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U.N.A.M. - Pumas crestU.N.A.M. - Pumas
v
Club America crestClub America

Liga MX | Sun 08 Nov, 03:10

U.N.A.M. - Pumas v Club America Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga MX clash features U.N.A.M. - Pumas hosting Club America in a fixture where attacking intent and goal-scoring potential are prominent. Club America leads the standings and boasts a potent offense averaging 2.8 goals per game, while Pumas maintain a balanced approach with 1.6 goals scored and conceded per match. Both teams have shown a tendency for open play and goal-rich encounters, with recent form data indicating a high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Tactical openness and offensive quality set the stage for an engaging contest with multiple scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Club America averages 2.8 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form.
  • - Pumas have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Both teams have high BTTS rates: 80% for Pumas and 100% for Club America.
  • Recent matches show Club America averaging 18.6 shots and 7.6 on target per game.
  • H2H meetings average 2.9 goals per game, supporting an attacking encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66.4% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting the offensive strengths of both teams and their recent goal-scoring trends. Club America's high shot volume and Pumas' willingness to engage offensively contribute to a dynamic match environment. The 3.9% positive and a of 1.6 suggest a favorable price for this market. The data quality is robust with no limitations, reinforcing in the statistical signals supporting an over 2.5 goals outcome.

Model Chance66.4% model chance vs 62.5% implied (+3.9 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance66.4% model chance vs 62.5% implied (+3.9 pts)
Positive
Value Edge66.4% model chance vs 62.5% implied (+3.9 pts)
Positive
Recent Over 2.5 RatePumas 60%, Club America 80%
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals2.9 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively encounter with both teams pushing forward, driven by Club America's attacking firepower and Pumas' balanced offensive approach. The statistical trends and recent form strongly indicate a match with multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection for this Liga MX fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“The attacking prowess of Club America combined with Pumas' openness suggests this game is primed for goals. Their recent shot volumes and goal rates align well with an Over 2.5 outcome, promising an entertaining and high-scoring contest.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Club America averages 2.8 goals per game, indicating strong attacking form.

- Pumas have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.

Both teams have high BTTS rates: 80% for Pumas and 100% for Club America.

Recent matches show Club America averaging 18.6 shots and 7.6 on target per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.9, indicating a history of open and attacking contests.
  • This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a sustained tempo and chance creation conducive to Over 2.5 Goals outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.6
Avg goals scored
Club America2.8
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.6
Avg goals conceded
Club America2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas80%
BTTS rate
Club America100%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas60%
Over 2.5 goals
Club America80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 63% · edge +3.9 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Club America at 100% and Pumas at 80%, highlighting their tendency to both score and concede. Combined with their average goals per game, this suggests a match likely to feature multiple goals and open play from both sides.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 63% · edge +3.9 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Club America Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Club America to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The 66.4% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 62.5% implied by the current price (+3.9 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 80% for Club America, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

WDLWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
31 Oct 2026A Puebla2-1
25 Oct 2026H Tigres UANL1-1
22 Oct 2026A Santos Laguna0-2
17 Oct 2026A Atlante FC2-1
12 Oct 2026H Cruz Azul3-3

Club America

DDLWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
01 Nov 2026H Toluca2-2
29 Oct 2026H Club Tijuana1-1
26 Oct 2026H CF Pachuca1-2
22 Oct 2026A Atlas5-2
18 Oct 2026A Leon5-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 74% · edge +2.4 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Club America Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Club America to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Recent form data shows both teams averaging over 1.5 goals per game and maintaining high Over 2.5 Goals rates—60% for Pumas and 80% for Club America. This trend supports the likelihood of a goal-rich match given their current offensive outputs and defensive vulnerabilities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%U.N.A.M. - Pumas Over 2.5
80%Club America Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per match stand at 2.9, indicating a history of open and attacking contests. This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a sustained tempo and chance creation conducive to Over 2.5 Goals outcomes.

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