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Alanyaspor crestAlanyaspor
v
Trabzonspor crestTrabzonspor

Süper Lig | Sun 08 Nov, 15:30

Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 04:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Süper Lig clash sees Trabzonspor, third in the table with 22 points, visit Alanyaspor, who sit 12th with 12 points. Trabzonspor's recent form is strong, having collected 15 points in their last fixtures, showcasing a potent attack averaging 3 goals per game and a solid defense conceding just 0.6 goals on average. Alanyaspor struggles offensively with only 0.6 goals per game and a leaky defense conceding 2.2 goals on average, making them vulnerable at home. Trabzonspor's tactical discipline and attacking efficiency set the stage for a likely away victory in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Trabzonspor to Win

  • Trabzonspor ranks 3rd with 22 points, Alanyaspor 12th with 12 points.
  • Trabzonspor averages 3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game recently.
  • Alanyaspor scores 0.6 goals and concedes 2.2 on average, showing defensive frailty.
  • Trabzonspor's recent form yields 15 points versus Alanyaspor's 4 points.
  • Trabzonspor averages more shots (13) and shots on target (6.6) than Alanyaspor (11.4 shots, 4.4 SOT).

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Trabzonspor to win due to their superior recent form and statistical control. Trabzonspor's attack is prolific, averaging 3 goals per game, while their defense is robust, conceding only 0.6 goals on average. In contrast, Alanyaspor struggles to score and concedes heavily at home. The model's 70% win probability reflects this clear quality gap, supported by Trabzonspor's higher shot volume and efficiency. This pick is a strong value bet given the 1.62 imply a 61.7% chance, below the model's .

Recent form pointsTrabzonspor 15 vs Alanyaspor 4
Strong positive
Goals scored per gameTrabzonspor 3.0 vs Alanyaspor 0.6
Strong positive
Goals conceded per gameTrabzonspor 0.6 vs Alanyaspor 2.2
Strong positive
Shots on target per gameTrabzonspor 6.6 vs Alanyaspor 4.4
Positive
Model win probability70%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Trabzonspor's superior attacking firepower and defensive solidity make them the clear favorite to win this match. Their recent form and statistical control over Alanyaspor, who have struggled both offensively and defensively, underpin this selection. Expect Trabzonspor to control the game and secure the three points with a confident performance.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Trabzonspor's consistent goal threat combined with a sturdy defense positions them well to exploit Alanyaspor's defensive weaknesses and secure a vital away win in this Süper Lig fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Trabzonspor to Win evidence

Trabzonspor ranks 3rd with 22 points, Alanyaspor 12th with 12 points.

Trabzonspor averages 3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game recently.

Alanyaspor scores 0.6 goals and concedes 2.2 on average, showing defensive frailty.

Trabzonspor's recent form yields 15 points versus Alanyaspor's 4 points.

What To Watch In The Data

Trabzonspor to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.4, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals.
  • Both teams have shown a propensity for matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, supporting the likelihood of a lively, attacking encounter with goal-scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Alanyaspor0.6
Avg goals scored
Trabzonspor3
Alanyaspor2.2
Avg goals conceded
Trabzonspor0.6
Alanyaspor40%
BTTS rate
Trabzonspor20%
Alanyaspor80%
Over 2.5 goals
Trabzonspor60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 82% · edge +3.9 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Given Trabzonspor's high scoring average of 3 goals per game and Alanyaspor's defensive vulnerabilities, this match is likely to see goals. However, Alanyaspor's low BTTS rate of 40% and Trabzonspor's 20% suggest a cautious approach from both sides defensively, potentially limiting both teams scoring but favoring an overall higher goal count.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTrabzonspor to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Trabzonspor Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The 70% for Trabzonspor to Win sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+8.3 pts). Trabzonspor have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 4 for Alanyaspor.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Alanyaspor

LLLDW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
02 Nov 2026A Gençlerbirliği S.K.0-5
23 Oct 2026H Kocaelispor1-2
17 Oct 2026A Fenerbahçe0-3
10 Oct 2026H Erzurumspor FK0-0
19 Sep 2026A Çorum FK2-1

Trabzonspor

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
01 Nov 2026H Gaziantep FK2-0
26 Oct 2026A Rizespor4-3
19 Oct 2026H Beşiktaş2-0
10 Oct 2026A Samsunspor3-0
19 Sep 2026H Galatasaray4-0
Market aligned with main pickTrabzonspor to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Trabzonspor Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Trabzonspor's recent form is impressive, securing 15 points with a strong goal difference, reflecting consistent attacking and defensive performances. Alanyaspor's 4 points and poor defensive record highlight struggles in maintaining form and resilience, suggesting Trabzonspor's momentum will be a decisive factor in this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Alanyaspor Over 2.5
60%Trabzonspor Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.4, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals. Both teams have shown a propensity for matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, supporting the likelihood of a lively, attacking encounter with goal-scoring opportunities.

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