Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Lillestrom

UEFA Europa League | Thu 20 Aug, 18:00

Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Lillestrom Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 10:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë face Lillestrom in UEFA Europa League on Thu 20 Aug, 18:00. More recently, Ibrahim Diabate, Numan Ajetovikj and Eljon Sota scored in the 3-0 league win over Tirana. Egnatia’s failure to score in the first leg looks more unusual when placed alongside their wider run.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

At 9/10, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
Despite Lillestrom's defensive improvement, both teams scoring is a logical outcome given Egnatia's 14 scoring matches in 15 and Lillestrom's need for a home.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Despite Lillestrom's defensive improvement, both teams scoring is a logical outcome given Egnatia's 14 scoring matches in 15 and Lillestrom's need for a home.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 53% implied

Strong positive

Despite Lillestrom's defensive improvement, both teams scoring is a.Article support

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because despite Lillestrom's defensive improvement, both teams scoring is a logical outcome given Egnatia's 14 scoring matches in 15 and Lillestrom's need for a home goal to advance. The primary risk to this selection lies in Lillestrom’s recent lack of sharpness, having failed to score more than once in a single match since mid-May.

Main risk

The primary risk to this selection lies in Lillestrom’s recent lack of sharpness, having failed to score more than once in a single match since mid-May.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Despite Lillestrom's defensive improvement, both teams scoring is a logical outcome given Egnatia's 14 scoring matches in 15.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Last 51W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 1L

13 Aug 2026H Shamrock Rovers5-1

04 Aug 2026A Shamrock Rovers1-3

Lillestrom

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Lillestrom yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge +0.1 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 68%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetUK guide price · model 33%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Lillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

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Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League fixtures and predictions full betting preview for Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Lillestrom football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
23	Lillestrom	0	1	0	0	1	-1

UEFA Europa League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë3

Avg goals scored

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë2

Avg goals conceded

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë100%

BTTS rate

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë100%

Over 2.5 goals

Lillestrom-

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetUK guide price · model 33%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Lillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Egnatia Rrogozhinë wins

0Draws

0Lillestrom wins

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetUK guide price · model 33%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë0

Avg corners for

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë0

Avg total corners

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë2

Avg yellow cards

Lillestrom-

Egnatia Rrogozhinë0

Avg shots

Lillestrom-

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 50% · edge -21 pts

Check odds @ 2

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Egnatia Rrogozhinë4

Played

Lillestrom3

Egnatia Rrogozhinë1.8

Avg goals for

Lillestrom1

Egnatia Rrogozhinë1.5

Avg goals against

Lillestrom1

Egnatia Rrogozhinë1

Clean sheets

Lillestrom1

Best odds for this sectionEgnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 44% · edge +1.5 pts

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

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Egnatia Rrogozhinë to WinBetUK guide price · model 33%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Lillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.6

Check odds @ 1.6

Season data supports Egnatia Rrogozhinë Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Egnatia Rrogozhinë Over 2.5

-Lillestrom Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Despite Lillestrom's defensive improvement, both teams scoring is a logical outcome given Egnatia's 14 scoring matches in 15 and Lillestrom's need for a home goal to advance.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Lillestrom Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score YES

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Lillestrom

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Next step

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Football Stats Hub

Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Lillestrom Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score YES

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Lillestrom

Continue the research

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Prediction context

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