goals per game is 4.83, with both teams scoring in every fixture.
This trend over a meaningful sample highlights the tempo and attacking openness expected, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals selection for this match.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 51W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 1L

13 Aug 2026H Shamrock Rovers5-1

04 Aug 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-3

Lillestrom

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Lillestrom yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Egnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Lillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Egnatia’s recent form shows consistent goal scoring with 3 goals in their last two matches and a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, reflecting their attacking momentum. Lillestrom’s form is less productive, with no points and defensive struggles, but their conceding pattern aligns with a high-scoring fixture. This contrast supports the expectation of a match featuring multiple goals.

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UEFA Europa League fixtures and predictions full betting preview for Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Lillestrom football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë3

Avg goals scored

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë2

Avg goals conceded

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë100%

BTTS rate

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë100%

Over 2.5 goals

Lillestrom-

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Both teams have scored in every European match involving Egnatia this season, underscoring their attacking openness and defensive fragility. Lillestrom’s recent matches also show goals conceded, supporting the likelihood of both teams scoring. This pattern suggests a game where multiple goals from both sides are probable, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals stance.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Lillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with implying a 53.5% chance, while the model estimates a 78% probability, indicating clear value. This pricing reflects the attacking nature of Egnatia’s home fixtures and Lillestrom’s defensive vulnerabilities. The market is not price-sensitive and supports a confident stake at current .

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Egnatia Rrogozhinë wins

0Draws

0Lillestrom wins

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

No previous head-to-head matches exist between Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Lillestrom, so historical data offers no direct guidance. The rationale relies on current form, tactical context, and recent team performances rather than past meetings.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë0

Avg corners for

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë0

Avg total corners

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë2

Avg yellow cards

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë0

Avg shots

Lillestrom-

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 50% · edge -21 pts

Check odds @ 2

While specific corner and shot data is limited for Lillestrom, Egnatia’s matches have featured sustained attacking pressure and frequent goal-scoring opportunities. The home side’s aggressive wide play and transition threat create chances and fouls, likely leading to a lively match with multiple cards and set-piece situations contributing to goal chances.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Egnatia Rrogozhinë3

Played

Lillestrom1

Egnatia Rrogozhinë2

Avg goals for

Lillestrom0

Egnatia Rrogozhinë1.3

Avg goals against

Lillestrom0

Egnatia Rrogozhinë1

Clean sheets

Lillestrom1

Best odds for this sectionEgnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

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Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Lillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Egnatia’s season-long European campaign has been characterized by prolific scoring at home, averaging 4.67 goals per match, while conceding regularly. Lillestrom’s defensive record shows vulnerability with 1.67 goals conceded per game recently. These season statistics reinforce the likelihood of a high-scoring game with goals from both sides.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Egnatia Rrogozhinë Over 2.5

-Lillestrom Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Over the last six European matches involving Egnatia, the average goals per game is 4.83, with both teams scoring in every fixture. This trend over a meaningful sample highlights the tempo and attacking openness expected, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals selection for this match.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Lillestrom Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Lillestrom

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Football Stats Hub

Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Lillestrom Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Lillestrom

Continue the research

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