Genoa
AC MilanSerie A | Sun 17 May, 11:00
Genoa v AC Milan Stats
Data last updated: Sun 07 Jun 2026, 08:20 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Genoa face AC Milan in Serie A on Sun 17 May, 11:00. Genoa have failed to score in their last three league matches, with all three ending under 2.5 goals. Milan have won their last three away visits to Genoa, making them favourites despite their recent poor run of results.
Under 2.5 Goals
- At 20/23, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
- Under 2.5 goals means the total goals in the match must be 0, 1, or 2.
- Genoa are carrying more of the scoring load at 0.8 goals per match, with AC Milan at 0.6.
- BTTS rates of 40% for Genoa and 20% for AC Milan show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 61% for Under that scoring level sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Genoa are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with AC Milan at 0.6. Under 2.5 goals means the total goals in the match must be 0, 1, or 2.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because under 2.5 goals means the total goals in the match must be 0, 1, or 2. Genoa are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with AC Milan at 0.6. Genoa have tightened up but their scoring output has dipped significantly in recent weeks.
Genoa have tightened up but their scoring output has dipped significantly in recent weeks.
Key Data Signals
Under 2.5 Goals evidence
Under that scoring level means the total goals in the match must be 0, 1, or 2.
Genoa are carrying more of the scoring load at 0.8 goals per match, with AC Milan at 0.6.
BTTS rates of 40% for Genoa and 20% for AC Milan show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
What To Watch In The Data
Under 2.5 Goals notes
- The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Genoa
AC Milan
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Continue the research
Useful next reads
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AC Milan | 70 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 16 | Genoa | 41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Serie A
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
